Dawb Sox' Lucas Giolito, Reds 'Luis Castillo Lead List Of MLB's Best Changeups

Hnub qhib tsuas yog nyob ib ncig ntawm lub ces kaum, thiab thaum cov kev ua si pib, cia peb saib zaum kawg rov qab rau lub caij dhau los hauv kuv qhov "Qhov Zoo Tshaj Plaws" series txhua xyoo.

Cia peb mus ua si los ntawm lub suab los ntawm arsenals ntawm txhua tus pib pitchers uas cuam 135 lossis ntau dua innings lub caij dhau los thiab txiav txim siab qhov kev ua si zoo tshaj plaws - thiab phem tshaj - muab khoom. Cov tswv yim tseem ceeb yog pitchers 'bat-missing thiab kev sib cuag tswj tau. Txhua lub suab yog muab piv rau cov qhab nia nruab nrab ntawm kev sib tw-thiab-tsis nco qab thiab cov qhab-nees tshwj xeeb hloov kho cov qhab nia.

Kho Cov qhab nias yog, ntawm qhov ntsuas qhov twg 100 sib npaug MLB qhov nruab nrab thiab tus lej qis dua qhov zoo dua, cov txheeb ze tsim tawm lub pitcher "yuav tsum muaj" tso cai raws li kev tawm nrawm / tua lub kaum ntse ntse sib xyaw ntawm txhua lub pob batted yielded. Qhov nruab nrab lub suab tau txais "B", thiab qhov zawv zawg zawg yog siv rau txhua lub pitcher cov txiaj ntsig kom kwv yees lub tswb nkhaus.

Niaj hnub no, peb pib nrog kev hloov pauv. Raws li ib txwm muaj, qhov kev hloov pauv tau muab qhab nia raws li MLB qhov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws hauv xyoo 2021. Nws tau txais qhov nruab nrab Hloov Kho Cov qhab nia ntawm 80.4, qhov zoo tshaj plaws ntawm txhua lub suab. Nws 14.5% viav vias-thiab-tsis nco qab tus nqi thib ob tom qab tsuas yog tus swb. 41 tus pitchers tau ntsib tag nrho cov suab thiab ntaus pob uas yuav tsum tau ua kom tau qib, nrog rau rau tus pitcher hauv qab no tau txais qib "A" lossis "A+". Ob tug ntawm lawv - Dawb Sox 'Lucas Giolito thiab Reds 'Luis Castillo - tau txais cov nqi saum toj kawg nkaus, vim lawv qhov kev ua haujlwm zoo tshaj plaws thiab kev hloov pauv zaus.

RHP Lucas Giolito (Dawb Sox) - A - (73 Adj. Contact Score, 19.8% Whiff Rate) - Qhov no tsis yog thawj rodeo rau Giolito qhov kev hloov pauv - nws tau txais kev them nqi saum toj kawg nkaus thiab qib "A+" zoo dua kawg offseason, tom qab tau txais "B+" hauv 2019. Ntawm 41 2021 kev tsim nyog rau qib ntawv, tsuas yog Zach Davies cuam tshuam nws qhov kev hloov pauv ntau dua Giolito (los ntawm 32.9% rau 31.8%).

Zoo li feem ntau ntawm cov kev hloov pauv saum toj kawg nkaus, Giolito's bat-tsis ploj sawv tawm tshaj plaws. Nws lub suab tshwj xeeb viav vias-thiab-nco tus nqi yog 5th zoo tshaj plaws ntawm cov pab pawg, thiab nws Cov qhab nias hloov kho tau raug khi rau 12th. Txawm hais tias qhov kev hloov pauv yog qhov tsim tawm hauv av rau ntau tus neeg hurlers. Giolito tau txais nws ua ntau yam sib txawv. Nws tshaj tawm 14.9% pop up tus nqi nrog nws qhov kev hloov pauv, ze li ob npaug ntawm MLB qhov nruab nrab.

Nws kuj tseem txwv txoj cai ya pob nrog lub suab, tshaj tawm 53 Kho Fly Ball Contact Score. Stylistically, Giolito tsis cuam tshuam nws qhov kev hloov pauv hnyav (81.6 mph), lossis nrog ntau kiv (1492 rpm), thiab nws muaj qis dua qhov nruab nrab kab rov tav (5.9 in.) thiab siab dua qhov nruab nrab ntsug txav (6.1 hauv.).

RHP Luis Castillo (Red) – A – (67 Adj. Cov qhab nias, 17.8% Whiff Rate) - Zoo li Giolito, Castillo sawv cev rau kev hloov pauv huab hwm coj. Thaum nws tsuas yog tau txais qib "B+" xyoo tas los, nws tau txais "A +" hauv 2019 thiab "B+" hauv 2018. Nws cov qhab-nees tshwj xeeb tau zoo nkauj ze rau Giolito's thoob plaws pawg thawj coj - nws lub viav vias-thiab-nco tus nqi tiav. 6th ntawm cov neeg tsim nyog, thiab nws cov qhab nias hloov kho tau nyob qib 10, thiab tsuas yog Davies thiab Giolito cuam tshuam lawv qhov kev hloov pauv ntau dua li Castillo (30.3%) ntawm cov neeg tsim nyog.

Uas tau hais tias, Castillo qhov kev hloov pauv tau txais txoj haujlwm ua ntau yam sib txawv dua li Giolito's. Nws yog lub sij hawm loj hauv av-inducing suab, nrog 54.9% grounder tus nqi. Kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm kev sib tw hauv av thiab ya pob txoj cai tswjfwm (3rd qhov zoo tshaj plaws Kho Fly Ball Contact Score ntawm 43) yog qhov muaj zog heev.

Kuj tseem muaj qhov sib txawv ntawm qhov sib txawv ntawm peb ob lub ntsiab lus hloov pauv. Castillo cuam tshuam nws qhov nyuaj (88.5 mph) nrog ntau kiv (1909 rpm), uas yuav luag tsis muaj ntsug (0.5 in.) thiab ib qho tseem ceeb heev (9.6 in.) ntawm kab rov tav txav.

Lwm Hnub Qub Tub Kawm - Lwm ob 162+ inning "A"-cov neeg tau txais qib yog Gerrit Cole (Yankees) thiab Brandon Woodruff (Brewers). Qhov no yog qhov nthuav tawm rau Cole, uas tsis tau cuam tshuam nws qhov kev hloov pauv ntau zaus yav dhau los. Nws tau nce nws qhov kev siv tus nqi mus rau 14.2% hauv 2021, thiab nws lub suab tshwj xeeb 49 Kho Cov qhab nias yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws ntawm txhua qhov kev tsim nyog. Nws yog ib feem vim qhov qis 15.9% liner tus nqi, uas nws tsis zoo li yuav rov qab mus tom ntej. Woodruff caij qhov siab 21.5% viav-thiab-nco tus nqi rau nws qib "A", thiab yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws ntawm kev tswj hwm txoj cai tswjfwm (78 Kho Cov Ntawv Sib Txuas Sib cuag). Woodruff qhov kev hloov pauv tau muaj qhov nruab nrab qhov sib tw siab (1906 rpm).

Yusei Kikuchi (Mariners 2021 / Blue Jays 2022) tsuas yog tus tau txais qib "A+" rau nws qhov kev hloov pauv. Nws 21.6% viav vias-thiab-tsis nco qab tus nqi thib 2 (tom qab tus neeg ua si hauv qab) ntawm cov neeg tsim nyog, thiab nws qhov kev sib tw tshwj xeeb tshwj xeeb kev sib cuag kev ua tau zoo yog nyob rau ntawm lub zog ntawm qhov standout 62.7% grounder tus nqi. Kikuchi qhov kev hloov pauv qhov nruab nrab qis qis (1452 rpm) kuj tseem sawv. Yog vim li cas Kikuchi tseem tsis tau tawg? Tsis muaj ib qho ntawm nws lwm qhov pitches tau qhab nia li qhov nruab nrab. Muaj upside ntawm no. Jordan Montgomery (Yankees) yog tus tau txais qib “A” zaum kawg. Nws 21.7% lub suab tshwj xeeb viav vias-thiab-nco tus nqi coj txhua qhov kev tsim nyog. Nws 85 pitch-specific Adjusted Contact Score tsis sawv tawm hauv lub tuam txhab no, txawm hais tias nws lub peev xwm los cuam tshuam txoj cai hauv av (56 Adjusted Grounder Contact Score) yog nyob rau theem sab saum toj.

Tsuas Yog Tsis Tau: 11 pitchers tau txais qib "B +" rau lawv qhov kev hloov pauv hauv 2021: Zack Greinke, Julio Urias, Luis Garcia, Eduardo Rodriguez, Lance McCullers Jr., Chris Flexen, Marco Gonzales, Max Scherzer, John Means, Aaron Nola thiab Wade Miley.

Ntawm cov pab pawg ntawd, Garcia, txhais tau tias thiab Nola yog tus zoo tshaj plaws bat-missers, Greinke, Urias, McCullers, Flexen thiab Scherzer tus thawj tswj hwm zoo tshaj plaws, nrog Miley, Means, Rodriguez thiab Greinke pov lub suab ntau zaus.

Qhov phem tshaj kev hloov pauv: Adrian Houser (Brewers) tau txais "F" rau nws qhov kev hloov pauv, thaum Mike Foltynewicz (Rangers) thiab JA Happ (Twins / Cards, tam sim no tus neeg sawv cev pub dawb) tau "D+"'s. Nws yog ib qho nyuaj heev rau lub suab kom tau txais "F" - tab sis Houser lub suab tshwj xeeb 6.1% whiff tus nqi thiab 126 Kho Cov qhab nias sib txuas yog ob qho tib si dhau ob qhov kev sib txawv ntawm tus qauv tsis zoo tshaj qhov nruab nrab. Foltynewicz lagged nyob rau hauv kev tswj kev sib cuag (130 Kho Cov qhab nia sib cuag, tsuas yog ib qho phem dua li Houser), Happ hauv whiff tus nqi (7.7%, 39th ntawm 41 qhov tsim nyog).

2020 Qib "A" Cov neeg tau txais: Peb twb tham txog Giolito lawm. Kenta Maeda thiab Matthew Boyd tsis tau ua kom txaus innings kom tsim nyog lub sij hawm no ib ncig. Kyle Hendricks (77, 13.8%) thiab Ryan Yarbrough (78, 12.3) tau qhab nia “B” hauv 2021, Dallas Keuchel (89, 14.0%), a “C+”.

Zuag qhia tag nrho, 2021 qhov kev hloov pauv zoo tshaj plaws tuaj nyob rau hauv txhua daim duab thiab qhov ntau thiab tsawg, nrog qhov sib txawv ntawm qhov nruab nrab qhov sib txawv, txawm hais tias qhov nruab nrab lawv nyiam raug cuam tshuam, nrog rau qhov zoo tshaj qhov nruab nrab kab rov tav lossis ntsug txav. Ntawm no yog ib lub rooj nrog tag nrho 2021 kev tsim nyog hloov cov qhab nia.