Kev lag luam Tshuag 'qhov kawg lows' tseem ua ntej raws li cov tub ua lag luam tseem tsis tau muaj peev xwm, hais tias B. of A.

Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam rallied hnub Friday, nrog S&P 500
SPX,
+ 2.39%,
Dow Jones Muaj Nruab Nrab
DJIA,
+ 1.47%
thiab Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
+ 3.82%
kaw nrawm dua. Txawm li cas los xij, tag nrho peb qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb tau txais lwm lub lim tiam ntawm kev poob, nrog Dow raug kev txom nyem thib xya ncaj ib lub lis piam poob rau nws qhov kev poob qis tshaj plaws txij li Lub Xya Hli 2001, raws li Dow Jones Market Data. 

Qhov "kev khiav tawm" tau pib, tab sis tsuas yog peb ntawm 10 "cov cim qhia txog kev ua haujlwm" uas tau taug qab los ntawm B. ntawm A. tau raug kuaj xyuas, raws li cov kws tshaj lij. Cov peb suav nrog cov nyiaj ntsuab thiab cov neeg ua lag luam kev cia siab rau cov txiaj ntsig thiab kev lag luam loj hlob, daim ntawv tshaj tawm qhia.

Hauv qab no yog daim ntawv teev npe rau cov ntsuas no, qee qhov uas tau khi rau lub txhab nyiaj thoob ntiaj teb cov nyiaj txiag kev tshawb fawb. Nws qhia tau hais tias yuav ua li cas niaj hnub kev lag luam sib tw tawm tsam qhov tawg ntawm dot-com npuas, kev kub ntxhov thoob ntiaj teb nyiaj txiag, Europe cov nuj nqis ntsoog thiab qhov nrawm nrawm, poob siab los ntawm COVID-19 kev ntshai hauv 2020.

Capitulation indicators, As paj laum, kev ncaj ncees flows, stock allocation of Bank of America Corp.'s private clients and asset allocations to equity and bonds saws in B. of A.'s fund manager surveys, tseem tsis tau raug kuaj xyuas. .

Tus nqi txiav kev cia siab ib txwm pom ntawm dais-kev lag luam qis, cov kws tshaj lij hais tias.

Cov neeg ua lag luam tau cia siab tias cov paj laum yuav nce siab, raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau qhia tias nws yuav txuas ntxiv nce nws cov txiaj ntsig los tiv thaiv kev nce nqi siab.

Nyeem: Fed nruj los 'fraught nrog volatility' nyob rau hauv lub lag luam Tshuag, tab sis tus thawj coj ntawm JPMorgan portfolio hais tias nws tsis betting rau US poob nyiaj

Rau txhua txhua $ 100 ntawm kev nkag mus hauv ob peb lub lis piam dhau los, cov kws tshaj lij tau pom "tsuas yog $ 4" ntawm kev txhiv dim, raws li tsab ntawv ceeb toom. Qhov ntawd piv nrog ntau dua $ 50 ntawm kev tawm mus rau txhua $ 100 ntawm kev nkag mus hauv khw dais yav dhau los, cov kws tshaj lij tau sau.

Txog tam sim no kev sib npaug sib npaug ntawm 0.2% ntawm cov cuab tam raws li kev tswj hwm, lossis AUM, lawv daim ntawv qhia. Cov kws tshaj lij tau hais tias cov nyiaj tawm tau nyob ib puag ncig peb mus rau rau feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov cuab tam hauv qab kev tswj hwm ntawm qhov qis qis ua ntej.

Txhawm rau ua kom tau raws li B. ntawm A. cov txheej txheem capitulation, cov thawj tswj hwm nyiaj yuav tsum tau qis qis, nrog rau qhov qis qis yuav tsum tau faib -20 txog -30% rau cov peev txheej thiab cov tub ua lag luam kaw cov nyiaj poob qis, cov tswv yim hais tias. Tsis tas li ntawd, cov neeg siv khoom ntiag tug hauv Bank of America lub ntiaj teb kev nplua nuj thiab kev tswj hwm kev nqis peev tau rub rov qab lawv cov kev faib nyiaj ncaj ncees mus rau tsawg kawg 56% hauv kev ua lag luam qis qis, lawv tau sau hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom.