Cov tub luam no tau kwv yees qhov nyiaj poob qis, tech selloff thiab roj surge. Nov yog qhov nws hais yog los tom ntej.

Fade tus Fed leej twg? Cov khoom lag luam tau mus rau sab qab teb, tom qab lub rooj sib tham loj ntawm Phab ntsa Street tshwm sim los ntawm kev nkag siab ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Chair Jerome Powell thiab co. tej zaum tsawg hawkish dua li kev lag luam xav.

Ib lub rooj sib tham luv luv yuav tsis yog qhov xav tsis thoob rau qee tus. Tom qab tag nrho, peb tau txais 99 teeb meem tawm qhov ntawd uas tsis yog raws nraim hauv Fed txoj kev tswj hwm - muab kev tsis txaus thiab cov nqi nce rau cov tuam txhab, kev ua tsov rog txuas ntxiv hauv Ukraine, COVID-19 hauv Suav teb, thiab lwm yam.

Nyob rau ntawm peb hu nruab hnub los ntawm tus tsim ntawm LaDucTrading.com, Samantha LaDuc, uas tshwj xeeb hauv lub sijhawm ua lag luam loj inflections. Nws tau ceev faj txog cov khoom lag luam ib ntus, thiab pom 3,800 tiav rau S&P 500
SPX,
-3.23%

xyoo no ntawm tech floundering thiab txuas ntxiv kev loj hlob-rau-tus nqi sib hloov.

Ib qho ntawm nws qhov kev hu loj tshaj plaws pom tsis zoo
Qauv: CL00
-0.24%

nce mus txog $ 160 thaum lub caij ntuj sov thiab $ 260 hauv ib xyoos, uas LaDuc tau hais tawm hauv kev xam phaj nrog MarketWatch hnub Tuesday. Nws yog ib qho ntawm ob peb qhov nyiaj txiag hedges tawm muaj, nws hais.

Thiab European embargo ntawm Lavxias teb sab roj - lub European Union tau hais kom txwv rau hnub Wednesday kom ncaws nyob rau hauv rau lub hlis - yuav ua rau spiking roj, daim ntawv cog lus yields thiab US duas, uas yuav crushed US cov peev txheej thiab cov lag luam tawm tshiab, hais LaDuc.

Raws li rau nws cov ntaub ntawv teev tseg, LaDuc, uas tau ua tus tub luam thiab cov tub lag luam txij li xyoo 2008, kwv yees nyob rau lub caij ntuj sov 2020 tias daim ntawv cog lus tau nce, kev nce nqi yuav ua pov thawj nplaum, thiab lub zog yuav ua tau zoo tshaj plaws hauv 2021. Thiab peb tau pom tag nrho cov saum toj no. .

"2022 yuav teeb tsa theem rau cov teeb meem uas yuav sim peb cov tub lag luam tshiab thiab peb cov qub 40 xyoo ntev macro moj khaum. Fed Put tau txav mus, thiab txij li xyoo 2013 taper tantrum, kuv yuav twv nws zaum li 20% hauv qab tus nqi lag luam tam sim no, "nws hais. Qhov "Put" yog hais txog kev lag luam thiab cov neeg lag luam kev ntseeg tias Fed yuav nqis los txhawb kev lag luam Tshuag.

"Yuav ua li cas kom haum Fed txo volatility. Kev nruj Fed, los ntawm kev txhais, ua rau nws. Nrog rau qhov ntawd, tus nqi yuav tsum poob qis dua qhov kev loj hlob tsawg kawg yog tias tsis ncaj-tawm outperform, "nws hais.

Tab sis cov khoom lag luam yuav yog lub lag luam tseem ceeb tshaj plaws rau cov tub ua lag luam saib tam sim no, nws hais.

“Tam sim no, yen
USDJPY,
+ 1.05%

thiab yuan
USDCNY,
+ 0.72%

thiab euro
USDEUR,
+ 1.00%

yog nyob rau hauv kev sib tw mus rau hauv qab. Kev lag luam tshwm sim ntshai ntawm US cov txiaj ntsig siab dua thiab nruj Fed yog qhov uas peb yuav tsum tsom peb lub lens macro, "nws hais. Thiab cov teeb meem forex twb tau nkag mus rau hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev ncaj ncees volatility, nws hais tias.

Qhov kev lag luam twg tsis ua rau tus nqi tam sim no yog cov roj ntau dua, nyiaj duas siab dua thiab cov nyiaj tau los ntau dua. Yog li cov khw lag luam poob qis raws li "cov lus piav qhia nce, thiab tom qab ntawd peb tuaj yeem ruaj khov mus txog rau thaum xaus ntawm lub xyoo," LaDuc hais. Cov lus piav qhia no tshwm sim thaum "cov tub lag luam pib nug tiag tiag Fed lub peev xwm los tswj kev nce nqi. Qhov ntawd yog thaum qhov kawg ntawm qhov nkhaus yuav los tiag tiag. "

Thiab thaum muaj coob tus ntawm Phab ntsa Street pom kev nce nqi nce qis dua 12 txog 18 lub hlis tom ntej, tab sis nws nyob rau sab nraud ntawm kev lag luam, uas piav qhia nws txoj kev ntseeg tias roj yuav nce ntxiv.

Txog qhov kev sib tw tom qab Fed uas tej zaum yuav dhau lawm? LaDuc tau hais tias nws tsis "pom qhov laj thawj los ntseeg tias kev nce nqi yog tswj tau lossis Fed tuaj yeem tswj tau nws. Kuv ntseeg tias kev lag luam daim ntawv cog lus tau tshaj tawm qhov no thiab cov roj yuav ua kom txhua tus mloog sai sai. "

Lub buzz

Tom qab Fed, lub hom phiaj yuav tig mus rau hnub Friday cov ntaub ntawv them nyiaj tsis yog ua liaj ua teb, thiab ua ntej ntawm qhov ntawd, cov ntaub ntawv tau qhia cov ntaub ntawv thov nyiaj poob haujlwm txhua lub limtiam tau nce los ntawm me ntsis ntau dua li qhov xav tau. Lub caij no, cov nqi zog ua haujlwm tau dhia 11.6% thiab cov khoom lag luam poob qis ntawm 7.5% yog qhov loj tshaj txij li xyoo 1947.

Tesla
TSLA,
-7.29%

CEO Elon Musk hais tias nws tau txais $ 7 nphom hauv kev ncaj ncees nyiaj txiag rau nws qhov kev thov Twitter
TWG,
+ 3.36%

tau los ntawm cov neeg ua lag luam sab nraud. Twitter shares tau nce ntawm cov xov xwm ntawd. Tsis tas li Saudi Arabian investor Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, uas yav dhau los tau tso tseg Musk's Twitter twv, npaj yuav khaws nws 35 lab koom nrog.

Nyeem: Elon Musk tau hais kom nkag mus rau hauv kev lag luam lithium, thiab cov khoom lag luam nce siab qhia tias yog vim li cas

ConocoPhillips
COV,
-0.72%

qhia ib profit ntaus thiab Cardinal Health
CAH,
-4.59%

yog ntog rau ib cov nyiaj tau los nco. E-commerce stocks Khw Tshaj Tawm
KAV,
-13.79%

thiab Etsy
TSI,
-15.65%

poob rau qhov tshwm sim. EV-maker Fisker
FSR,
-5.60%

qhia ib 50% dhia hauv kev txiav txim, tab sis shares swb ntawm qhov poob loj me ntsis. TripAdvisor
TRIP,
+ 3.18%

thiab Booking Holdings
BKNG,
+ 4.17%

yog txhua tus tau txais cov nyiaj tau los tom qab nqa.

ShakeShack
SHAK,
-4.78%
,
GoPro
GPRO,
-5.48%

thiab SolarWinds
SWI,
-6.34%

Cov txiaj ntsig tau los tom qab kaw.

Berkshire Hathaway
BRK UA,
-2.44%

BRKB,
-2.43%

shareholders overwhelmingly tsis lees paub ib lub tswv yim kom tshem Warren Buffett ua tus thawj tswj hwm.

Ntau txhiab tus tuam txhab Suav tau ntxiv rau hauv cov npe ntawm cov neeg raug tshem tawm ntawm Asmeskas kev sib pauv vim tsis ua raws li US cov qauv kev soj ntsuam. JD.com
JD,
-6.43%
,
Pinduodou
PDD,
-11.37%

thiab Bilibili
BILI,
-10.97%

yog cov tshiab ntxiv.

Lwm qhov ntawm lub hauv paus bank pem hauv ntej, Bank of England tau nqa cov nqi mus rau siab tshaj hauv 13 xyoo thiab kwv yees 10% kev nce nqi xyoo no, nrog rau phaus
GBPUSD, Cov
-2.30%

tau shredded. Brazil hiked tus nqi 100 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus, thiab Norway tuav khov kho tab sis hinted ntawm lub rau hli ntuj mus txog rau.

Tuam Tshoj Caixin cov kev pabcuam kev yuav cov thawj tswj hwm qhov ntsuas ntaus nws qib qis tshaj hauv ntau tshaj ob xyoos, raws li COVID-19 kev tiv thaiv kev mob siab rau hauv tsev.

Cov kev lag luam

stocks
DJIA,
-2.81%

SPX,
-3.23%

COMP,
-4.52%

yog nyob rau hauv lub siab, nrog daim ntawv cog lus yields
TUBMUSD 10Y,
3.088%

TUBMUSD 02Y,
2.723%

rov qab los Wednesday lub post-Fed poob. Cov nqi roj
Qauv: CL00
-0.24%

BRN00,
+ 0.03%

tab tom nce siab raws li OPEC + tau tshaj tawm pom zoo kom nce siab ntau lawm 432,000 barrels ib hnub raws li xav tau. Kub
GC00,
+ 0.49%

thiab nyiaj
SI 00,
+ 0.42%

ob leeg surging. Rov qab los ntawm hnub so, Tuam Tshoj cov khoom lag luam
000300,
-0.15%

coj a feem ntau yog kev sib tham Asian siab dua, nrog European Tshuag
SXXP,
-0.70%

kuj up. Tus duas
DXY,
+ 1.08%

yog nce, notably tiv thaiv phaus.

Cov tickers

Cov no yog cov neeg tshawb nrhiav saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm MarketWatch thaum 6 teev sawv ntxov Eastern Time:

Random nyeem

Thaum sib ntaus sib tua tsov rog, Ukrainian band cov tswv cuab txiav remix nrog tus hu nkauj Ed Sheeran rau kev siab hlub - “2 Kauj ruam.”

Keeb kwm Jamestown yuav sai sai no keeb kwm.

Xav paub kom paub pib thaum ntxov thiab raug kho kom txog thaum qhib lub tswb nrov, tab sis sau npe tuaj ntawm no kom nws tau xa nws ib zaug rau koj lub npov email. Lub emailed yuav xa tawm thaum txog 7: 30 teev sawv ntxov.

Xav paub ntau ntxiv rau hnub tom ntej? Sau npe rau Lub Barron Hnub, tag kis sawv ntxov piav qhia rau cov tub ua lag luam, suav nrog kev tawm tswv yim tshwj xeeb los ntawm Barron thiab MarketWatch sau ntawv.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-trader-predicted-the-bond-meltdown-tech-selloff-and-oils-surge-heres-what-she-says-is-coming-next- 11651749865?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo