Iran yuav sai sai no yuav tau txais Su-35 Flanker-E multirole fighter dav hlau los ntawm Russia thiab tej zaum yuav muaj lwm yam khoom siv tub rog, suav nrog S-400 huab cua tiv thaiv missile systems. Qhov tseem ceeb npaum li cas cov kev yuav khoom no tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau lub zog sib npaug hauv Middle East tseem yuav pom.
Ib qho piv txwv ntawm Su-35 tsis ntev los no yees duab los ntawm satellite sab nraum Iran sab qab teb hauv av Eagle 44 airbase ntxiv kev xav tias Iran xav tias yuav tau txais lub dav hlau no ua ib feem ntawm nws qhov kev txiav txim siab tseem ceeb tshaj plaws hauv ntau dua 30 xyoo.
MOSCOW, RUSSIA - Lub Yim Hli 17: Sukhoi Su-35S cov dav hlau ua haujlwm thaum lub sijhawm International … [+]
Lub Koom Haum Anadolu ntawm Getty Dluab
Iran yuav tau txais tsawg kawg 24 Flankers tom qab muab Russia nrog ntau pua tus drones rau nws ua tsov rog tawm tsam Ukraine. Txij li thaum Russia tau tawm tsam Ukraine thaum Lub Ob Hlis 24, 2022, kev tiv thaiv kev sib raug zoo ntawm Moscow thiab Tehran tau vam meej. Thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, tus kws tshaj lij ntawm Pawg Saib Xyuas Kev Ruaj Ntseg Hauv Tsev Dawb John Kirby tau ceeb toom tias Russia tau muab Iran "ib qib uas tsis tau muaj dua los ntawm kev ua tub rog thiab kev txhawb nqa uas tau hloov pauv lawv txoj kev sib raug zoo mus rau kev sib koom tes tiv thaiv tag nrho."
Tib lub hlis ntawd nws kuj tau tawm tswv yim txog kev xa khoom Su-35, tshaj tawm, "Cov dav hlau no yuav txhawb nqa Iran cov tub rog huab cua cuam tshuam rau nws cov neeg zej zog hauv cheeb tsam."
Txawm li cas los, raws li tau hais yav dhau los ntawm no, tsuas yog ob lub kaum os ntawm cov dav hlau no yuav tsis yooj yim muab Iran huab cua zoo tshaj plaws ntawm Persian Gulf txij li Gulf Arab lub xeev ib leeg muaj ntau pua tus neeg sab hnub poob-tsim 4.5-tiam fighters.
Txawm li cas los xij, cov lus zoo sib xws hauv Lavxias xov xwm qhia tias Iranian Flankers tuaj yeem ua rau Tehran muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau cov tub rog ntawm cov xeev nyob sib ze.
Mohammad-Hassan Sangtarash, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam tub rog Iranian hais tias "Lub dav hlau no yuav muaj txiaj ntsig tshwj xeeb yog tias Iran tuaj yeem nruab cov riam phom qub rau nws," hais rau Lavxias lub xeev-khiav Sputnik xov xwm hauv lub Ib Hlis.
"Lub Super Flanker Su-35 tuaj yeem ua lub luag haujlwm ntawm kev sib ntaus sib tua mini-AWACS (airborne ceeb toom thiab tswj system), thiab yog tias txuas nrog Iran lub radar network, nws yuav tau txais cov peev xwm tiv thaiv tshwj xeeb," nws hais. "Yog tias Iran yuav cov thev naus laus zis thiab ncaws tawm kev sib koom ua ke loj heev [ntawm Su-35], nws tuaj yeem tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo dua li cov neeg tua rog thiab cov nkoj ntawm cov tebchaws nyob sib ze Iran."
Ntawm qhov tod tes, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tau piav qhia txog ntau yam kev sib tw ua ntej thiab tej zaum yuav txwv rau qhov uas Moscow tuaj yeem ua pov thawj txaus siab lossis tseem tuaj yeem muab Tehran.
"Muaj kev cia siab zoo tias Iran-Lavxias kev lag luam tsuas yog loj hlob nrog lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav tuaj," Farzin Nadimi, tus kws saib xyuas kev tiv thaiv thiab kev nyab xeeb thiab Associate Fellow ntawm Washington Lub Tsev Haujlwm rau Txoj Cai ze East, hais rau kuv.
"Ballistic thiab cruise missiles yuav yog thawj zaug, tab sis lwm qhov chaw yuav tsum xav txog ib yam nkaus," nws hais. "Tsis tas li ntawd, Iran yuav yog ib txoj hauv kev uas Tuam Tshoj yuav siv tau los ntawm nws cov tub rog xa tawm mus rau Russia yav tom ntej."
Txawm hais tias muaj qhov tshwm sim ntawm Su-35 mockup ntawm Eagle 44, Nadimi tau taw qhia tias "tsis muaj pov thawj tias Su-35s tuaj txog lub sijhawm twg los tau sai sai" tab sis cia siab tias yuav muaj qhov khoom xa tuaj.
Raws li rau cov cuab yeej cuab tam Iranian Flankers yuav nqa, nws cia siab tias yuav xa Lavxias R-77 dhau qhov pom kev dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav dav hlauv taws xob (Russia qhov sib npaug rau Asmeskas AIM-120 AMRAAM) tab sis tsis paub meej yog tias Moscow yuav muab Tehran nrog cov khoom siv. R-37 missile. Nws kuj tau cia siab tias Iran yuav xav tau cov cuaj luaj siab heev rau nws cov Su-35s, xws li huab cua-launched Kh-59 cruise missile.
Hais txog lub zeem muag ntawm Iran siv cov dav hlau no nrog cov riam phom hauv paus txawm, raws li Sangtarash tau hais, Nadimi cia siab tias "Lavxias teb sab yuav muab cov cai rau kev hloov kho tom qab" tab sis "tsis nrog tus xa khoom qub."
"Tej zaum ob peb xyoos (tom qab xa khoom), tshwj tsis yog Iran muab qee yam uas Russia xav tau tiag tiag," nws hais.
James Devine, Associate Professor nyob rau hauv Department of Politics thiab International Relations ntawm Mount Allison University, kuj cia siab tias muaj ntau yam teeb meem kev kawm nrog rau Iranian tau txais cov kev tshaj lij Lavxias teb sab.
"Raws li kev cuam tshuam hauv cheeb tsam rau Iran kev yuav riam phom, qhov cuam tshuam tsis meej," nws hais rau kuv. "Russia tau siv S-400s tawm tsam cov phiaj xwm hauv av, tab sis kuv tsis tau pom qhov kev soj ntsuam zoo ntawm qhov lawv tau tawm tsam cov dav hlau tawm tsam siab heev, txoj haujlwm lawv yuav muaj nyob hauv Iran. Txawm li cas los xij, muaj qhov tsis txaus ntseeg txog lawv cov txiaj ntsig. "
MOSCOW, RUSSIA - Lub Xya hli ntuj 25: S-400 nto-to-air missile launcher tau pom ntawm 'ARMY-2019 … [+]
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Devine tau sau tseg tias txawm tias lub tshuab foob pob ua ntxaij zoo li S-400 yuav tsum yog ib feem ntawm kev tiv thaiv huab cua loj dua. Iran yuav ua tau zoo npaum li cas qhov no tseem tsis tau paub meej, txawm hais tias Devine tau sau tseg yog tias lub Ib Hlis Ntuj 2020 Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 tua yog ib qho kev qhia, ces Tehran "kev tswj hwm-kev tswj hwm yuav muaj teeb meem uas cuam tshuam rau kev ua haujlwm ntawm cov txheej txheem tshiab."
Ib yam li ntawd, Su-35s yuav tsum tau koom ua ke rau hauv kev sib txuas dav dav ntawm radars thiab sensors, "thiab yog tias Iran lub tshuab tsis muaj zog, cov dav hlau tshiab yuav tsis tuaj yeem ua tau zoo li Iranians yuav cia siab."
Nws tau hais tias "Qhov zoo tshaj plaws, nws yuav siv sijhawm los koom ua ke cov dav hlau tshiab rau hauv Iran cov tub rog, ob qho tib si ntawm kev tiv thaiv huab cua thiab kev cob qhia tsav," nws hais.
"Nws tseem ceeb heev uas yuav tsum nco ntsoov tias cov riam phom no, nyob rau hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm Iranian tub rog xav tau, yuav raug siv los ua kev tiv thaiv," nws hais ntxiv. "Iran muaj lwm cov missiles rau kev tawm tsam hauv av thiab yuav khaws S-400s los tiv thaiv nws qhov chaw huab cua."
Nws kuj tau sau tseg tias tus naj npawb ntawm Su-35s, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thawj qhov xa tawm ntawm 24, "tsis txaus los hloov qhov sib npaug ntawm lub zog hauv cheeb tsam."
"Ib zaug ntxiv, lawv yuav raug siv los tiv thaiv thiab vam tias yuav tiv thaiv Israeli thiab Asmeskas kev tawm tsam," nws hais.
Txawm hais tias cov kev txwv no, Devine txhawj xeeb txog kev xa khoom ntawm cov riam phom no tuaj yeem ua kom muaj kev tawm tsam rau Iran los ntawm sab hnub poob.
"Ib qho kev txhawj xeeb uas kuv xav tau yog tias Sab Hnub Poob tuaj yeem ua kom lub sijhawm rau kev tawm tsam kev tawm tsam vim nws txhawj xeeb tias kev ua haujlwm Su-35s thiab S-400 yuav nyuaj rau lawv lub peev xwm los ntaus Iranian lub hom phiaj thiab, yog li ntawd, xav tias lub qhov rais. ntawm lub sijhawm raug kaw, ”nws hais.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/pauliddon/2023/02/22/how-irans-acquisition-of-russian-military-hardware-could-impact-the-middle-east/