Rallies tau txais squashed thiab tsis muaj txhuas zoo li yuav muaj kev nyab xeeb rau kev lag luam Tshuag hauv kev lag luam tsis ntev los no.
Qhov tseeb, Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
intraday reversal rau hnub Thursday - thaum nws tau nce 2.1% ntawm nws lub ncov tab sis xaus rau 1.3% - sawv cev rau nws qhov kev thim rov qab loj tshaj plaws rau kev poob txij li lub Plaub Hlis 7, 2020, raws li Dow Jones Market Data. Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab
DJIA,
thiab S&P 500 qhov ntsuas
SPX,
uas kuj tau ua lag luam siab dua, ua tiav hauv thaj chaw tsis zoo thiab.
Qhov kev puas tsuaj ntawm ib qho kev nce siab hauv hnub loj tuaj tom qab Nasdaq Composite tau nkag mus rau qhov kev kho - txhais tias qhov poob qis tsawg kawg yog 10% (tab sis tsis pub ntau tshaj 20%) los ntawm qhov ncov tsis ntev los no - thawj zaug txij li Lub Peb Hlis 8, 2021, thiab qhia txog lub fragility ntawm kev ua lag luam raws li nws braces rau ib tug tsoom fwv ntawm cov nyiaj paj ntau dua thiab tag nrho cov tsawg-accommodative txoj cai los ntawm Federal Reserve.
nyeem: Npaj rau kev nce toj. Nov yog dab tsi keeb kwm hais txog cov khoom lag luam rov qab thaum Fed tus nqi-hike mus.
Keeb kwm qhia tau hais tias, txawm li cas los xij, tias qhov kev hloov pauv niaj hnub tsis tshwm sim los ua ib qho cim zoo rau kev lag luam ze rau lub sijhawm.
Raws li cov hnub uas Nasdaq Composite tau sau npe qhov nce hauv ib hnub ntawm tsawg kawg 2% tab sis xaus qis dua, qhov ntsuas tau ua tsis zoo.
Qhov nruab nrab, nyob rau lub sijhawm zoo li no, cov khoom sib xyaw ua tiav qis dua 0.5% hauv kev sib tham hauv qab no, thiab qis dua 0.2% ib lub lis piam tom qab.
Nws tsis yog txog thaum peb tawm ob peb lub hlis ua ntej kev ua tau zoo. Kev nce rau qhov Performance index 30 hnub tawm yog qhov zoo dua, nce ntawm 0.5%, thaum peb lub hlis tawm qhov rov qab los txhim kho kom nce 1.4%, raws li Dow Jones Cov Ntaub Ntawv Kev Lag Luam, taug qab 2% intraday txav mus rau 1991.
Dow Jones Kev Lag Luam Cov Ntaub Ntawv
Yog li tej yam yuav tig mus thaum kawg.
Tab sis txhawm rau muab qhov kev txav mus rau Nasdaq Composite rau hauv kev xav, lub sijhawm kawg nws tau nce 2% thiab poob qis kawg yog 1% yog Lub Peb Hlis 20, 2020, hnub ua ntej lub npe hu ua kev sib kis hauv qab.
Saib: Yam tsawg kawg 7 lub cim qhia tias lub khw lag luam puas tawg
Kev lag luam kev ncaj ncees tau raug kaw tsawg kawg yog ib feem vim qhov kev cia siab ntawm ntau tus paj laum nce los ntawm Fed, uas tau ntsib hnub Tuesday thiab Wednesday. Cov nqi siab dua tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev nqis peev hauv kev kwv yees ntu ntawm kev ua lag luam uas vam khom ntau rau kev qiv, nrog cov tub ua lag luam txo nqi nyiaj txiag yav tom ntej. Kev hais lus ntawm kev nce nqi kuj tau ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev ua lag luam thiab yog ib qho ntawm cov laj thawj tseem ceeb uas ua rau Fed hloov los ntawm kev tswj hwm yooj yim-nyiaj mus rau ib qho ntawm txoj cai nruj.
Mus saib: Cov khoom lag luam ceeb toom ceeb toom: Nov yog qhov txiaj ntsig nyiaj tau los hais txog S&P 500 rov qab los hauv 6 lub hlis tom ntej
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/when-no-stock-market-lead-is-safe-heres-what-history-shows-the-nasdaqs-near-term-returns-look-like- it-not-pretty-11642718124?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo