Qhov kev nce qib loj tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 1994 tau tshwm sim rau hnub Wednesday raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Asmeskas Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau nce nws cov txiaj ntsig txiaj ntsig los ntawm peb feem peb ntawm ib feem pua. Qhov no tau nug cov lus nug: Puas muaj qhov zoo sib xws rau hnub Wednesday tus nqi nce siab piv rau thaum Alan Greenspan ua tus Federal Reserve lub rooj zaum?
Greenspan tau txais kev pabcuam thaum lub sijhawm 'kev pheej hmoo ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam'
Guggenheim CIO Scott Minerd tau hais hauv Bloomberg TV tom qab hnub Wednesday tshaj tawm tus nqi nce siab uas Greenspan tau saib xyuas Fed thaum lub sijhawm zoo tshaj plaws tau piav qhia tias yog "kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo."
Qhov no txhais tau li cas yog tias thaum kev lag luam "hloov dhau lawm," Fed yog nyob rau hauv txoj haujlwm los txhawb nqa tus nqi ib ntus, Minerd tau hais. Qhov kev nqis tes no yog ua raws li kev txav mus los coj tus nqi rov qab sai li sai tau thaum pom kev tsis muaj zog hauv kev lag luam. Nws hais tias:
"Peb tsis muaj cov kev xaiv ntawm no," thaum ntxiv "Kuv tsis paub tseeb tias qhov kev kho mob zoo li cas nyob rau theem no."
Tus lej muag khoom muag yog 'tsis muaj zog heev'
Ua ke nrog Fed cov lus tshaj tawm tus nqi nce siab, cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam pom tias Asmeskas cov khw muag khoom muag tau poob rau lub Tsib Hlis los ntawm 0.3% thaum lub Plaub Hlis cov ntaub ntawv tau hloov kho los ntawm 0.9% kev loj hlob mus rau 0.7%.
Kev tawm tswv yim txog cov lej no, Minerd tau hais tias May cov ntaub ntawv "tsis muaj zog heev" thiab qhia tias muaj qhov tshwm sim uas Asmeskas tau nkag mus rau hauv kev lag luam poob qis. Nws piav qhia:
Yog tias peb nyob hauv kev lag luam poob qis lossis peb nyob ze rau kev lag luam poob qis thiab Fed thawb rau qhov no ntxiv thiab tom qab ntawd peb pom tias tam sim ntawd peb muaj kev poob qis hauv cov khoom vaj khoom tsev zoo li cov khoom lag luam tau ua hauv '87 - yog tias Fed khaws cov chav kawm lawv yog. mus zoo li lawv tsis muaj zog ntawm kev nce nqi.
Minerd cov lus qhia zaum kawg rau Fed: xa lus nws yuav "tshem" kev nce nqi "ceev li sai tau."
Tus ncej Puas yuav muaj kev poob qis hauv 2022? Guggenheim's Minerd hais tias peb twb nyob hauv ib qho tshwm sim thawj zaug Tsam.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2022/06/15/will-there-be-a-recession-in-2022-guggenheims-minerd-says-we-are-already-in-one/