Koj yuav tsis twv nws los ntawm kev taw qhia ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv lub quarter thib peb, tab sis muaj qee qhov laj thawj tshwm sim los pib nibbling ntawm kev ua lag luam sib tw, raws li ib tus pro.
"Oversold yog ib qho [yog vim li cas thiaj yuav cov khoom lag luam]," Matt Miskin, tus thawj coj ntawm kev nqis peev ntawm John Hancock Investment Management, hais rau Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag Nyob (video saum toj no). “Kev xav tau raug ntxuav tawm, txhais tau hais tias txhua tus neeg zoo nkauj bearish. Txawm tias cov kws tshaj lij tawm tswv yim nyob ntawd uas tau muaj kev txhawb nqa ntau dua tau hloov pauv thiab ua rau muaj kev poob qis dua. "
"Yog li yog tias peb tau txais xov xwm zoo xws li Fed piv me ntsis, yog tias Cov Nyiaj Txiag Nyiaj Txiag cia li tso tseg, yog tias cov nqi roj nqis los ... cov no yuav yog txhua yam uas tuaj yeem ua rau lub sijhawm luv luv hauv kev sib tw thoob ntiaj teb," Miskin ntxiv .
Nws yog qhov nkag siab tias yog vim li cas txhua tus thiaj li poob qis: Muaj ntau yam sib koom ua ke hauv lub quarter kawg los ua kev puas tsuaj rau kev lag luam.
Rau ib qho, Federal Reserve txuas ntxiv nws lub hom phiaj los tawm tsam kev nce nqi los ntawm aggressively hiking paj paj. Cov teebmeem tau rippled thoob plaws ib qho kev lag luam khoom vaj khoom tsev, los ntawm kev nce nyiaj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas mus rau nce nqi tsev qiv nyiaj uas tau ze li 7%.
Miskin piav qhia tias "Yuav ua li cas lawv ua niaj hnub no yuav tshwm sim nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm kev nruj kev lag luam xyoo tom ntej," Miskin piav qhia. "Thiab yog li koj tsis tuaj yeem tso tseg kev nce nqi hauv nws txoj kev. Yog tias koj xav tau, qhov ntawd yog qhov lawv xav ua, txoj hauv kev zoo tshaj plaws los ua nws yog ua rau muaj kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb. Tab sis qhov yog, koj tab tom nqa tag nrho cov kev pheej hmoo no rau hauv daim duab. Thiab los ntawm lub sijhawm cov ntaub ntawv tshwm sim, nws tau lig dhau lawm. "
Cov crosscurrents tab tom pib tshwm sim hauv cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag thiab cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov tuam txhab. Hnub Thursday dhau los, lub Bureau of Economic Analysis tshaj tawm tias US GDP poob qis hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo. Thiab ua ntej lub Cuaj Hli, kev txhawj xeeb txog kev loj hlob qeeb thaum FedEx (FDX) ua lag luam poob siab ntog nws txoj kev qhia puv xyoo.
Cov khw muag khoom tseem tab tom pom cov cim ntawm kev tawm tsam kev lag luam qeeb, nrog rau tus tswv North Face VF Corp tau tshaj tawm ib xyoos ib zaug. nyiaj ceeb toom thiab Nike ceeb toom ntawm kev muag khoom thiab cov txiaj ntsig lub lim tiam dhau los. Thiab cov ntaub ntawv tau tshaj tawm tias Apple kev pab them nqi txiav iPhone ntau lawm vim kev ntshai loj hlob, ua rau a xov xwm-tshaj downgrade nyob rau hauv tech loj heev Tshuag los ntawm Bank of America Analyst Wamsi mohan.
Qhov dav indices tsim nyog muaj kev cuam tshuam txog kev ntxhov siab. Xyoo rau hnub tim, Dow Jones Industrial Average (^ DJI), S&P 500 (^ GSPC), thiab Nasdaq Composite (^ IXIC18%, 22%, thiab 30%, feem.
Kev thim rov qab tam sim no hauv S&P 500 tam sim no yog qhov ntev tshaj plaws los ntawm qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li lub Peb Hlis 2009 qis ntawm 269 hnub thiab suav, raws li kev tshawb fawb los ntawm Compound Capital Advisors.
Ntawm qhov poob ntawm 25.2%, qhov kev kho xyoo no tau ua phem dua li qhov nruab nrab rub rov qab ntawm 7.6% rov qab mus rau xyoo 2009.
Lwm cov kws tshaj lij xav tias kev muag khoom yuav txuas ntxiv raws li qhov muaj feem cuam tshuam.
"Kev nce cov paj laum, kev loj hlob qeeb, thiab nce nyiaj poob haujlwm yuav ua rau cov tsev neeg muag cov khoom lag luam txuas ntxiv," Goldman Sachs tus kws tshaj lij David Kostin tau ceeb toom hauv tsab ntawv tshiab. "Cov tuam txhab yuav yog qhov loj tshaj plaws ntawm cov kev xav tau ntawm kev ncaj ncees vim muaj kev yuav rov qab muaj zog thiab kev xa tawm tsis muaj zog."
Brian Sozzi yog ib qho editor-at-large thiab thauj tog rau nkoj ntawm Yahoo FinanceCov. Ua raws li Sozzi ntawm Twitter @BrianSozzi thiab nyob rau LinkedIn.
Nyeem cov xov xwm tshiab nyiaj txiag thiab lag luam los ntawm Yahoo Finance
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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-investors-bullish-volatility-strategist-211225536.html