Ib tug ua ke ntawm lub tsov rog nyob rau hauv Ukraine, cov paj laum ntau dua, thiab kev nce nqi nce siab tau ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam thoob plaws Euro cheeb tsam, ua rau muaj kev sib tham ntawm lub caij txom nyem los sai sai no. Qhov mob hauv kev lag luam yog exacerbated los ntawm qhov tseeb tias European lub teb chaws yuav tsum tau txiav lawv tus kheej tawm ntawm Lavxias teb sab roj thiab roj, uas ua rau cov nqi nce nyob rau hauv lub zog lag luam.
Lub teb chaws Yelemees, raws li thaj chaw kev lag luam loj tshaj plaws, tab tom hnov qhov cua sov li qhov lub zog ntsoog yog battering nws manufacturing puag, nrog rau softness nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no mov chains. Txij li tag nrho cov qauv kev lag luam hauv German zoo li nyob rau hauv kev kho dua tshiab nrog kev rov ua dua tshiab, kev lag luam yuav luag zoo li lav, uas tuaj yeem plunge tag nrho Eurozone rau hauv ib qho.
Ntawm qhov tod tes, CEO ntawm Steno Research, Andreas Steno Larsen, thiab Chief Strategist ntawm Danske Bank, Piet Christiansen, Sib koom ib infographic ntawm Twitter, on October 19, los ntawm Bloomberg thiab Danske Bank kev tshawb fawb qhia txog kev poob qis hauv thaj tsam euro nyiaj txiag xyoo tom ntej.
Christiansen tau hais tias: "Kev lag luam tab tom ua tus nqi poob qis hauv euro cheeb tsam kev txhim kho nyiaj txiag xyoo tom ntej. Lub Kaum Hli 23 kho tus nqi qis dua 2% (ntawm 1.86%) thiab ib qho trough hauv Jan24 ntawm 1.52%. Kev nce nqi ntev dua yog luv nqi raws li ECB lub hom phiaj ntawm 2%. "
Nws zoo li yog tias qhov nyiaj nce mus ntev yuav ua raws li European Central Bank (ECB) lub hom phiaj ntawm 2% hauv 2023.
Cov ntsiab lus hauv paus nce
Txhawm rau coj kev nce nqi raws li ECB lub hom phiaj ntawm 2%, kev nce nqi ntau dua yuav tsum tau tshwm sim hauv lub hlis tom ntej, thiab nws zoo li lawv yuav tsum yog qhov tseem ceeb, tsawg kawg ntawm 75 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus. Lub rooj sib tham ECB tom ntej no yog lub Kaum Hli 27, thiab nws yuav yog qhov xav tsis thoob yog tias tsis muaj kev nce qib loj ntxiv.
Lub caij no, lub teb chaws Yelemees tam sim no tau pom tias yog tus txiv neej muaj mob ntawm cov teb chaws Europe thiab tus neeg rub lub Euro cheeb tsam mus rau hauv 2023 kev cog lus, ua tsaug rau nws qhov kev cia siab rau cov roj Lavxias.
Rau cov teb chaws Europe txhawm rau khawb nws tus kheej tawm ntawm qhov kev nce nqi, kev hloov pauv hauv cov khoom siv hluav taws xob yuav xav tau, nrog rau kev ntxiv dag zog rau kev lag luam muaj peev xwm hauv kev lag luam ua haujlwm thiab nce kev tsim khoom thoob plaws ib puag ncig.
Yog tias kev sib koom ua ke rov tshwm sim hauv Tebchaws Europe, zoo li nws tau ua thaum Covid-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw, tom qab ntawd kev hloov kho yuav tsum tshwm sim sai sai, thiab Tebchaws Europe yuav tawm ntawm cov ntoo nyiaj txiag xyoo 2023, raws li cov kws tshaj lij tau kwv yees.
Disclaimer: Cov ntsiab lus ntawm lub xaib no yuav tsum tsis txhob suav hais tias yog cov lus qhia txog kev nqis peev. Kev nqis peev yog speculative. Thaum kev nqis peev, koj cov peev nyiaj muaj kev pheej hmoo.
Tau qhov twg los: https://finbold.com/when-will-eurozone-inflation-stabilize-heres-what-finance-experts-say/