cov Tshuag lag luam tej zaum yuav tau dhau los nyuaj, nrawm dhau lub Kaum Hli muab cov xov xwm tsis zoo ntsib cov tub ua lag luam rau xyoo kawg.
"Peb ntseeg hais tias lub Kaum Hlis rally nyob rau hauv cov cuab tam muaj kev pheej hmoo yog tiag tiag nyob rau hauv shady av vim hais tias kev lag luam yav dhau los tab tom nrhiav rau ib tug dovish pivot los ntawm Fed thiab ces lawv tab tom nrhiav rau ncua los ntawm Fed," BlackRock Chief Investment Strategist Wei Li hais ntawm Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag Live (video saum toj no). "Yog li nws zoo li kev lag luam xav pom qee qhov kev txhim kho zoo ntawm cov lus dovish los ntawm Fed. Tab sis tiag tiag peb tsis nyob ntawm qhov kev sib tshuam tsis tau vim yog tias koj saib ntawm qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev nce nqi, nws tseem yog heev, nplaum heev. "
Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab yog nce 14% nyob rau lub Kaum Hli, nyob rau hauv txoj kev mus rau qhov zoo tshaj plaws kev ua tau zoo txij li thaum 1976. Kev nce rau Dow tau muaj ntau qhov dav - suav nrog kev nce 18% rau JP Morgan thiab 13% pop rau McDonald lub - thaum Nasdaq Composite thiab S&P 500 tau nce 7.5% thiab 2.5% nyob rau lub hli, feem.
Cov nyiaj tau los no tau tuaj txawm tias muaj kev hem thawj ntawm cov paj laum ntau dua thiab lub caij nyoog tau txais txiaj ntsig (saib cov lus ceeb toom los ntawm Amazon thiab Meta). Thiab BlackRock's Li xav tias qhov kev txaus siab rov qab los rau cov khoom lag luam yuav tau ntsib nrog kev sim tawm ntawm lub rooj vag thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog los ntawm ntau cov lus tawm tswv yim los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve ntawm nws txoj cai tshiab lub rooj sib tham lub lim tiam no.
"Peb ntseeg tias cov nqi yuav nce ntxiv," Li piav qhia. "Nws yuav nce siab ntawm 5%. Thiab tsis dhau understate nws, uas yog ib tug heev, heev txwv ib ncig. Qhov tseeb, qhov twg peb nyob tam sim no, ntawm 3.25%, twb txwv kev lag luam. Yog li peb txoj kev ntseeg yog tias nyob rau hauv qhov chaw muaj kev txwv tam sim no, Fed yuav tsum tau tsim kom muaj kev lag luam poob qis thiaj li ua rau kev nce nqi nce ntxiv. Peb qhov kev ntsuam xyuas yog tias lawv xav kom txo qis kev nce nqi mus rau 2% sai sai, nws sawv cev rau 2% kev poob siab rau Asmeskas kev lag luam hauv 2023. Nws kuj sawv cev rau 3 lab tus neeg ntxiv tawm ntawm txoj haujlwm, thawb tus nqi poob haujlwm mus rau 5%. ”
Brian Sozzi yog ib qho editor-at-large thiab thauj tog rau nkoj ntawm Yahoo FinanceCov. Ua raws li Sozzi ntawm Twitter @BrianSozzi thiab nyob rau LinkedIn.
Nyeem cov xov xwm tshiab nyiaj txiag thiab lag luam los ntawm Yahoo Finance
Rub tawm Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag app rau Kua or Android
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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/octobers-stock-market-rally-may-fizzle-out-in-november-strategist-165044675.html