Nrog Hluav Taws Xob Hluav Taws Xob Hauv Kev Ua Phem, Tebchaws Asmeskas Thiab Ukraine Nrhiav Scarce Transmission Gear

Russia, mob siab rau rhuav tshem Ukraine daim phiaj fais fab, yog raug Ukrainian hluav taws xob substations rau ib tug withering array ntawm missile thiab drone ntaus. Ib txhij nce nyob rau hauv lub cev tawm tsam ntawm US hluav taws xob substations muaj kev pheej hmoo ua rau kev ua tsov ua rog Lavxias teb sab aims los ntawm crimping lub ntiaj teb no nruj cov khoom ntawm transformers thiab lwm yam tseem ceeb hluav taws xob daim phiaj subcomponents.

Kev ua phem rau Asmeskas cov khoom siv hluav taws xob uas muaj hluav taws xob ntau tau nce ntxiv-tsawg kawg yog 19 tawm tsam tau tshwm sim txij lub Cuaj Hli ib leeg. Nrog cov khoom siv hluav taws xob xa hluav taws xob ntawm qhov qis qis, Asmeskas cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tau sib tsoo los npaj rau kev tawm tsam ntau dua-thiab sim ua kom lawv cov khoom siv hluav taws xob sib kis tau zoo ib yam li Ukraine tab tom nrhiav rau tib yam khoom siv hluav taws xob.

Kev txwv thoob ntiaj teb ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob faib khoom yog qhov paub zoo thoob ntiaj teb kev tsis sib haum xeeb. Hluav taws xob cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tau tawm tsam nrog cov khoom siv hluav taws xob faib khoom siv cov teeb meem rau xyoo. Transformers-cov qauv roj puv uas nce siab lossis qis-tau poob qis vim qhov kev xav tau muaj zog, thiab COVID-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw, kev txwv kev ua haujlwm thiab teeb meem thauj khoom tsis tau pab. Russia tus ntxeem tau, thiab Ukraine tus scramble kom rov qab los ntawm Lavxias teb sab kev tawm tsam ntawm cov hluav taws xob tseem ceeb infrastructure, twb tau thawb transformer inventories sau lows thiab radically nce transformer nqi thoob ntiaj teb.

Kev tawm tsam txuas ntxiv ntawm cov phiaj hluav taws xob nyob deb ntawm Ukraine kev sib ntaus sib tua tuaj yeem thawb cov khoom siv hluav taws xob uas twb muaj kev ntxhov siab dhau los ua lag luam rau hauv kev tsis sib haum xeeb, ua rau nws nyuaj dua rau Ukraine kom lub teeb rau.

Rau Russia, kev cuam tshuam fais fab yog qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws

Thaum cov neeg ua haujlwm rau nthwv dej zaum kawg ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas lub zog hluav taws xob tawm tsam feem ntau tsis paub, Russia tau ua tsis pub leejtwg paub tias nws tau txiav txim siab. kev tsim hluav taws xob thiab kev faib tawm los ua lub hom phiaj, thiab tau taw qhia rau ntau lub hlis tias lub zog thiab hluav taws xob tsim yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Lavxias teb sab tswv yim.

Thaum Lub Kaum Hli, teb rau cov lus tsis txaus siab txog kev tawm tsam Lavxias ntawm Ukrainian cov txheej txheem tseem ceeb, Lavxias President Vladimir Putin ceeb toom tias "txhua qhov kev tsim kho tseem ceeb hauv kev thauj mus los, hluav taws xob lossis kev sib txuas lus tau raug kev hem thawj-txawm hais tias nws nyob qhov twg hauv ntiaj teb, nws yog tus tswj hwm, muab tso rau hauv hiav txwv lossis hauv av."

Ib cag los ntawm kev tawm tsam ncaj qha rau lub zog tsim hluav taws xob hauv Ukraine, cuam tshuam cov phiaj xwm hluav taws xob hauv lwm lub teb chaws muaj cov kauj ruam tsim nyog los txhawb kev ua tsov rog Lavxias.

Russia muaj ntau txoj kev xaiv los cuam tshuam kev sib txuas hluav taws xob. Ncaj nraim Lavxias teb sab kev tawm tsam rau txawv teb chaws hluav taws xob infrastructure, thaum tsis tshua muaj kev pheej hmoo, yog yeej tsis dhau lub peev xwm ntawm tsoom fwv Lavxias. Cov tsoomfwv European twb xav tias Russia yog tom qab tawg ntawm ob lub Nord Stream pipelines nyob rau hauv lub hiav txwv Baltic. Thiab cov neeg Lavxias tau raug ntes tau ntau zaus thoob plaws hauv Tebchaws Europe, ya drones dhau qhov tseem ceeb hauv European zog infrastructure.

Txhua yam ua tau. Nrog European Parliament tshaj tawm Russia a lub xeev txhawb nqa kev ua phem hauv lub Kaum Ib Hlis, thiab nrog Cov tub ceev xwm nyob sab Europe txuas nrog Lavxias tub rog txawj ntse mus rau high-profile European assassinations thiab bombings ntawm mos txwv dumps thiab depots - ib cov ntaub ntawv ntawm kev ua phem ua phem thoob plaws teb chaws Europe uas pib nyob rau hauv 2006 nrog kev phem siv cov xov tooj cua polonium los tua Alexander Litvinenko nyob rau hauv lub UK - Russia lub phiaj los nqis tes ua txhaum Ukraine lub hwj chim daim phiaj yuav ua tau zoo. dhau ntawm kev sib ntaus sib tua, mus rau Tebchaws Europe thiab, muaj peev xwm, hauv Asmeskas.

Kev tawm tsam tsis ncaj ntawm lub zog tsim hluav taws xob, tso cai rau Russia plausible deniability, yog ib qho nyuaj ua, tab sis lawv twb tshwm sim nyob rau hauv cov teb chaws Europe. Ib teev ua ntej qhov kev tawm tsam Lavxias pib, kev puas tsuaj los ntawm kev tswj tsis tau Lavxias teb sab cyber nres tau cuam tshuam ntau txhiab tus neeg. German cua turbines.

Tab sis Russia txoj kev siv tau zoo tshaj plaws ntawm kev cuam tshuam cov phiaj xwm hluav taws xob tuaj yeem zoo los ntawm kev txhawb nqa lossis txhawb kev tawm tsam los ntawm lwm tus. Hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas, cov neeg soj ntsuam tau sau tseg tias kev sib xyaw ntawm cov neeg ua haujlwm dawb, cov neeg ua haujlwm nrawm, thiab lwm yam kev ua txhaum cai tsis txaus ntseeg uas paub txog kev coj noj coj ua los ntawm Russia tau nthuav tawm tshwj xeeb hauv kev tawm tsam Asmeskas lub zog tsim hluav taws xob, thiab xav tsis thoob tias yog dab tsi hloov pauv cov tswv yim ua phem ntev mus rau hauv. kev txiav txim ntawm lub sijhawm tshwj xeeb no.

Russia muaj cov ntaub ntawv ntawm kev pab cuam tawg thiab lwm yam kev sib koom tes sib koom ua ke nyob ib ncig ntawm ib qho kev ua ub no lossis ib qho laj thawj. Piv txwv li, cyber criminals nrog xav tias txuas mus rau tsoom fwv Lavxias tau rov ua phem rau lub zog infrastructure. Raws li thaum ntxov 2017, cov kws tshawb fawb ntawm lub Henry M. Jackson School of International Studies tau txheeb xyuas ntau qhov kev sib raug zoo ntawm Lavxias-tsoomfwv cuam tshuam nrog cybercriminals thiab hluav taws xob hluav taws xob tawm tsam.

Kev sib koom tes yog ua tau. Nyob rau hauv lub run-up mus rau Lavxias teb sab ntxeem tau, ib co European tsoom fwv xav yog ib tug nce hauv kev tawm tsam cyber nyob rau hauv European lub hwj chim sector tau orchestrated los ntawm Lavxias teb sab txawj ntse. Tab sis, tsis hais txog kev txhawb siab, tsis muaj leej twg tsis ntseeg cov neeg ua phem Lavxias muaj-thiab tam sim no-cov phiaj xwm hluav taws xob thiab hluav taws xob infrastructure. nyob hauv Tebchaws Europe thiab lwm qhov. Russian-based cyber criminals orchestrated the Colonial Pipeline fiasco, cuam tshuam cov roj faib mus rau sab hnub tuaj ntug dej hiav txwv. Thiab lwm tus neeg Lavxias teb sab cyber criminals tau txuas ntxiv tawm tsam European lub tuam txhab fais fab, ntaus ib qho ntawm lub teb chaws Yelemees loj tshaj plaws cov tuam txhab faib hluav taws xob tsis ntev los no lub Kaum Hli.

Lavxias teb sab cyber underworld yog ib qho chaw murky, thiab txhais cov ntsiab lus rau txhua qhov kev tawm tsam cyber yog qhov nyuaj. Tab sis cov kws tshawb nrhiav yog qee tus neeg ua phem hauv Lavxias teb sab cyber muaj, qee zaum, tau ua txuas mus rau Lavxias teb sab txawj ntse thiab muaj ua haujlwm ua ke. Kev sib koom tes yav dhau los tau ntev thiab tsis ntev los no. A 2021 qhia los ntawm Analyst1, lub tuam txhab kev hem thawj, tau piav qhia txog yuav ua li cas ob tus thawj coj hauv Lavxias thiab ransomware cov neeg ua phem ua haujlwm "ua ke los cuam tshuam rau tsoomfwv Meskas cov koom haum koom nrog thaum Lub Kaum Hli thiab Kaum Ob Hlis 2020," taw qhia txog kev sib raug zoo ntawm tus kheej ntawm cov tib neeg hauv cov koom haum ua txhaum cai thiab Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Saib Xyuas Kev Ruaj Ntseg Lavxias thiab. Raws li kev txheeb xyuas qhov sib piv nthuav dav ntawm Lavxias lub xeev malware thiab malware ua haujlwm los ntawm Lavxias cybercriminals.

Yog hais tias kev puas tsuaj ntawm Ukraine lub zog infrastructure yog ib qho tseem ceeb facet ntawm Lavxias teb sab lub tswv yim, ces nws yog tsim nyog los nug txog dab tsi extremes Russia yuav mus nqa tawm.

Cov Neeg Mis Kas Extremists Obsessed Nrog Daim phiaj hluav taws xob-Thiab txuas rau Russia

Ib yam li tsoomfwv Lavxias tau cuam tshuam nrog kev sib tham cyber criminals, cov neeg soj ntsuam ntseeg tias tsoomfwv Lavxias tau tsim kev sib raug zoo zoo sib xws rau cov kev tawm tsam ntawm kev tawm tsam-kev nyiam cov neeg koom nrog rau lub sijhawm ntev, nce tsib xyoos nyob rau hauv domestic tawm tsam ntawm US hluav taws xob daim phiaj.

Ntxiv dua thiab, lub extremist underworld yog ib qho chaw murky. Tab sis, dua, cov kws tshawb nrhiav tau rov txheeb xyuas cov kev sib txuas ntawm Lavxias mus rau Asmeskas cov neeg ua haujlwm ntawm cov neeg dawb huv thiab kev nrawm nrawm. Tsoomfwv Meskas Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ruaj Ntseg tau xaiv ib pab neeg Lavxias paub txog kev qhia kev cob qhia rau cov neeg ua haujlwm ntawm Charlottesville, Virginia dawb lub zog riots raws li ib tug koomhaum neeg ua phem. Thiab Asmeskas cov kws txawj ntse txawm xav tsis thoob yog tias tus tsim pab pawg neeg dawb tshaj plaws "Lub Base" - ib tug neeg xam xaj Asmeskas uas tam sim no nyob hauv Russia - yog lub sijhawm ntev. Tus neeg saib xyuas Lavxias.

Yog tias Russia tau txaus siab los thawb cov neeg Amelikas uas raug tsim txom los ntawm kev tawm tsam lub zog hluav taws xob, cov zej zog extremist yeej yog qhov tseem ceeb rau nws. Kev sib tham ntawm kev cuam tshuam hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas daim phiaj hluav taws xob tau rattled nyob ib ncig ntawm US-based supremacist dawb thiab pab pawg accelerationist tau ntau xyoo.

Tab sis kev ceeb toom tsis zoo yuav tshwm sim. Extremists yuav tsuas xav txog Lavxias teb sab rhetoric thiab lub tswv yim nyiam. Ib yam li Russia eyed Ukraine thiab pib tiag tiag tinkering nrog lub tswv yim ntawm kev siv lub zog ua riam phom, dawb supremacist phiaj xwm phiaj rau US lub zog systems "hloov ntau zaus." Cov kws tshawb fawb ntawm George Washington University pom tias, nyob nruab nrab ntawm 2016 thiab 2022, 13 tus neeg ua yeeb yam dawb tau raug foob rau kev tawm tsam lub zog, nrog 11 ntawm cov phiaj xwm tawm tsam raug them tom qab 2020. Concomitantly, kev tawm tsam thiab xwm txheej ntawm US hluav taws xob tseem ceeb hauv kev tsim kho tau nce, raws li Asmeskas cov neeg tawm tsam pom meej pib ua rau ntev- simmering neeg phem ideations.

Nws yuav yooj yim rau Russia los pab cov neeg tawm tsam hauv tebchaws los ua kev tawm tsam zoo dua. Hauv 2020, cov kws tshawb fawb tau ceeb toom tias a 14-nplooj ntawv phau ntawv Kev hu xov tooj rau kev tawm tsam ntawm daim phiaj hluav taws xob tau dhau los ntawm ib puag ncig cov neeg phem ntawm Telegram - qhov kev xa xov tam sim nrov hauv Russia. Tom qab phau ntawv qhia tau tshwm sim, nthuav dav cov cuab yeej siv qis txhais tau hais tias cuam tshuam rau daim phiaj hluav taws xob, ob qho tib si zaus thiab qhov ua tau zoo ntawm kev tawm tsam ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov hluav taws xob xa hluav taws xob tau nce ntxiv-nrog ntau txhiab tus neeg poob lub zog.

Rau Russia, txhawb kom muaj kev tawm tsam thoob plaws hauv kev xa hluav taws xob txawv teb chaws yuav yog txoj hauv kev yooj yim los ua kom lub ntiaj teb cov khoom tsis txaus nyob rau hauv cov khoom tseem ceeb uas xav tau los xyuas kom muaj lub zog hluav taws xob zoo. Txawm tias qhov kev hem thawj ntawm kev ua li ntawd tau cog lus rau lub ntiaj teb kev ua lag luam, ua rau txhua tus transformer Russia foob pob nyob rau hauv Ukraine deb heev los kho.

Raws li Asmeskas kev txhawj xeeb tias cov neeg tawm tsam tawm tsam tau ua raws li cov lus qhia tsis meej thiab tsis meej pem hauv online los tua US hluav taws xob substation, cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tau tshuaj xyuas lawv cov khoom muag thiab txhawj xeeb txog lawv cov khoom seem ntawm cov khoom seem. Yog tias tsis muaj kev xav zoo txog qhov kev npaj ua ntej los ua ntej xa rov qab cov peev txheej, cov chaw nres tsheb tawm tsam tsis yooj yim rau cov khoom siv kho. Cov hluav taws xob hluav taws xob yuav tsum tau kho sai, tab sis cov khoom siv hluav taws xob yog qhov loj, nyuaj rau khaws cia, nyuaj rau kev thauj mus los thiab siv sijhawm los nruab. Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 3 tua tua ntawm ob lub chaw nres tsheb hluav taws xob hauv Moore County, North Carolina, ua rau qee tus neeg siv khoom 40,000 nyob hauv qhov tsaus ntuj rau hnub. Ib qho nyuaj, ntau qhov chaw nres rau Christmas Hnub txiav lub zog rau ntau dua 14,000 hauv Washington State. Txawm tias tsis ua tiav kev tawm tsam nti tawm ntawm qhov rov ua haujlwm ntawm daim phiaj, tsa cov ceg txheem ntseeg rau cov nqi hluav taws xob uas tau tsom.

Tus naj npawb thiab qhov nyuaj ntawm kev tawm tsam thiab / lossis "cov xwm txheej tsis txaus ntseeg" ntawm US cov chaw hluav taws xob yog hais txog. USA Hnub no qhia hais tias, "txij li lub Cuaj Hli, kev tawm tsam lossis kev tawm tsam muaj peev xwm tau tshaj tawm tsawg kawg 18 lub chaw nres tsheb ntxiv thiab ib lub chaw tsim hluav taws xob hauv Florida, Oregon, Washington thiab Carolinas."

Raws li tus kws tshaj lij kev ruaj ntseg, tus substation nres nyob rau hauv Northwest suav nrog "teeb ​​tsa lub tsev tswj hluav taws, yuam kev nkag mus thiab kev ua phem ntawm kev tswj hluav taws xob tsis zoo, ua rau luv luv los ntawm kev cuam tshuam cov saw hlau hla lub tsheb thauj mus los, thiab kev tawm tsam nrog cov phom me me."

Unhardened transformers yog tshwj xeeb tshaj yog yooj yim rau phom phom. Raws li insulating roj xau los ntawm kev txhaj tshuaj transformer, qhov kub thiab txias tom qab tuaj yeem ua rau lub tshuab hloov pauv, qee zaum ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov. kev puas tsuaj tawg-catnip rau yav tom ntej cov neeg phem xav ua qee yam ntawm nqe lus.

Supply Chain Disruption tuaj yeem txhim kho cov teebmeem hauv Battlefield

Rau cov khoom siv hluav taws xob, transformers yog ib qho kev txhawj xeeb tshwj xeeb. Kev lag luam transformer hauv Tebchaws Meskas tau nruj rau ntau tshaj kaum xyoo.

Niaj hnub no, cov neeg muag khoom xav tau ob mus rau peb xyoos ntawm lub sijhawm ua haujlwm los hloov cov hloov pauv loj (feem ntau transformers yog cov qauv roj puv siv los ua kom qis qis lossis nce), thiab, thaum lub tshuab hluav taws xob tawg, US hluav taws xob hluav taws xob feem ntau tsis nqa loj. cov khoom muag ntawm kev hloov pauv.

Tab sis Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam me me ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob sib kis tau zoo tau txais qis heev. Ib lub tuam txhab hluav taws xob nyob rau sab qaum teb hnub poob tau sau tseg nyob rau lub Rau Hli tias thaum lawv sim khaws cov khoom ntawm 60 qhov nruab nrab qhov hloov pauv ntawm tes "txhua lub sijhawm," lawv cov khoom muag tau poob qis "zoo hauv qab" 20, qhov tsawg kawg nkaus yuav tsum tau ua haujlwm zoo.

Kev muab cov transformers loj dua nyob rau hauv lub xeev zoo sib xws. Kev txiav txim uas feem ntau siv li ntawm 6-12 lub lis piam kom ua tiav xyoo 2020, tam sim no muaj lub sijhawm ua haujlwm ntawm 52-86 lub lis piam.

Cov nqi tau mus rau hauv lub stratosphere. Los ntawm nruab nrab xyoo 2022, 25kVA pad-mounted transformer tus nqi "nce ze li ntawm 400% los ntawm 2020 tus nqi ib-unit, thiab 50kVA unit nqi dhia dhia 900% txij li xyoo 2020."

Kev nruj nruj yog ib daim ntawv qhia rau kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm cov phooj ywg. Raws li Asmeskas cov khoom siv hluav taws xob sib tw rau cov khoom siv hluav taws xob thiab tawm tsam los tiv thaiv ntau dua 6,400 lub tshuab hluav taws xob thiab 55,000 hluav taws xob substations uas thim rov qab Asmeskas daim phiaj hluav taws xob, Ukraine tau thov kev pab thiab cov khoom seem. Thiab, unsurprisingly, Ukraine qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws yog transformers-cov khoom siv tib yam America cov khoom siv hluav taws xob xav tau.

Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau tawm tsam los pab, tab sis kev tawm tsam ntxiv tuaj yeem txwv cov nyiaj pab Asmeskas tuaj yeem muab. Thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 29, tsuas yog hnub ua ntej lub zog hluav taws xob tawm tsam hauv North Carolina, US Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm tau tshaj tawm $ 53 lab hauv hluav taws xob pab, suav nrog "kev faib tawm transformers, Circuit Court breakers, surge arresters, disconnectors, tsheb thiab lwm yam khoom tseem ceeb." Ib cag ntawm qhov tseeb tias Asmeskas cov khoom siv hluav taws xob yuav raug twv tawm tsam Ukraine rau kev hloov pauv hloov pauv thiab cov iav kis tau tus mob, nws yog qhov yooj yim rau kev pom qhov xwm txheej uas cov pej xeem Asmeskas, zaum hauv qhov tsaus ntuj tom qab muaj kev tawm tsam hauv tsev, pib xav tias vim li cas Teb Chaws Asmeskas yog qhov tseem ceeb rau kev pab hluav taws xob rau Ukraine.

Nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no, tag nrho cov Cheebtsam yog nyob rau hauv qhov chaw rau ib tug txaus ntshai khiav ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob. Hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas, kev faib nyiaj txiag txawm tias yuav xav tau yog tias Asmeskas kev tawm tsam ntau ntxiv txhawb nqa US cov khoom siv hluav taws xob ntau ntxiv rau cov khoom seem. Kev ntshai tuaj yeem kis tau, thiab, yog tias lwm lub tebchaws pib ua raws li Asmeskas cov thawj coj, qhov tsis muaj hluav taws xob tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb.

Txoj kev ua ntej yog qhov tseeb. Tsoomfwv Meskas cov tub ceev xwm yuav tsum tau txav mus nrawm dua los tshawb xyuas-thiab ntes-txhua tus neeg tawm tsam yav tom ntej. Tsis tas li ntawd, Asmeskas yuav tsum tau txav mus sai kom ntseeg tau tias cov khoom siv hluav taws xob muaj raws li txoj cai thiab, qee zaum, ua haujlwm "txhim kho" qhov tsis zoo ntawm lub teb chaws cov khoom siv hluav taws xob sib kis. Hauv qab qhov xwm txheej, Asmeskas yuav tsum ua lwm yam los tiv thaiv cov neeg phem thiab kom ntseeg tau tias Russia txoj kev siv zog los rhuav tshem Ukraine raug txwv rau kev sib ntaus sib tua tam sim ntawd.

Kev siv zog los cuam tshuam lossis cuam tshuam rau lub ntiaj teb cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv kab hluav taws xob yog qhov tsis tsim nyog. Kev siv cov vagaries ntawm cov khoom siv thoob ntiaj teb tsis yooj yim rau kev sib ntaus sib tua lub hom phiaj ua rau lub tswv yim ntxias, tab sis nws yog qhov nyuaj rau kev ua tiav. Lub teb chaws-xeev cov kws kho mob tuaj yeem raug kev txom nyem uas tsis tau xav txog kev rov qab los, xaus rau kev txom nyem tsis tau xav txog kev nom kev tswv thiab nyiaj txiag puas tsuaj. Thiab, hauv kev ua tsov ua rog, ob leeg tuaj yeem ua si tib yam kev ua si-Ukraine muaj peev xwm ua tau zoo ntawm kev tsom mus rau Russia lub zog hluav taws xob ib yam nkaus.

Ceev faj yog lav. Tab sis cov kab hauv qab no yog qhov no: txawm li cas los xij kev ntxias nws yuav yog rau Russia kom ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua ntawm lawv cov kev tawm tsam ntawm Ukraine lub zog hluav taws xob, kev tawm tsam txawv teb chaws ntawm US daim phiaj hluav taws xob - txawm tias tsis ncaj ncees - yog kev ua tsov ua rog, uas, yog tias pom, yuav thov kom muaj kev tawm tsam. teb.