S&P 500 tau pom kev txhawb nqa zoo tsis ntev los no thiab, thaum nyob hauv ua lag luam daisDavid Bianco, tus thawj coj kev nqis peev ntawm Asmeskas rau tus thawj tswj hwm nyiaj txiag DWS Group hais tias, qhov loj-cap Performance index yuav tsis poob ntau ntxiv rau xyoo no.
"Kuv xav tias kev lag luam dais zoo tshaj plaws uas peb tau ntsib tam sim no yog xyoo 1966," Bianco tau hais hauv kev tshaj xov xwm hnub Tuesday. Thaum Fed tseem tab tom tawm tsam kev nce nqi rov qab rau xyoo 60s, S&P
SPX,
Tsuas yog poob 22% hauv xyoo 1966 dais lag luam, nws hais tias, hu rau lub sijhawm "tsuas yog me ntsis phem" dua li 20.3% poob ntawm qhov ntsuas txij li thaum Lub Ib Hlis 3 kaw qhov siab kawg ntawm 4,796.56, raws li Dow Jones Market Data.
Bianco tau sau tseg tias zoo li xyoo 1966, Tebchaws Asmeskas tseem tsis tau poob rau hauv kev lag luam kev lag luam hauv 2022. "Kuv tsis xav tias S&P yuav poob ntau ntxiv los ntawm qhov no," nws hais.
S&P 500 tau kaw 2% qis dua rau hnub Tuesday ntawm 3,821.55, ib feem vim tias cov tub ua lag luam loj hlob muaj kev txhawj xeeb ntxiv txog qhov muaj peev xwm thim rov qab los ntawm kev nce nyiaj txiag hnyav thiab txoj cai nyiaj txiag nruj dua.
Bianco tseem cia siab tias S&P 500 yuav nyob twj ywm hauv kev lag luam ntau ntawm 3,700 txog 4,100 kom txog rau thaum xyoo tas los no. Qhov ntawd yog nqis los ntawm pab pawg ua ntej xyoo kawg 2022 lub hom phiaj ntawm 5,000.
Bianco tau hais tias "Peb tsis xav tias nws nyob ze rau lub xyoo no, thiab nws yuav nyuaj rau ncav cuag txawm tias kawg ntawm 2023," Bianco hais.
Hnub Tuesday, ib daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas ntawm Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom ntseeg siab poob rau lub Rau Hli mus rau 16-lub hlis qis ntawm 98.7, vim tias cov neeg Amelikas muaj kev txhawj xeeb ntau ntxiv txog cov nqi roj thiab zaub mov thiab qhov muaj peev xwm ntawm lwm qhov kev lag luam.
"Txawm hais tias muaj kev lag luam me me tshwm sim lig rau xyoo no lossis xyoo tom ntej, uas tau dhau los ua qhov kev pom zoo," raws li Bianco, nws tsis xav tias "qhov nyiaj tsis zoo" yuav nthuav tawm. "Kuv tsis xav tias leej twg xav ua txhaum rau lawv cov nyiaj txais tam sim no. Lawv lub tsev tseem nyob hauv cov nyiaj txheeb ze rau lawv cov nuj nqis, ua tsaug rau kev hloov kho kom zoo ntawm kev qiv, "nws hais. "Peb pom txhua qhov kev txhawb siab rau lawv xav kom nyob twj ywm zoo ntawm cov nyiaj qiv uas lawv tau txais, thiab khaws cov ntsiab lus hauv qhov chaw uas lawv muaj."
Ib cag ntawm S&P 500 qhov kev poob qis, Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
poob 1.6% Tuesday thiab Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP,
poob 3%, cim qhov feem pua ntawm cov hnub poob qis tshaj plaws rau tag nrho peb qhov kev ntsuas hauv yuav luag ob lub lis piam, raws li Dow Jones Market Data.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-sp-500-may-be-in-for-a-1966-style-bear-market-according-to-dws-group-11656455273? siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo