Nws tau yog ib xyoo zoo heev rau Iranian drone xa tawm. Tehran infamously muab Russia nrog ntau pua ntawm nws Shahed-136 loitering munitions (self-detonating los yog "suicide" drones) rau siv nyob rau hauv Ukraine ua tsov ua rog. Nws muaj tshaj tawm mus txog qhov kev pom zoo nrog Moscow uas tso cai rau Russia los tsim cov drones hauv zos - qhov kev pom zoo uas ua raws li qhov kev nthuav qhia hauv lub Tsib Hlis ib lub Hoobkas hauv Tajikistan uas yuav hauv zos tsim Iran tus qub Ababil-2 drones. Thiab, raws li Iranian cov tub ceev xwm, cov ntaub ntawv sau tseg ntawm lwm lub tebchaws tau mob siab rau kom tau txais lawv txhais tes ntawm Tehran lub tsheb tsis muaj neeg tsav dav hlau (UAVs).
"Hnub no peb tau mus txog lub ntsiab lus uas 22 lub tebchaws hauv ntiaj teb tau thov kom yuav cov dav hlau tsis muaj neeg siv los ntawm Iran," thov Iranian Major General Yahya Rahim Safavi thaum Lub Kaum Hli 18. Ntawm lub tebchaws nws tau hais yog Serbia thiab Armenia.
Kev xa tawm tseem ceeb ntawm Iranian drones rau cov tebchaws no tuaj yeem muaj kev cuam tshuam tseem ceeb rau cov Balkans thiab South Caucasus. Piv txwv li, yog tias Serbia yuav Iranian drones, uas "yuav ua rau Belgrade yog tus neeg tsav dav hlau loj tshaj plaws hauv Balkans," raws li Defense News.
Txawm li cas los xij, muaj kev tsis txaus ntseeg hnyav ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam uas Belgrade txaus siab rau Iranian drones, nrog rau ib tus kws sau ntawv hauv Serbian aviation sau tseg tias Serbia twb muaj peev xwm tseem ceeb "kom ua raws li nws tus kheej xav tau" thiab "uas muaj tsawg heev Iran tuaj yeem muab tau rau hauv. Cov ntsiab lus ntawm cov khoom tiav UAV lossis hauv kev paub. "
Txawm li cas los xij, tus nqi qis ntawm qee tus Iranian drones - $ 20,000 yog daim duab feem ntau hais rau txhua chav ntawm ib leeg siv Shahed-136 - tuaj yeem ntxias Belgrade kom muaj ntau haiv neeg thiab ntxiv dag zog rau nws cov arsenal los ntawm kev yuav ib tug xov tooj ntawm cov drones. Los yog, Iran yuav muab Serbia kev cog lus rau kev tsim khoom hauv zos uas tuaj yeem pab nthuav Belgrade qhov kev pab cuam drone uas twb muaj lawm kuj pheej yig.
TOPSHOT - Lub drone ya hla Kyiv thaum muaj kev tawm tsam thaum Lub Kaum Hli 17, 2022, thaum muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm Lavxias. … [+]
AFP ntawm Getty Dluab
Nicholas Heras, tus thawj coj ntawm lub tswv yim thiab kev tsim kho tshiab ntawm New Lines Institute, tau hais rau kuv tias "Iran tab tom tsim kev lag luam muaj zog rau nws txoj kev siv phom tua phom tua phom loj," "Kev loj hlob ntawm kev txaus siab thoob ntiaj teb hauv Iranian drones yog ib hom ncha ntawm yuav ua li cas Qaib ntxhw tsim lub lag luam thoob ntiaj teb rau nws hom tub rog drone."
"Cov Turks tsom mus rau 'chav kawm nruab nrab' hom drone uas yog npaj los rov siv dua, muaj zog, thiab tuaj yeem ua haujlwm tau zoo tawm tsam ob lub xeev thiab tsis yog xeev cov neeg ua yeeb yam," nws hais. "Rau txhua qhov kev xav thiab lub hom phiaj, Qaib Cov Txwv tau txiav txim siab tias nws yuav xa ib 'cua rog ntawm qhov pheej yig' rau cov neeg ua yeeb yam hauv xeev tab tom nrhiav hla tawm ntawm cov dav hlau kim thiab cov kev saib xyuas uas tuaj nrog lawv."
"Iran tau txiav txim siab tias nws xav ua kom lub khw muag khoom ntawm qhov tseem ceeb ya, muaj tseeb dua, muaj kev sib txuas ntxiv, cov phom loj uas tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj loj rau hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog tawm tsam hauv av."
Cov foob pob tawg zoo li no tuaj yeem ua rau cov xeev me ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo rau lawv cov neeg sib tw loj.
"Ob leeg Armenians thiab Serbians xav tau lub peev xwm los sai sai tsim kev poob loj rau cov neeg sib tw muaj zog - NATO rau Serbia, Azerbaijan rau Armenia - thiab Iranian loitering munition-hom drones tuaj yeem muab lub peev xwm ntawd," Heras hais.
Iran muaj ntau hom drone no uas yuav txaus siab rau Belgrade thiab Yerevan.
"Raws li hom drones Iran tuaj yeem muag rau Armenia thiab Serbia - muaj ntau txoj hauv kev uas suav nrog Shahed thiab Ababil qauv txij li ob qho tib si tau siv los ntawm Iranian proxies nyob rau hauv Middle East, thiab tam sim no Shahed tau pom nws txwv. , tab sis qhov tseem ceeb, muaj peev xwm hauv Ukraine, "Samuel Bendett, tus kws tshawb fawb tshawb fawb nrog Lub Chaw rau Naval Analyses, hais rau kuv. "Lwm cov drones zoo li Mohajer tej zaum tsis tawm ntawm lub rooj ib yam nkaus."
Tom qab ntawd muaj cov ntsiab lus dav dav ntawm kev nom kev tswv thiab cov tswv yim tom qab lub peev xwm ntawm Armenian kev yuav khoom.
Bendett tau hais tias "Armenia tab tom nrhiav los txhawb kev txhawb nqa kev sib koom ua tub rog Turkish-Azerbaijani thiab kev nkag siab tias Russia yuav tsis ua raws li kev cog lus rau Armenian tiv thaiv raws li yav dhau los xav," Bendett tau hais.
"Raws li Turkish thiab Israeli drone thev naus laus zis tau pab txhawb Azerbaijani yeej xyoo 2020, Armenia raug ntes ncaj qha txawm tias nws muaj nws tus kheej kev lag luam drone uas tsis tau nqis peev hauv kev sib piv," nws hais ntxiv. "Yog li Armenia tab tom nrhiav kom zam qhov yuam kev no los ntawm kev nqis peev hauv UAV peev xwm."
Tehran tseem muaj nws tus kheej nyiam los pab txhawb Yerevan kev ua tub rog.
Bendett tau hais tias "Iran tseem txhawj xeeb txog Turkish-Azeri alliance thiab Israeli lub kaum ntse ntse hauv kev sib koom tes no thiab tau thov ua ntej nws tuaj yeem cuam tshuam nws qhov hnyav tom qab Armenia hauv kev tsis sib haum xeeb tom ntej," Bendett tau hais. "Iran tau ua tub rog tawm tsam ze rau thaj tsam Nagorno-Karabakh, qhia tias nws tuaj yeem siv tub rog lub zog yog tias Zangezur txoj kev hauv tsev txiav tawm nws txoj kev nkag mus rau Armenia kom raug, thiab tab tom nrhiav nws tus kheej txoj hauv kev los cuam tshuam kev sib raug zoo ntawm Istanbul-Baku-Tel Aviv. ”
Yog li ntawd, Armenia dhau los ua ib tus neeg siv khoom ntawm Iranian drones ua rau muaj kev nkag siab ntau los ntawm qhov pom ntawm qhov chaw geostrategic.
Yerevan tseem xav tau drone thev naus laus zis uas tau ua pov thawj nws tus kheej hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua, uas tuaj yeem ua rau nws txaus siab ntxiv rau Tehran's UAVs.
"Iranian loitering drones zoo li Shahed-136/1 yog tus nqi qis / kev nqis peev loj hauv lub peev xwm uas tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev sib tw rau Azerbaijan thiab tej zaum txawm tias Qaib Cov Txwv nws tus kheej," Bendett hais. "Hauv kev muag nws cov drones rau Armenia, Iran tuaj yeem tso ob qho tib si Istanbul thiab Baku ntawm kev ceeb toom los ntawm kev muag npe rau Yerevan."
Ib qho tseem ceeb ntawm Iranian drones rau Armenia, los yog tsim lub drone Hoobkas ntawm Armenian av zoo li ib tug nyob rau hauv Tajikistan, yuav ntxiv roj rau cov caj npab kev sib tw nyob rau hauv lub volatility ntawm South Caucasus cheeb tsam.
"Raws li qhov cuam tshuam tag nrho ntawm kev muag khoom ntawm cov kev lag luam hauv cheeb tsam - hauv Caucasus, txhua lub teb chaws twb tau muab lawv tus kheej nrog cov cuab yeej siv drone, tsis yog tuaj txawv teb chaws lossis hauv paus txawm," Bendett hais. "Armenia qhov kev nrhiav tau ntawm Iranian drones tuaj yeem txhawb nqa nws txoj kev tiv thaiv thiab tuaj yeem ua qhov cuam tshuam rau qhov uas Shahed drones tuaj yeem tawm tsam ntau pua mais deb."
"Kev sib tw drone hauv cheeb tsam tab tom ua tau zoo thiab tsis xav tias yuav qeeb txhua lub sijhawm sai sai."
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/pauliddon/2022/11/25/why-armenia-and-serbia-might-seek-iranian-drones/