kub (XAU / USD) tus nqi tshem tawm feem ntau ntawm cov txiaj ntsig uas nws tau ua rau lub lim tiam dhau los raws li cov tub lag luam tau xav txog ntawm cov lus hawkish los ntawm Jerome Powell, Tsoom Fwv Tebchaws Reserve lub rooj zaum. Nws nqis mus rau qhov qis ntawm $ 1,812, uas yog qib qis tshaj txij li lub Kaum Ob Hlis 30th. Kub tau nqis los ntawm ntau dua 7.50% los ntawm qib siab tshaj xyoo no.
Kev kwv yees tus nqi kub
Kub tau poob qis heev thaum US Dollar Performance index ua rau muaj zog rov qab los, raws li kuv tau kwv yees hauv qhov no tsab xov xwm. Qhov kev txiav txim tus nqi no tau tshwm sim thawj hnub ntawm Jerome Powell cov lus pov thawj hauv Senate, qhov uas nws rov hais dua tias Fed yuav txuas ntxiv nce cov paj laum nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej.
Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tam sim no cia siab tias lub txhab nyiaj yuav nce cov paj laum li ntawm 0.50% hauv lub Peb Hlis, siab dua qhov kwv yees yav dhau los ntawm 0.25%. Tus nqi davhlau ya nyob twg yuav tsum nyob nruab nrab ntawm 5.5% thiab 6.0%. Nyob rau hauv feem ntau lub sij hawm, kub nyhav rau underperform nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm thaum Fed yog heev hawkish.
Ntawm daim ntawv qhia hnub, peb pom tias tus nqi kub tau rov qab ntsuas qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev tiv thaiv ntawm $ 1,805, uas yog qib qis tshaj lub lim tiam dhau los. Raws li nws poob, XAU / USD khub movd hauv qab 50-hnub thiab 25-hnub txav nruab nrab, qhia tias bears tseem tswj tau.
Kub tau tsiv ntawm 50% thiab 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement theem thaum lub Tus kwv tij lub zog Index (RSI) thiab MACD tau txuas ntxiv thim rov qab. Tus nqi yog nyob rau sab saum toj ntawm kev lag luam ntau ntawm Murrey kab lej.
Yog li ntawd, tus nqi kub yuav zoo li poob mus ntxiv raws li cov neeg muag khoom tsom mus rau qib txhawb nqa tseem ceeb tom ntej ntawm $ 1,761, uas yog qhov tseem ceeb nres thiab tsis kam (S&R) qib. Ib qho kev poob qis hauv qib ntawd yuav ua rau pom txog $ 1,700.
XAU/USD tus nqi kwv yees (4H)
XAU / USD tus nqi tau nyob rau hauv ib qho kev poob qis thiab yog zaum ntawm qhov kawg kev txhawb nqa ntawm Murrey kab lej. Zoo li nyob rau hauv daim ntawv qhia hnub, nkawm niam txiv tau txav mus rau hauv qab txhua qhov kev txav mus los thiab tab tom hovering me ntsis saum cov kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb ntawm $ 1,804, qhov qis tshaj plaws txij li lub lim tiam dhau los. Lub histogram thiab ob kab ntawm lub MACD tau txav mus rau hauv qab theem nruab nrab.
Nws kuj tau tsim ib tug bearish chij qauv, uas feem ntau yog ib tug bearish kos npe rau. Yog li ntawd, cov khub yuav zoo li muaj kev poob qis, nrog rau qib tseem ceeb tom ntej yog $ 1,750 ua raws li $ 1,700.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2023/03/08/gold-price-forecast-xau-usd-bull-run-hangs-in-the-balance/