Bitcoin (BTC) yuav tsum tau rov qab los qis dua $ 20,000 txhawm rau rov pib dua qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb uas suav nrog kev xav tau txiaj ntsig, cov ntaub ntawv qhia.
Hauv tsab ntawv tshaj tawm tshiab ntawm nws tsab ntawv xov xwm txhua lub lim tiam, "Lub Lim Tiam Rau-Chain, "Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas Glassnode tau tshaj tawm tias cov neeg tuav lub sijhawm luv (STHs) tuaj yeem txiav txim siab BTC tus nqi tsis kam.
Cov nyiaj tau los txhawb nqa cov qib tsis kam
Raws li BTC / USD nce mus txog $ 25,000, STHs - cov neeg tuav nyiaj npib rau 155 hnub lossis tsawg dua - pib pom cov txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm lawv cov peev txheej.
Qhov no tau raug ntes los ntawm kev lag luam tus nqi kom paub txog tus nqi (MVRV) metric, uas piv rau Bitcoin kev ua lag luam cap rau tus nqi ntawm cov nyiaj npib txav ntawm cov saw hlau.
"Los ntawm kev sib piv ob qhov kev ntsuas no, MVRV tuaj yeem siv kom tau txais kev nkag siab ntawm thaum tus nqi siab dua lossis qis dua 'tus nqi ncaj ncees,' thiab los ntsuas kev ua lag luam tau txiaj ntsig," Glassnode piav qhia hauv ib qho nrog. coj.
MVRV dhau 1.2 ntawm txoj kev mus ntau lub hlis ntau, coinciding nrog $23,800 tshwm raws li thaj tsam ntawm BTC tus nqi tsis kam.
Raws li Glassnode sau, "qhov ua tau ntawm STHs noj cov txiaj ntsig zoo li loj hlob nyob rau lub sijhawm uas qhov nruab nrab STH yog 20%+ hauv cov nyiaj, rov qab STH-MVRV saum 1.2."
"Qhov kev tsis lees paub tsis ntev los no ntawm qib $ 23.8k resonates nrog cov qauv no, raws li STH-MVRV ntaus tus nqi ntawm 1.2 ua ntej stalling," nws txuas ntxiv rau lub lim tiam no.
"Yog tias lub lag luam rov qab mus rau $ 19.3k, nws yuav coj STH-MVRV rov qab mus rau tus nqi ntawm 1.0, thiab qhia tias cov nqi chaw tau rov qab los rau tus nqi ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom tshiab no."
$ 19,300 yog li tsim ib yam dab tsi ntawm lub hom phiaj sib nqus ntawm cov txiaj ntsig thiab kev txhawb siab kom tsis txhob muag rau STHs.
Raws li Cointelegraph qhia, Glassnode tsis yog ib leeg hauv kev tawm tswv yim tias $ 20,000 tej zaum yuav tsis tuav raws li kev txhawb nqa rau BTC / USD, thiab qhov tshiab hauv zos qis tuaj yeem tsim hauv qab kab hauv cov xuab zeb.
Bitcoin nyob rau hauv "kev hloov pauv theem"
Tsis tas li ntawd nyob rau hauv Glassnode's crosshairs, lub sijhawm no, yog tus tuav lub sij hawm ntev (LTH) tus nqi hauv paus thiab cov dej num ntawm whales nqis peev hauv Bitcoin txij thaum kawg ntawm nws lub lag luam dais kawg nyob rau xyoo 2018.
Related: Tus nqi BTC 'hauv thaj tsam chop' - 5 yam yuav tsum paub hauv Bitcoin lub lim tiam no
Tus nqi paub txog qhov hu ua "qub" mov - tus nqi uas nws zaum kawg txav ntawm tag nrho - tam sim no zaum ntawm $ 23,500, ntxiv dag zog rau thaj chaw uas yog qhov tseem ceeb sib ntaus sib tua.
Rau qhov downside, Bitcoin tus nqi ua ke pom tau tias yog ntawm $ 19,800, rov noj rau hauv lub tswv yim tias cheeb tsam no tuaj yeem tsim kev txhawb nqa.
"Kev lag luam Bitcoin feem ntau cuam tshuam tsis yog rau qib dav pom hauv kev tshuaj xyuas ib txwm muaj, tab sis kuj tseem muaj cov nqi ntawm kev puas siab puas ntsws ntawm ntau tus neeg ua lag luam cohorts luam tawm ntawm cov saw hlau. Qhov no tshwm sim tsis yog tsuas yog hais txog lawv tus nqi paub tab sis kuj hais txog qib ntawm cov txiaj ntsig thiab kev poob nyob hauv lawv cov khoom, "Glasnode xaus lus.
"Los ntawm lub lens no, kev ua lag luam tam sim no nyob rau hauv ib qho kev hloov pauv, bounded saum toj no los ntawm Realized Price of Older Supply and also by the average Whale that has been active since the 2018 cycle below."
BTC / USD pauv ntawm $ 22,400 thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv rau Lub Peb Hlis 7, raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Cointelegraph Ciaj uas muag Pro thiab TradingView.
Cov kev xav, cov kev xav thiab kev xav ntawm no yog tus sau phau ntawv ib leeg thiab tsis tas yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam lossis sawv cev ntawm kev pom thiab kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.
Tau qhov twg los: https://cointelegraph.com/news/btc-may-need-to-dip-to-19-3k-to-cool-bitcoin-profit-taking-new-data