Raws li tsab ntawv tshaj tawm tshiab ntawm Arcane Research, tag nrho cov lag luam zoo li yuav ruaj khov txawm tias tseem muaj qee qhov tsis paub tseeb.
Tau hais tias, txhua lub qhov muag yog nyob rau ntawm DCG cov kauj ruam tom ntej, uas tuaj yeem ua rau txo qis nqi nqis ntxiv.
Bitcoin Volatility Ze li 30-hli qis
Bitcoin tus nqi tam sim no tau txiav txim siab ua tsis tau raws li nws qhov kev hloov pauv tau poob mus rau qhov qis qis. Cov ntaub ntawv qhia tias qhov nyiaj npib loj tshaj plaws 7-hnub volatility mus txog qhov qis tsis pom rau ob thiab ib nrab xyoo vim nws poob rau 0.7%.
Cov naj npawb tam sim no tsuas yog mus ntsib ib zaug txij li Lub Ob Hlis 2019 - thaum lub sijhawm kev lag luam tsis ruaj khov ntawm Lub Xya Hli 2020.
Lub caij no, 30-hnub volatility kuj ua raws li ib qho piv txwv zoo li tam sim no hovered ze 1.4% thiab coincided nrog cov theem uas tau luv luv kov ua ntej FTX vau thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis. Qhov tseeb, daim duab tsuas yog qis dua rau xya lub sijhawm txij li Lub Ob Hlis 2019. Arcane tau hais tias cov sijhawm no tsis tshua muaj kev hloov pauv tsis tshua muaj sijhawm ntev. Yog li ntawd, volatility compression lub sij hawm yuav tsum tau ua raws li los ntawm ntse txav, txawm nyob rau hauv dull kev lag luam.
Ntxiv nrog rau qhov txo qis ntawm tus nqi txav, Bitcoin qhov chaw ntim kuj tseem qhuav. Kev ua lag luam yav tom ntej, ntawm qhov tod tes, tau pom tias tau kav nyob rau hauv txoj cai ncaj ncees.
"Txhua lub lag luam feem ntau ruaj khov, nrog rau kev koom tes ntawm kev lag luam apathetic. Kaw Asmeskas kev lag luam zoo li yog qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb tom qab tus nqi poob qis ntawm kev lig kev cai, tab sis nws kuj tau exaggerated los ntawm kev nthuav dav dav ntawm kev koom tes hauv khw muag khoom thiab ob peb cov xov xwm tseem ceeb. "
Gemini-DCG Fiasco
Mus rau pem hauv ntej, 2023 yuav zoo li tus tsis tshua muaj volatility thiab stagnant kev lag luam qauv. Tab sis Gemini-DCG fiasco ua rau muaj kev hem thawj rau kev ua lag luam.
Tus co-founder ntawm crypto pauv Cameron Winklevoss muab lub ultimatum mos rau Digital Currency Group (DCG) CEO Barry Silbert los koom tes ntawm kev them rov qab Chiv Keeb los ntawm Lub Ib Hlis 8.
Rau cov ntsiab lus, Gemini tau muab 8% txaus siab rau cov tub ua lag luam ntawm qee yam cryptocurrencies nyob rau hauv nws cov nyiaj khwv tau los, uas nws cov neeg koom nrog - Chiv Keeb. Tab sis nrog FTX lub cev qhuav dej, qhov kawg tau los nyob rau hauv kev nyuaj siab nyiaj txiag. Cov nyiaj ntsuab tau yuam lub platform kom tsis txhob rho tawm ntawm Gemini rau ze li ob lub hlis tam sim no. Chiv Keeb tshuav Gemini cov neeg siv tag nrho ntawm $ 900 lab.
Raws li Arcane, ib txoj hauv kev "natural thiab tsis tshua muaj peev xwm-kev txwv" rau qhov kev muag khoom no tuaj yeem pib Reg M, yog li ua rau cov tub luam tuaj yeem txhiv cov khoom ntawm NAV. Qhov no yuav nqaim qhov luv nqi, thiab nws qhov cuam tshuam yuav hnov hauv kev lag luam crypto.
"Tam sim no, GBTC pauv ntawm 45% luv nqi rau nws NAV, thaum ETHE pauv ntawm 59% luv nqi rau nws NAV. GBTC tuav 3.3% ntawm cov khoom siv BTC thiab 2.5% ntawm ETH muab. A Reg M yuav ua rau muaj kev sib cav loj heev ntawm kev muag crypto chaw piv rau kev yuav Grayscale Trust shares. "
Yog tias qhov xwm txheej no hloov pauv, qhov kev poob qis yuav raug zam. Nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev, txawm li cas los xij, kev ua lag luam thaum kawg yuav tau tshem tawm "lub nra loj uas Greyscale tus poj ntsuam tsim lag luam tau tsim" thiab tab tom tsim los ua "muaj peev xwm ua lag luam hauv qab."
Binance Dawb $ 100 (Tswj): Siv cov ntawv txuas no mus rau npe thiab tau txais $ 100 pub dawb thiab 10% tawm tus nqi ntawm Binance Futures thawj lub hlis (cov ntsiab lus uas).
PrimeXBT Kev Tshwj Xeeb: Siv cov ntawv txuas no sau npe & sau POTATO50 code kom tau txais txog li $ 7,000 ntawm koj cov nyiaj tso cia.
Tau qhov twg los: https://cryptopotato.com/gemini-dcg-fiasco-may-shape-to-be-market-bottom-event-in-2023-report/