Koj Paub Thaum Koj Pom Nws

Raws li Kev Ncaj Ncees Potter Stuart tau hais txog cov duab liab qab, koj paub nws thaum koj pom nws. Cov xovxwm yuav tsis hu nws ua lag luam dais kom txog rau thaum nws ua tau raws li cov lus txhais: qhov poob ntawm 20% los ntawm qhov siab. Tam sim no S&P 500 poob yog 18%. Tab sis yog tias nws zoo li lub lag luam dais thiab quacks zoo li ib yam nkaus, nws yuav yog. Qhov no yog ib qho los ntawm kev txhais. Xav txog cov nram qab no ncov-rau-trough poob:

Nasdaq - 30%

Bitcoin
BTC
-56%

Cryptocurrency Luna
nkauj hnub nraug hli
-100%

Long-Term Treasury Bonds -20%

Ark Innovation ETF -71%

Ironically, los ntawm lub sij hawm lub lag luam dais muaj npe, nws yog feem ntau ze rau qhov kawg tshaj qhov pib. Cov tib neeg zoo li yuav tau them nyiaj rau cov khoom vaj khoom tsev ntawm lub sijhawm no. Qhov no tsim qhov kawg ceg downward hu ua capitulation. Sim mus rau lub sijhawm hauv qab yog tsis yooj yim sua, tab sis qhov phem tshaj plaws uas yuav ua tam sim no yuav yog muag cov khoom lag luam zoo thiab cov ntawv cog lus.

Ntawm qhov tod tes, as Kuv sau rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, cov khoom muaj nqis uas tsis tuaj yeem muaj nuj nqis zoo li cryptocurrency, yuav tsum tsis txhob muaj nyob hauv thawj qhov chaw. Qee tus ntawm lawv yuav rov qab los tab sis feem ntau ntawm lawv yuav ploj mus zoo li lub npe hu ua Luna "Stablecoin." Ib yam li thaum lub sij hawm dotcom bust muaj ntau pua Pets.com (uas muag rau lub thom khwm thiab ib zaj nkauj) rau txhua Amazon
AMZN
, yuav muaj ntau tus dab ntawm cov tuam txhab yav dhau los uas litter lub ticker rau lub hlis tom ntej. Thaum kawg, lawv tau delisted thiab tib neeg tsiv mus. Qhov sib txawv nrog qhov zoo (raws li kev loj hlob) yog nws nyiam nyob ib puag ncig. Tsis muaj ib qho kev lees paub tias txawm tias lub tuam txhab xiav nti tseem yuav nyob ntawm no hauv kaum xyoo lub sijhawm, tab sis nws yeej ib txwm zoo dua thawj koom ruam dua li cov khoom lag luam faddish meme lossis qhov tseeb NFT.

Siv lub lag luam dais tam sim no los khaws cov khoom lag luam zoo ntawm qhov pheej yig. Yog tias lawv poob qis ntxiv, keeb kwm tseem nyob ntawm koj sab yuav ntawm qib no. Tsis tas li ntawd, qhov no yog kev lag luam dais hauv tandem nrog lub lag luam dais. Tab sis txawm tias tom qab Nyiaj Txiag Nyiaj Txiag raug kev txom nyem 8% poob hauv xyoo 1994, lawv tau sib sau ua ke 23% xyoo tom qab (qhov kev cia siab nyiaj txiag thaum lub sijhawm tau dhau los ua dhau los thiab cov nqi cog lus twb tau them rau qhov mob hnyav heev).

Yog li koj paub nws thaum koj pom nws. Nws yog lub lag luam dais, tsis muaj teeb meem dab tsi xov xwm hu nws. Qhov ntawd yuav tsum yog qhov laj thawj tseem yuav muag cov khoom tsis raug tab sis yuav qhov raug.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesberman/2022/05/13/a-bear-market-has-arrived-you-know-it-when-you-see-it/