LONDON - Tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm ib pint ntawm npias hauv UK tau nce los ntawm 70% txij li xyoo 2008 - zoo ua ntej ntawm kev nce nqi - thiab qee tus Londoners tau koom nrog ntau npaum li £ 8 ($ 9.70) rau 568ml ntawm amber nectar.
Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm lub tuam txhab kev sab laj CGA, tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm tus pint tau nce los ntawm £ 2.30 hauv 2008 mus rau £ 3.95 hauv 2022, txawm tias tus nqi sib txawv heev thoob plaws qhov chaw. Tus nqi nruab nrab tau nce los ntawm 15 pence nruab nrab ntawm 2021 thiab 2022, nce yuav luag 4%, yog ib qho loj tshaj plaws ntawm xyoo nce txij li xyoo 2008.
Tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm ib lub pint ntawm ib qho tsis muaj npe pub hauv London ntaus qhov muag-dej £ 8.06 xyoo no, qhov siab tshaj plaws CGA tau sau tseg, thaum lub teb chaws qis tshaj yog £ 1.79 nruab nrab ntawm ib lub pub hauv Lancashire, nyob rau sab qaum teb hnub poob ntawm Askiv.
UK kev nce nqi tau nce 40-xyoo siab ntawm 9.4% thaum Lub Rau Hli thiab xav tias yuav nce siab tshaj 13% nyob rau lub Kaum Hlis, ua rau lub teb chaws muaj kev kub ntxhov hauv keeb kwm ntawm kev ua neej nyob thiab ua rau cov Bank ntawm Askiv rau siv nws cov paj laum loj tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 1995 rau hnub Thursday.
Ntau lub khw noj mov thiab chaw tos txais qhua muaj kev txhawj xeeb tias cov neeg siv khoom yuav nce nyob hauv tsev.
Paul Bolton, tus thawj coj ntawm cov neeg siv khoom haus dej haus GB ntawm CGA, hais rau CNBC tias kev sib txuas ntawm cov teeb meem ntawm cov khoom siv, cov neeg ua haujlwm tsis txaus, cov nqi hluav taws xob nce, cov nuj nqis thoob ntiaj teb thiab feem ntau muaj kev nce nqi nce ntxiv rau cov neeg xa khoom 'tus nqi siab, uas tom qab ntawd yuav tsum dhau mus. rau ntawm tus neeg siv khoom.
Cov khoom siv raw thiab lub zog
Francois Sonneville, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas dej haus loj ntawm Rabobank, hais rau CNBC tias cov nqi tau nce thoob plaws hauv cov nqi, pib nrog barley.
"Tus nqi barley tau nce, thiab tau nce ob npaug txij li xyoo 2021. Muaj ob qhov laj thawj rau qhov ntawd: ib qho yog tias kev sau qoob loo hauv North America yog qhov tsis zoo, uas tau tsav los ntawm huab cua tsis zoo, yog li tsis muaj ntau cov khoom muag pib nrog - thiab tom qab ntawd , tau kawg, peb muaj thaj tsam Dub hiav txwv tsis sib haum, "nws hais rau CNBC's Arabile Gumede.
Ib pint ntawm Adnams Dab Nkoj Citrus daj ntseg Ale. Suffolk-based brewer hais tias kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm kev nce zog, kev ua haujlwm thiab cov khoom siv raw khoom yog squeezing lag luam thiab tsav tus nqi ntawm pint.
Geography Duab/UCG/Universal Images Group ntawm Getty Images
Keeb kwm, thaum cov nqi qoob loo nce ntxiv, cov neeg ua liaj ua teb yuav them nyiaj los ntawm kev cog qoob loo ntau xyoo tom ntej, tab sis kev ua liaj ua teb dav dav kuj tseem ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau cov liaj teb, outpacing txawm tias 40-xyoo siab ntawm 9.4% kev nce nqi hauv UK.
Richard Hirst, tus tswv ntawm Hirst Farms hauv Suffolk tau piav qhia tias "Qhov twg peb qhov kev nce nqi ib txwm khiav ntawm 8, 9%, (kev ua liaj ua teb) kev nce nqi rau peb cov lag luam tau khiav mus rau qhov chaw tshaj 22, 23%,".
"Qhov ntawd yog qhov ua tau zoo ntawm cov nqi roj, roj - peb lub tsheb laij teb diesel tau nce ntau dua peb zaug ntawm tus nqi, uas yog ntau dua, feem ntau, dua li cov roj tsheb tau nce mus."
Hirst tau hais tias kev ua liaj ua teb tseem tab tom ntsib tus nqi zog ntau ntxiv, nrog rau kev tsis txaus cuam tshuam rau kev ua liaj ua teb thoob tebchaws, nrog rau cov nqi chiv.
"Cov nqi chiv yuav nce peb npaug rau xyoo tom ntej - peb tab tom yuav cov chiv tam sim no peb zaug li xyoo tas los. Peb cov khoom siv tshuaj lom neeg tau nce thiab tsuas yog tus nqi ntawm cov tshuab khiav, txawm tias nws yog cov khoom seem lossis qhov tseeb tsuas yog tus nqi ntawm kev yuav tshuab nws tus kheej. Txhua yam uas tau nce mus txog qhov tsis zoo ntau dua li 9 lossis 10% ntawm kev nce nqi ib txwm. "
Txawm li cas los xij, barley tsis yog tus nqi tseem ceeb tshwm sim thaum lub sij hawm brewing - qhov tseeb, nws tsuas yog pab tau ib ncig ntawm 5% ntawm tus nqi ntawm npias ntawm tus kais. Tus nqi loj tshaj plaws, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam thiab cov thawj coj ua lag luam hais rau CNBC, los ntawm kev ua haujlwm, ntim khoom thiab lub zog.
"Kuv xav tias yog tias koj saib cov txheej txheem brewing nws tus kheej, nws siv ntau lub zog - thiab tus nqi zog tau nce mus, raws li peb txhua tus paub, thaum peb nres ntawm lub twj tso kua mis - tab sis qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws yog tej zaum ntim," Sonneville tau hais.
"Kev ntim khoom yog kwv yees li 25 mus rau 30% ntawm tus nqi npias, thiab ntim iav, iav fwj, siv li 25% ntawm lawv cov nqi hluav taws xob, yog li nrog cov nqi roj mus txog 10 npaug siab dua li ob xyoos dhau los, uas. muaj kev cuam tshuam loj heev rau tus nqi ntawm brewer. "
Txoj kev hlub
Nws cov lus tau hais los ntawm Andy Wood, CEO ntawm Suffolk-based brewery thiab tos txais kev lag luam Adnams, uas tau hais rau CNBC tias tus nqi zog nce lub tuam txhab pom yog "qhov muag pom tseeb."
Nws tau piav qhia tias "Kev ua npias los yog cov cawv distilling muaj ntau cov dej kub npau npau, yog li muaj ntau lub zog kom tau mus rau lub xeev ntawd, txawm hais tias peb tau muab ntau qhov kev tsim kho tshiab hauv ntau xyoo los txwv qhov cuam tshuam ntawm qhov ntawd," nws piav qhia.
Ntoo tau hais tias tom qab Brexit thiab kev sib kis thoob qhov txhia chaw, kev nruj ntawm UK kev ua lag luam ua haujlwm tseem ua rau muaj kev nce siab ntxiv, uas yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua los ntawm lub teb chaws kev kub ntxhov ntawm kev ua neej nyob.
"Tus nqi loj tshaj plaws uas peb muaj yog peb cov nyiaj them poob haujlwm vim tias qhov chaw tos txais ntawm qhov kev lag luam yog kev lag luam uas tib neeg tau tsav," nws hais ntxiv.
Tsis tas li ntawd, qhov geopolitical headwinds ntsib kev lag luam thoob plaws hauv cov khoom lag luam yuav tsis zoo li yuav txo qis txhua lub sijhawm sai sai.
"Yog li peb tau txais Russia txoj kev ntxeem tau ntawm Ukraine, peb tau txais kev kub ntxhov ntawm lub zog uas tau tshwm sim, peb tau muaj teeb meem khoom noj khoom haus, nplej, roj ua noj, cov khoom no, thiab tom qab ntawd ... peb hnov hauv xov xwm hais tias Tuam Tshoj tej zaum yuav saib ntev rau Taiwan, yog li kuv xav tias qhov xwm txheej geopolitical tsis yooj yim dua, yog li kuv xav tias cov khoom no nyob ntawm no, "nws hais.
Cov lus nug rau kev lag luam, raws li Wood thiab Sonneville, yog pes tsawg tus nqi ntawm cov nqi no lawv tuaj yeem nqus tau, ntau npaum li cas yuav tsum tau xa mus rau cov neeg siv khoom, thiab nyob rau hauv nruab nrab ntawm cov nqi ntawm kev ua neej nyob, yuav ua li cas txhawb nqa cov paj tsis tau yuam cov neeg siv khoom. nyob hauv tsev thiab ua rau muaj kev phom sij ntau.
Brewers zoo li muaj cov ntawv cog lus mus sij hawm ntev thiab hedges nyob rau hauv qhov chaw los xyuas kom meej cov phiaj xwm xwm txheej rau yav tom ntej tus nqi nce, txhais tau tias tsis yog tag nrho lawv cov nqi raug cuam tshuam rau tam sim no, thiab yog li ntawd tsis dhau tam sim ntawd mus rau cov neeg siv khoom.
"Kuv xav tias yog tias koj saib tus nqi ntawm npias uas koj thiab kuv them, muaj kev pheej hmoo uas yuav nce siab dua, vim tias muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov nqi ntawm cov brewery vim tias cov ntawv cog lus mus sij hawm ntev," Sonneville tau hais rau. Hnub Monday.
"Qhov kev cia siab uas kuv xav tias muaj nyob rau ntawm brewers yog tias tus nqi yuav nqis los. Peb tsis tau pom tias hauv roj - peb tau pom ntau qhov kev rau txim nyob ntawd thiab cov nqi roj tau nce siab hauv peb hnub dhau los - tab sis peb tau pom tias cov nqi nplej tau tawm me ntsis, thiab kev cia siab yog qhov ntawd yuav txuas ntxiv mus. ”
Kev hloov pauv hloov
Ntoo tau sau tseg tias kev xav thiab tus cwj pwm ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tau pib hloov mus rau lub ntsej muag ntawm tus nqi siab dua ntawm lub bar.
Nws tau hais tias "Peb yeej pom cov neeg tawm tuaj ntxov thaum yav tsaus ntuj, haus dej haus, noj hmo, thiab tom qab ntawd lawv rov qab los tsev," nws hais.
"Peb tab tom pom tib neeg tej zaum muaj ob chav kawm ntau dua li peb chav kawm, thiab tej zaum muaj khob cawv ntau dua li lub raj mis cawv, yog li peb pom qee qhov kev hloov pauv ntawm cov neeg siv khoom, tsis muaj qhov tsis ntseeg txog qhov ntawd."
Qhov no tau tshwm sim hauv CGA qhov kev tshuaj xyuas cov neeg siv khoom tshiab, uas pom tias cov khoom lag luam zoo thiab cov chaw muab cov kev paub tshwj xeeb tshwj xeeb tau nce lawv qhov sib koom ntawm kev lag luam.
CGA's Bolton tau hais rau CNBC tias cov chaw muab darts, ax-thaws lossis kab civliv tau vam meej, thaum cov npe pom tias muab cov dej haus zoo tshaj plaws tau zoo dua tom qab muaj kev sib kis, vim kev siv nyiaj tsawg dua li ntim thiab ntau ntxiv txog qhov kev paub dhau los.
"Nws yog qhov tseeb ntawm kev ua kom cov neeg siv khoom nkag siab tias lawv yuav tau txais kev paub tiag tiag thaum lawv tawm mus, thiab yog li ntawd lawv zoo siab dua them nyiaj thaum lawv tawm mus, vim peb paub tias cov neeg siv khoom tau hais rau peb tias. Lawv yuav ua qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev noj mov thiab haus dej raws li cov nyiaj tau los pov tseg tshaj li cov hnub so, tshaj li cov khaub ncaws, "Bolton tau hais.
"Yog li peb paub tias muaj qhov qab los noj mov tiag tiag kom rov qab tawm mus thiab siv."
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/05/why-the-price-of-a-pint-of-beer-in-the-uk-is-going-through-the-roof. html