Tojsiab
Democrats 'kev poob qis ntawm Lub Tsev yuav raug cuam tshuam los ntawm kev tsis txaus siab ntawm cov neeg xaiv tsa hluas, Associated Press cov ntaub ntawv tso tawm hnub Monday qhia, pom tias thaum feem ntau ntawm cov neeg pov npav yau tseem txhawb nqa Democratic House cov neeg sib tw nyob rau nruab nrab, lawv tsis tshua muaj peev xwm ua li ntawd dua li tsoomfwv cov haiv neeg hauv 2018 thiab 2020 - qhov teeb meem tshwm sim rau Democrats mus rau 2024.
Lub rooj teeb tsa los ntawm Washtenaw County Democratic Party sab nraum lub chaw xaiv tsa rau xyoo 2022 … [+]
AFP ntawm Getty Dluab
Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb
AP VoteCast daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas raws li nyob rau kwv yees li 115,000 tag nrho cov neeg xaiv tsa kev xam phaj pom tias 53% ntawm cov neeg xaiv tsa hauv qab 30 txhawb nqa Democratic House cov neeg sib tw hauv kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab, thaum 41% pov npav rau Republicans.
Qhov ntawd tsawg dua 61% ntawm cov neeg pov npav qis dua 30 leej uas txhawb nqa Thawj Tswj Hwm Joe Biden hauv 2020, thiab nqis los ntawm 64% ntawm cov neeg pov npav hnub nyoog 18 txog 29 xyoo uas tau pov npav rau Democrats hauv 2018 midterms.
Tsuas yog kwv yees li 25% ntawm cov neeg pov npav ywj pheej hnub nyoog qis dua 30 xyoo tau hais tias kev txheeb xyuas raws li Democrat yog "tseem ceeb" lossis "tseem ceeb heev" rau lawv, AP tau tshaj tawm, piv rau ib feem peb ntawm cov laus Democrats.
Cov tub ntxhais hluas cov neeg pov npav hnub nyoog qis dua 45 xyoos tau txhawb nqa ntau dua ntawm Democrats hauv ntau qhov kev sib tw tseem ceeb xyoo no dua li lawv tau ua rau Biden xyoo 2020, suav nrog hauv kev sib tw gubernatorial hauv Pennsylvania, Michigan thiab Kansas thiab hauv Pennsylvania Senate haiv neeg.
Cov neeg pov npav hnub nyoog qis dua 45 xyoos tsis tshua muaj kev txhawb nqa ntawm Democratic gubernatorial cov neeg sib tw hauv New Hampshire thiab Nevada dua li lawv yog Biden, txawm li cas los xij.
Cov neeg pov npav hnub nyoog qis dua 30 tau txhawb nqa Republican JD Vance ntau dua hauv Ohio Senate haiv neeg dua li cov hnub nyoog 30-44, AP pom, faib lawv cov kev txhawb nqa sib npaug ntawm Vance thiab Democrat Tim Ryan, thaum 58% ntawm cov hnub nyoog 30-44 txhawb Ryan.
Txaus Ntshai Qhov Tseeb
Ntawm cov tub ntxhais hluas cov neeg xaiv tsa uas tau tawm mus rau Democrats, kev rho menyuam yog qhov tseem ceeb txhawb nqa. Kwv yees li ib nrab ntawm cov tub ntxhais hluas cov neeg xaiv tsa hauv lub xeev muaj kev sib tw sib tw tshaj plaws tau tshaj tawm tias Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Plaws Tshaj Tawm Roe v. Wade tau muaj "kev cuam tshuam loj" rau lawv cov pov npav, AP tau tshaj tawm.
Tus lej Loj
36%. Qhov ntawd yog feem ntawm cov neeg pov npav hnub nyoog qis dua 45 xyoos uas txheeb xyuas tias yog cov Democrats nce qib, AP pom, piv nrog 20% ntawm cov 45 thiab laus dua.
Contra
AP qhov kev tshawb pom txog cov tub ntxhais hluas txhawb nqa rau Democrats yog qhov tseem ceeb qis dua Tufts University's Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement (CIRCLE), uas taug qab cov tub ntxhais hluas kev xaiv tsa. CIRCLE's cov ntaub ntawv thaum ntxov los ntawm kev xaiv tsa, raws li kev tawm suab pov npav, pom 64% ntawm cov neeg pov npav hnub nyoog 18-29 txhawb nqa Democratic House cov neeg sib tw, piv rau 36% rau Republicans. Qhov ntawd tseem yog me ntsis qis dua li 67% ntawm cov tub ntxhais hluas cov neeg pov npav uas CIRCLE pom tau txhawb nqa Democratic House cov neeg sib tw hauv xyoo 2018, uas pawg sau tseg yog Democrats qhov kev txhawb nqa siab tshaj plaws nrog cov tub ntxhais hluas xaiv tsa. CIRCLE cov ntaub ntawv thaum ntxov kuj tej yaam num tias kwv yees li 27% ntawm cov neeg pov npav hnub nyoog 18-29 tau pov npav rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis ib nrab, uas yog zaum ob rau xyoo 2018 (thaum 31% ntawm cov tub ntxhais hluas pov npav tawm) txij li CIRCLE pib taug qab cov neeg tawm mus hauv 1990s.
Kev Nkag Siab Hais
"Cov neeg yau tshaj plaws kuj tseem muaj cov koom haum tsis muaj zog tshaj plaws, yog li lawv tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua rau cov neeg koom nrog kev sib tw thoob tebchaws," University of Florida tus kws tshawb fawb txog kev nom kev tswv Michael McDonald tau hais rau AP, txawm hais tias nws ntxiv qhov kev hloov pauv tuaj yeem yog qhov tsis txaus ntseeg los ntawm kev nce nqi.
Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb
Cov ntawv tshaj tawm plam hauv kev txhawb nqa ntawm cov neeg xaiv tsa hluas tuaj tom qab Biden pom nws cov koob meej poob ntawm Gen Z Asmeskas ua ntej xyoo 2022. Ntau qhov kev xaiv tsa tau pom tias muaj kev txaus siab rau tus thawj tswj hwm ywj pheej tau poob qis txij li lub xyoo ua ntej thaum cov tub ntxhais hluas tau hais tawm tsis txaus siab txog cov teeb meem xws li kev hloov huab cua, kev ncaj ncees ntawm haiv neeg thiab cov tub ntxhais kawm cov nuj nqis. A Harvard Youth Poll Txij thaum Lub Kaum Hli pom tias Biden qhov kev nyiam tsis zoo los ntawm lub caij nplooj zeeg, nrog 39% pom zoo rau nws piv rau 41% nyob rau lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav thiab 59% nyob rau lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav 2021. Txawm hais tias qhov kev poob qis hauv kev txhawb nqa uas AP pom, Democrats tau qhuas cov tub ntxhais hluas tawm mus. nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis lub midterms yog qhov tseem ceeb rau tog yeej. Cov tub ntxhais hluas cov neeg xaiv tsa tau yog pawg pov npav tseem ceeb rau cov Democrats tab sis nyuaj rau kev sib tw, keeb kwm pov npav tsawg dua li cov neeg laus laus, thiab Democrats tau taw qhia rau CIRCLE cov ntaub ntawv qhia txog cov tub ntxhais hluas cov neeg nyob ze uas yog lub cim ntawm kev vam meej. Biden Ua tsaug Cov tub ntxhais hluas cov neeg pov npav tom qab kev xaiv tsa, qhuas lawv rau "kev pov npav hauv cov lej keeb kwm dua, ib yam li lawv tau ua ob xyoos dhau los." Thaum Democrats nqaim poob lub tsev nyob rau hauv nruab nrab lub sij hawm, nrog Republicans yeej ib tug projection 221 rooj rau Democrats '213, sab laug txwv tsis pub muaj kev vam meej nyob rau hauv ib nrab lub sij hawm xaiv tsa, tuav tswj ntawm Senate thiab yeej muaj ntau yam tseem ceeb sib ntaus sib tua lub xeev kev sib tw rau tus tswv xeev thiab lwm yam high-ranking. txoj haujlwm.
ntxiv nyeem ntawv
Cov tub ntxhais hluas cov neeg xaiv tsa kev txaus siab rau Democrats ploj mus thaum lub sijhawm nruab nrab (Associated Press)
Ntau lab cov tub ntxhais hluas pov npav, txiav txim siab 2022 haiv neeg (Lub voj voog)
Biden tau ua si rau cov tub ntxhais hluas pov npav. Nws ua haujlwm - thiab pab Democrats khaws Senate (Bloomberg)
Biden qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawm Gen Z thiab ntau txhiab xyoo tau ploj mus. Vim li cas? (Vox)
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2022/12/12/young-voters-support-for-democrats-slipped-this-year-poll-finds/