Lub xyoo tau grueling rau cov uas tuav yuav luag txhua yam khoom. S&P 500 (^ GSPC) poob qis 16% xyoo dhau los. Lub Nasdaq (^ IXIC) poob qis 24% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm ntawd. Txawm lub zog sector (XLE) - tsuas yog ib qho zoo xyoo dhau los - tau pom qee qhov ntawm nws cov txiaj ntsig tau evaporate tsis ntev los no.
Hauv Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag tshiab, peb tab tom saib qee cov tswv yim cov kws tshaj lij pom zoo rau yuav ua li cas rau kev lag luam dais. Txhawm rau ncaws tawm, peb nug lawv seb lawv xav tias cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum ua li cas hauv ib puag ncig ntawm txoj cai tswj hwm nyiaj txiag nruj dua thiab kev hem thawj ntawm kev lag luam nyiaj txiag.
Peb tau pom qee hnub kev sib tw nyob rau ob peb lub lis piam dhau los no. Puas muaj kev lag luam hauv qab? Cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum ua li cas tam sim no?
"Cov npe uas tau txais txiaj ntsig tiag tiag txij li nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli thiab lub rooj sib tham Federal Reserve kawg yog qhov chaw beta siab tshaj plaws ntawm kev ua lag luam. Qee lub npe uas yog cov cuab yeej siv tsis tau txiaj ntsig yuav yog txoj hauv kev los ua kom tiav, "Chris Pollard, Cowen tus thawj coj thiab tus thawj coj ntawm kev lag luam Strategy hais rau Yahoo Finance Live.
"Cov no yog cov npe uas tau hais tawm suab nrov heev thiab qhov no yog ib txoj hauv kev los txheeb cov khub rov qab los ntawm qhov tshwm sim," P ntxiv. "Kuv xav tias siv lub sijhawm no, qhov kev tawm tsam no, txhawm rau nce qee cov nyiaj ntsuab thiab muab koj tus kheej qee qhov kev xaiv rau yam uas yuav tsum tau thawb mus rau qhov qis qis tshiab, yog qhov peb yuav qhia ntawm no."
Nws tau sau tseg tias "Qhov kev txav uas peb tau pom nyob rau ob peb lub lis piam dhau los tsis zoo li yuav nyob ruaj khov," nws tau sau tseg.
Thaum twg capitulation yuav tshwm sim?
“Qhov ntawd yog lwm txoj hauv kev hais tias, 'Thaum twg kuv tuaj yeem yuav'. Lub capitulation tiag tiag tshwm sim thaum tib neeg hais tias 'tsis txhob tham nrog kuv txog qhov no ntxiv lawm,' "Interactive Brokers 'tus kws tshaj lij, Steve Sosnick hais rau Yahoo Finance Live.
Nws tau hais tias "Peb tseem nyob hauv kev lag luam dais thiab peb tseem tab tom pom Fed ua lub taub hau," nws hais.
Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve xav tias yuav nce tus nqi ntawm lawv lub rooj sib tham tom ntej lub lim tiam tom ntej. Tighter monetary txoj cai tau ib tug headwind rau stocks li liquidity dries.
"Tsis txhob raug ntxias" los ntawm "kev ua lag luam luv luv, ntse, thiab ua rau muaj kev sib cav sib ceg," nws hais.
"Koj yeej tsis tau txais cov hauv qab tshwj tsis yog tias koj pom kev hloov pauv hauv kev tswj hwm nyiaj txiag lossis nyiaj txiag txoj cai. Kuv tsis pom qhov ntawd tam sim no, ”nws hais ntxiv.
Cov tub ua lag luam puas yuav tsum tuav cov khoom lag luam uas tau poob nyiaj?
Qee cov kws tshaj lij hais tias qhov no yog nyob ntawm lub tuam txhab hauv nqe lus nug thiab lub sijhawm ntawm cov neeg ua lag luam.
"Qhov nruab nrab dais lag luam rau qhov dav S&P 500 tau siv kwv yees li ib xyoos mus rau hauv qab, tab sis qhov no tuaj yeem ntev dua rau cov khoom lag luam ib leeg (yog tias lawv rov qab los ntawm tag nrho)," Ross Mayfield, Investment Strategy analyst ntawm Baird hais rau Yahoo Finance.
"Cov neeg ua lag luam yuav tsum nug lawv tus kheej yog tias cov ntaub ntawv nqis peev rau kev ua lag luam tau hloov pauv thiab lub sijhawm rau cov nyiaj tau nqis peev tiag tiag yog dab tsi," nws hais ntxiv.
Nws kuj tau sau tseg tias, "Kev ua lag luam tsis hloov pauv thiab kev muag khoom tsuas yog ib feem ntawm cov kev paub dhau los rau cov neeg ua lag luam ntev dua - lawv tshwm sim nrog kev tsis tu ncua tab sis yeej ib txwm xaus nrog kev ua lag luam ua qhov siab tshiab. Tsis tas li ntawd, tuav nyiaj ntsuab nyob rau hauv ib qho kev sim ua kom lub sij hawm zoo kawg nkaus hauv kev ua lag luam hauv qab yog ib qho kev pheej hmoo heev uas tuaj yeem ua rau ib tus neeg ploj lawm qhov kev sib tw uas pib lub khw muag nyuj tshiab. "
Yuav ua li cas cov tub ua lag luam npaj lawv cov ntaub ntawv hauv lub teeb ntawm kev lag luam qeeb, lossis kev lag luam poob qis?
"Thaum peb saib qhov feem pua yuav tshwm sim ntawm huab cua peb yuav mus rau hauv kev poob qis lossis huab cua peb tsuas yog mus pom qhov chaw loj hlob qeeb. Peb muab cov ntug me ntsis rau qhov chaw loj hlob qeeb, tsuas yog vim lub zog ntawm cov neeg siv khoom los rau hauv qhov no, "Kristen Bitterly, CIti Global Wealth tus thawj coj ntawm North American kev nqis peev hais rau Yahoo Finance.
Nws pom zoo kom "tsim qee qhov sib txawv muaj zog hauv cov ntaub ntawv khaws tseg thoob plaws cov nyiaj tau los thiab cov peev txheej. Thiab tiag tiag leaning mus rau qhov zoo thiab ua tau zoo thaum nws los txog rau kev nthuav dav rau kev tawm los, lossis txuas koj tus kheej thaum nws los txog rau credit, "nws hais ntxiv.
"Kuv xav tias muaj cov kev daws teeb meem ntawm no los ua tus neeg ua lag luam, kom nyob twj ywm tag nrho, tab sis ua kom ntseeg tau tias koj tau nce qhov zoo ntawm cov peev txheej thiab cov nyiaj tau los tas li," said Bitterly.
Puas yog qee cov khoom lag luam tsuas yog muag?
Kev ntsuas tau nqis los ntau heev.
Allspring Global Investments Senior Investment Strategist Brian Jacobsen hais rau Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag tias ib qho ntawm thaj chaw nws nyiam yog cov neeg siv khoom lag luam thiab cov thev naus laus zis.
"Nws yuav luag zoo li lub barbell txoj hauv kev ntawm no uas muaj ntau lub npe uas zoo li lawv tej zaum yuav raug pov rau hauv lub tsheb npav kom hais lus raws li tib neeg tau txais kev xav me ntsis ntxiv tias Fed tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev lag luam poob qis thaum lawv sim tswj kev nce nqi. , ”nws ntxiv.
Ines yog tus tshaj tawm kev lag luam npog cov khoom lag luam. Ua raws nws ntawm Twitter ntawm @ines_ferre kev
Nyeem cov xov xwm tshiab nyiaj txiag thiab lag luam los ntawm Yahoo Finance
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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/what-wall-street-strategists-recommend-doing-in-this-bear-market-133426387.html