Dawb Sox 'Dylan Cease Nyob Ntawm Ib Daim Ntawv Teev Npe Ntawm MLB's Top 10 Pib Pitchers

Lub lim tiam no, MLB Network tau nthuav tawm lawv cov npe ntawm Sab saum toj 10 pab koomtes loj pib pitchers. Nyob rau hauv ob peb lub lis piam ua ntej lub caij nplooj ntoos hlav kev cob qhia camps qhib, nws yog ib qho kev lom zem ce, raws li lub network mus rau txoj hauj lwm los ntawm txoj hauj lwm, khiav down cov players zoo tshaj plaws nyob rau hauv qhov kev ua si. Obviously, muaj tons ntawm subjectivity koom nrog, thiab kev tawm dag zog yog ua raws li kev lom zem, thiab npaj los tsim kev sib tham thiab tawm tswv yim.

Txhua lub sijhawm tam sim no, txawm li cas los xij, muaj qhov tsis txaus ntseeg uas tsim nyog raug hu tawm. Lub Phillies 'Aaron Nola yog ib qho kev tsis pom zoo - hauv kuv lub tswv yim txo hwj chim, nws yog tus pitcher zoo tshaj plaws hauv kev ntaus pob ntaus pob loj hauv xyoo 2022, thiab raws li nws yog squarely hauv nws tus thawj coj, nws yuav tsum suav nrog hauv cov npe 10 tam sim no. Kuv tau sau ntau txog nola no offseason, thiab yuav xaiv tsom rau lwm hurler hnub no.

Muaj peb lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau pitching - cov puav uas ploj lawm, txo kev taug kev thiab tswj kev sib cuag. Rau qhov pib zoo tshaj plaws, Cy Young contenders, koj tuaj yeem pov rau hauv plaub - durability, nqa ib qho hnyav innings load. Nola yog nyob rau hauv cov neeg tseem ceeb ntau yam ntawm peb ntawm cov kev qhuab qhia, thiab yog ib tug me ntsis saum toj no nruab nrab tus neeg saib xyuas.

Cov haiv neeg AL Cy Young yog ib qho ze rau hauv kuv phau ntawv, mus rau hauv cov hlau. Thaum kawg, kuv ntseeg tias cov neeg pov npav tau hu txoj cai hauv kev xaiv Justin Verlander. Txawm li cas los xij, hauv "Tru" Pitching Runs Above Average (TPRAA) system kuv siv los xaiv cov yeej tau txais txiaj ntsig, nws tau tawm ntawm White Sox 'Dylan Cease los ntawm qhov tsawg tshaj plaws ntawm cov npoo, los ntawm 24.1 txog 23.8 TPRAA. Nws cia li nqis los rau lub pitchers 'kawg pib.

Zoo li Nola, Cease yog nyob rau hauv cov neeg tseem ceeb ntawm peb ntawm plaub qhov kev qhuab qhia yooj yim - nws tus nqi K, kev ua haujlwm ntev thiab kev tswj xyuas kev sib cuag yog txhua yam tshwj xeeb rau lub caij dhau los. Nws tseem muaj txoj hauv kev ntev mus hais txog kev hais kom ntaus pob, tab sis muab nws cov cuab yeej cuab tam thiab kev xav tag nrho, uas yuav tsum poob rau hauv kab dhau sijhawm thiab.

Muaj ob peb lub ntsej muag ntawm Cease qhov kev ua si uas tsim nyog tau txais kev saib xyuas me ntsis, thiab ob qho tib si qhia tias nws tsuas yog khawb qhov ntawm nws lub peev xwm.

Ua ntej, kev tswj xyuas kev sib cuag tsis yog feem ntau qhov kev saib xyuas ntawm cov tub ntxhais hluas lub zog pitcher. Cease yog 2022 American League Contact Manager ntawm lub xyoo nrog rau 81 Kho Cov qhab nias. Feem ntau cov neeg ncaws pob uas yeej lub npe ntawd muaj qhov tshwm sim loj heev lossis cov pob hauv av nyiam. Tsis Cease.

Nws tsuas yog throttles tawm ceev thoob plaws txhua hom pob batted. Cease yog ib qho ntawm peb qhov tsim nyog AL pib uas tuav hitters rau cov khoom qis dua qhov nruab nrab tag nrho, ya pob, liner thiab grounder tawm nrawm. Nws tag nrho thiab liner tawm ceev tau tso cai ranked 3rd thiab nws grounder tawm ceev tso cai ranked rau 2nd qis tshaj ntawm ERA qualifiers. Nws Kho Fly Ball Sib cuag Cov qhab nia ntawm 70 yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws hauv AL; Txawm hais tias nws qhov nruab nrab ya pob tawm qhov nrawm tsis yog qhov tseem ceeb, vim tias nws tau txais ntau qhov "tau pob kws" ya pob hauv 75-95 mph ntau.

Qhov tsuas yog "muaj hmoo" ib feem ntawm Cease txoj kev tswj hwm kev sib cuag yog nws qhov qis qis tau tso cai ntawm 17.4% - cov nqi zoo li no yuav hloov pauv txhua xyoo, thiab qhov no yog thawj zaug nws tau qhab nia zoo dua li qhov nruab nrab hauv cheeb tsam no.

Tab sis tej zaum qhov laj thawj loj tshaj plaws los ua bullish rau Cease lub neej yav tom ntej yog qhov tseeb tias nws tau txais nws ua tiav nrog nws plaub-seam fastball. Kuv yuav nthuav tawm kuv cov yeeb yaj kiab "Zoo Tshaj Plaws" txhua xyoo nyob rau lub asthiv tom ntej, thiab txhua xyoo peb pom tias cov pib nrog lub zog tseem ceeb tshaj plaws muaj plaub-seamers tshwj xeeb.

Cease's 10.2% plaub-seam whiff tus nqi yog siab tshaj MLB qhov nruab nrab ntawm 9.3%, thiab thaum feem ntau cov pitchers hauv ob lub koom haum tso cai rau kev sib cuag nrog lawv plaub-seamers, Cease bucks qhov sib txawv. Raws li qhov tseeb tawm ceev tau tso cai tawm tsam nws plaub-seamer, nws yuav tsum tau yielded .290 AVG-.489 SLG ntawm lub suab. Ntawm ERA kev tsim nyog hauv ob pab koomtes, tsuas yog Jose Quintana (!) tswj kev sib cuag zoo dua nrog nws plaub-seamer.

Pov rau hauv qhov kev txhim kho ntau xyoo-rau-xyoo uas Cease tau ua tiav lawm, thiab nws yog qhov tseeb tias nws muaj kev nkag siab zoo thiab kev cob qhia. Nws muaj ib yam khoom loj uas tseem tshuav ntawm nws daim ntawv teev npe kev txhim kho kev ua haujlwm - qhov kev tswj hwm pesky - thiab kuv twv tias nws tuaj yeem qhwv nws txhais tes ib ncig ntawm nws.

Cov tub ntxhais hluas kawg uas tau tsim lub pitcher uas kuv zoo siab heev yog Jacob deGrom, nyob rau hauv nws cov hnub ua ntej Cy Young. Barring kev raug mob, Dylan Cease yuav nyob rau hauv txhua tus ntawm Top 3 daim ntawv teev npe rau yav tom ntej.