(Bloomberg) - Phab ntsa Street tech bulls suav nrog kev lag luam cov khoom lag luam megacap kom txav siab dua ua ntej ntev thiab dhia pib rov qab los ntawm S&P 500.
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Qhov kev cia siab yog tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tab tom los ze rau kev sau nws cov phiaj xwm kev lag luam tawm tsam, thiab cov cuab yeej thev naus laus zis, cov pab pawg uas raug kev txom nyem tshaj plaws los ntawm cov paj laum, yuav rov qab los. Lub zeem muag, thaum tseem tsis tau tshwm sim, tau los ib kauj ruam los ze rau qhov tseeb hnub Friday thaum tsab ntawv tshaj tawm txog kev ua haujlwm tshiab tau pom tias muaj kev poob qis hauv kev loj hlob ntawm cov nyiaj ua haujlwm, uas Fed tab tom nrhiav los ua lub cim ntawm kev nce qib hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua nyiaj txiag. Tej zaum tsis yog qhov xav tsis thoob, tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index muaj hnub zoo tshaj plaws txij li lub Kaum Ib Hlis 30.
Gary Bradshaw, tus thawj coj ntawm Hodges Capital Management hauv Dallas, Texas tau hais tias "Txawm tias kev nce qib me me hauv thev naus laus zis megacaps yuav muaj teeb meem," "Qhov ntawd yuav yog qhov zoo, thiab tsis yog rau cov tub lag luam thev naus laus zis xwb. Nws yuav xa cov teeb liab mus rau qhov dav S&P. "
Ntau qhov tseeb yuav tuaj rau lub lim tiam no thaum cov tub ua lag luam tau txais qhov hloov tshiab tshiab ntawm kev nce nqi. Kev tshawb fawb Bloomberg ntawm 12 tus kws tshawb fawb kev lag luam hu rau 6.5% dhia hauv Consumer Price Index thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, nqis los ntawm 9.1% qib hauv Lub Rau Hli. Ib daim ntawv tshawb fawb University of Michigan ntawm Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom tau pom tias kev cia siab nyiaj txiag ua ntej poob mus rau theem qis tshaj txij thaum Lub Rau Hli 2021 lub hli tas los.
Lub S&P 500 poob 6.7% thaum pib lub Kaum Ob Hlis thiab Thursday, nrog ob cov khoom lag luam - Apple Inc. thiab Tesla Inc. - lub luag haujlwm rau ib feem peb ntawm kev poob qis, qhia tias muaj zog npaum li cas ntawm kev tuav tech megacaps muaj nyob rau hauv kev lag luam dav.
"Thaum kawg, yog tias Fed tau txais kev nce nqi hauv kev tswj hwm, thev naus laus zis muaj txoj hauv kev los ua tus thawj coj ua lag luam, tab sis Fed tseem ua si tsawg kawg rau rau yim lub hlis," said Chris Zaccarelli, tus thawj coj peev ntawm Independent Advisor Alliance.
Tab sis kev lag luam poob qis uas yuav ua rau muaj kev hloov pauv los ntawm Fed yog nws tus kheej txaus ntshai, ib yam nkaus. Apple tau xaj cov khoom tsawg dua rau ntau cov khoom lag luam, muab qhov kev thov qeeb, Nikkei tau tshaj tawm rau Lub Ib Hlis 2. UBS cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tau nug txog kev loj hlob ntawm Microsoft Corp. lub lag luam huab cua, thaum Tesla tab tom cuam tshuam nrog kev muag khoom hauv Suav teb.
Lub caij khwv tau los yav tom ntej tuaj yeem tig qhov kev xav, tab sis txog tam sim no nws zoo li tsis zoo. Cov tuam txhab hauv S&P 500 yuav tsum tshaj tawm 2.7% cov nyiaj poob qis hauv lub quarter thib plaub, cov ntaub ntawv sau los ntawm Bloomberg Intelligence qhia. Tsis suav nrog tsib qhov loj tshaj S&P 500 cov neeg suav nrog cov duab sawv ntawm tsuas yog -0.9%.
"Cov neeg ua lag luam tab tom cuam tshuam nrog qhov tsis paub tseeb ntawm kev nce nqi, lossis lawv tab tom cuam tshuam nrog kev ntxhov siab txog kev loj hlob, thiab nyob rau hauv ob qho tib si nws yog qhov poob-poob qhov xwm txheej rau tech megacaps," said Zaccarelli.
Cov tuam txhab thev naus laus zis tau tsav lub khw muag khoom lag luam bull khiav rau feem ntau ntawm kaum xyoo dhau los. Lawv kuj tseem yog tus thawj coj thaum lub sijhawm Covid-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw thaum cov tub ua lag luam devoured txhua yam digital. Txawm li cas los xij, qhov kev hloov pauv tau hloov pauv xyoo tas los thaum nce nqi yuam lub hauv paus tsev txhab nyiaj rov qab thiab txiav cov nqi mus ze rau xoom. Raws li cov paj laum nce siab thiab kev pom kev loj hlob nce ntxiv hauv 2022, lub npe hu ua FAANG pawg - Facebook niam txiv Meta Platforms Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple, Microsoft thiab Alphabet Inc. - poob 38% ntawm nws cov nqi lag luam, tom qab ob qho tib si. Nasdaq 100 Index thiab S&P 500.
Lub tech downturn exerted ib tug outsize drag ntawm loj indexes. Apple, S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam loj tshaj plaws los ntawm kev lag luam tus nqi, thiab Tesla, 15th loj tshaj plaws, yog lub luag haujlwm rau 88% ntawm S&P 500 qhov poob rau thawj hnub ua lag luam ntawm 2023. Txhua tus tau hais, qhov ntsuas ntsuas plaub lub thev naus laus zis loj - Alphabet, Amazon, Meta thiab Netflix Inc. - nce 3.2% rau lub lim tiam, thaum lub ntsuas dav dav uas suav nrog Tesla thiab Advanced Micro Devices Inc. poob 1%.
Ntau zaus tshaj li qhov tsis, tsis muaj lwm txoj haujlwm loj txaus los cuam tshuam kev txav mus los hauv cov khoom lag luam tech. Thiab txawm hais tias kev cuam tshuam ntawm FAANG ntawm S&P 500 poob qis raws li cov neeg loj heev xws li Apple poob rau hauv kev lag luam tus nqi, pab pawg tseem loj heev. Txhawm rau muab lub tswv yim ntawm qhov loj npaum li cas: qhov sib faib ntawm tsuas yog plaub lub thev naus laus zis hauv S&P 500 - Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet thiab Amazon - sawv ntawm kwv yees li 16%, ntau dua li tag nrho pawg saib xyuas kev noj qab haus huv, qhov ntsuas thib ob- kev lag luam loj tshaj tom qab tech.
Eric Beiley, tus thawj coj tswj hwm ntawm kev tswj hwm nyiaj txiag ntawm Steward Partners Global Advisory tau hais tias "Koj yuav tsum tau ua tsis zoo ntawm cov khoom lag luam thev naus laus zis vim tias tseem muaj qhov tsis paub tseeb tias Fed yuav mus siab dua thiab dhau mus los ntawm kev nce qib," "Tech yuav nws thiaj li muaj hnub, tab sis txog thaum peb muaj kev pom tseeb ntxiv ntawm txoj cai hauv tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab nws yog qhov nyuaj rau kev nqis peev."
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