Cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev vam tias yuav muaj huab cua zoo dua hauv 2023 tau tos ntev dua, vim tias tam sim no lawv ntsib cov nqi qiv nyiaj siab tshaj plaws los pib lub xyoo tshiab txij li xyoo 2002.
Txawm li cas los xij, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tseem cia siab tias hnub no tus nqi hloov pauv yuav ruaj khov nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej.
"Txawm hais tias kev ua lag luam qiv nyiaj tau poob qis dua xyoo tas los, kev ntxhov siab nyiaj txiag tau yooj yim thiab yuav tsum ua rau qis qis qis hauv 2023," hais tias Sam Khater, Freddie Mac tus thawj coj nyiaj txiag.
"Cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev tab tom tos cov nqi txo qis dua, thiab thaum lawv ua tiav, kev ua lag luam muaj zog thiab cov neeg coob coob ntawm cov neeg xauj tsev ntau txhiab xyoo yuav muab kev txhawb nqa rau lub khw yuav khoom."
Tsis nco
30-xyoo taag-tus nqi qiv nyiaj
Qhov nruab nrab 30-xyoo ruaj-tus nqi yog 6.48%, nce los ntawm lub lim tiam dhau los thaum qhov nruab nrab tus nqi yog 6.42%, Freddie Mac qhia hnub Thursday.
Lub sijhawm no ib xyoos dhau los, tus nqi nruab nrab tsuas yog 3.22%.
"Txawm hais tias tus nqi ntau dua ob npaug rau ib xyoos dhau los, cov nqi yuav zoo li ruaj khov qis dua 6% hauv 2023 vim tias kev nce nqi yuav pheej yig dua nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej," hais tias Nadia Evangelou, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag laus rau National Association of Realtors.
Nws lees paub tias tsuas yog ib feem ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom muaj peev xwm tuaj yeem them tau tsev yog tias cov xwm txheej no nyob ntev.
"Nrog cov nyiaj tau los tsim nyog nyob ze ntawm $ 100,000 qhov pib, 32% ntawm tag nrho cov tsev neeg thiab 15% ntawm tag nrho cov neeg xauj tsev tam sim no muaj peev xwm them taus mus yuav lub tsev nruab nrab nqi."
15-xyoo taag-tus nqi qiv nyiaj
Qhov nruab nrab 15-xyoo ruaj tus nqi nce mus txog 5.73%, piv rau lub lim tiam dhau los tus nqi ntawm 5.68%.
Lub sijhawm no xyoo tas los, nws yog 2.43%.
"Capital lag luam tab tom ua rau qhov tsis paub tseeb tshwm sim los ntawm dichotomy ntawm mounting kev cia siab txog kev poob nyiaj txiag thiab cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam tuaj uas qhia tias muaj kev pheej hmoo ntxiv," sau George Ratiu, tus thawj coj ntawm kev tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag ntawm Realtor.com.
"Kev lag luam vaj tsev tau ruaj khov nyob rau lub caij ntuj no, nrog cov nqi siab thiab tus nqi tsim kom muaj kev cuam tshuam rau ntau tus neeg yuav khoom ntawm txoj kev mus rau cov tswv tsev."
Ratiu taw qhia tias tus neeg yuav khoom ntawm lub tsev nruab nrab nqi hnub no tuaj yeem ntsib cov nyiaj them txhua hli uas yog 64% siab dua xyoo tas los.
"Peb yuav tsum tau tos kom txog thaum pib lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav caij nplooj ntoos hlav kom paub meej ntxiv txog cov kev taw qhia ntawm kev lag luam vaj tsev nyob rau xyoo no, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog vim cov neeg yuav khoom thiab cov neeg muag khoom tau thim rov qab los ntawm kev ua lag luam."
Nyeem ntxiv: 4 txoj hauv kev yooj yim kom loj hlob koj cov nyiaj khwv tau los nyuaj yam tsis muaj kev lag luam shaky
Pending tsev muag khoom poob qis
Kev muag khoom hauv tsev tau poob 32% nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, piv rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los, qhia Redfin. Kev muag khoom poob mus rau lawv qhov qis tshaj txij li tsawg kawg 2015.
"Kev lag luam vaj tsev nyob fizzled tawm thaum kawg ntawm 2022 vim yog 6%-ntxiv rau cov nqi qiv nyiaj, kev lag luam poob qis, cov ntawv teev npe tshiab qis, huab cua lub caij ntuj no hnyav thiab cov hnub so poob qis," sau Redfin cov ntaub ntawv sau xov xwm Dana Anderson.
Cov vaj tsev loj tshaj plaws rau qhov kev poob qis tshaj plaws hauv "kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam hotspots" Las Vegas, Phoenix thiab Austin, uas txhua tus pom qhov muag muag poob ntau dua 50%.
"Ob pawg ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom tab tom pib tshawb nrhiav tam sim no: Thawj zaug cia siab tias tus nqi thiab kev sib tw muaj peev xwm tswj tau ntau dua li lawv tau dhau ob peb xyoos dhau los, thiab rov qab cov neeg yuav khoom uas tau so tom qab poob rau ntau lub tsev thaum muaj kev sib kis loj- kev ua tsov rog frenzy, ”hais tias Seattle Redfin tus neeg sawv cev Shoshana Godwin.
Godwin ntseeg tias tam sim no cov neeg yuav khoom yuav tuaj yeem nrhiav tsev rau tus nqi qis dua piv rau xyoo tas los, tab sis kev lag luam tuaj yeem dhau los ua kev sib tw ntau dua rau lub hlis tom ntej.
"Kuv cia siab tias cov npe tshiab yuav tsis tshua muaj vim cov tswv tsev tuav cov paj laum qis thaum lub pas dej ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom txiav txim siab ncig ob peb lub tsev uas muaj."
Cov ntawv thov qiv nyiaj qis tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 90s
Cov ntawv thov qiv nyiaj poob qis 13.2% los ntawm ob lub lis piam ua ntej, raws li Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag. (Cov ntaub ntawv tsis tau tso tawm lub lim tiam dhau los txij li MBA cov chaw haujlwm raug kaw rau hnub so.)
"Lub sijhawm kawg ntawm lub xyoo yog lub sijhawm qeeb qeeb rau kev lag luam vaj tsev, thiab nrog cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj tseem zoo siab dua 6% thiab kev hem thawj ntawm kev lag luam poob qis, daim ntawv thov qiv nyiaj txuas ntxiv poob rau ob lub lis piam dhau los mus rau qib qis tshaj txij li xyoo 1996, ” hais tias Joel Kan, tus lwm thawj coj thiab tus thawj coj saib xyuas nyiaj txiag ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag.
Kev ua lag luam rov qab kuj tau poob 16.3% los ntawm ob lub lis piam dhau los - thiab yog 87% qis dua tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los.
Kan hais tias "Txawm hais tias kev loj hlob ntawm tus nqi hauv tsev qeeb hauv ntau qhov chaw hauv lub tebchaws, cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj nce ntxiv ua rau muaj kev nyuaj siab rau kev pheej yig thiab ua rau cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev yuav tawm ntawm lub khw," Kan hais.
Yuav nyeem dab tsi tom ntej
'Tuav koj cov nyiaj': Jeff Bezos hais tias tej zaum koj yuav xav rov xav txog kev yuav ' tsheb tshiab, tub yees, lossis dab tsi' - ntawm no yog 3 zoo dua kev poob nyiaj pov thawj yuav
Xav nqis peev koj qhov kev hloov pauv tab sis tsis paub yuav pib qhov twg? Sim no investing app ua ntej Kaum Ob Hlis 31 thiab tau them $20′
Ntawm no yog 3 yooj yim nyiaj tsiv los muab koj tus as-qhauj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj txhawb nqa hnub no
Kab lus no muab cov ntaub ntawv nkaus xwb thiab yuav tsum tsis txhob muab txhais ua cov lus qhia. Nws tau muab yam tsis muaj kev lees paub ntawm txhua yam.
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/housing-market-fizzled-2023-off-140000495.html