Cov khoom lag luam twg raug cuam tshuam ncaj qha los ntawm Kev Lag Luam Vaj Tsev?

Nws tsis muaj qhov zais cia tias kev lag luam vaj tsev tau nce siab rau ob peb xyoos. Tab sis tam sim no kev ua lag luam tau hloov pauv, nrog cov paj laum nce thiab cov neeg yuav khoom xav tau softening. Txawm hais tias koj yog ib tus neeg ua lag luam uas muaj caij nyoog los yog nyuam qhuav pib, ua raws li cov xov xwm tshiab thiab cov ncauj lus tshiab yog qhov tseem ceeb. Nrog cov khoom vaj khoom tsev npog tag nrho cov ntu kev lag luam, muaj qee qhov los thawb lub pob nres rau thiab lwm tus los txiav txim siab yuav.

Qhov tseem ceeb Takeaways:

  • Cov neeg lag luam tuaj yeem tau txais kev cuam tshuam rau txhua qhov kev lag luam vaj tsev los ntawm cov tsev tsim khoom mus rau cov khw muag khoom thiab txawm tias REITs.
  • Cov nqi yuav tsis poob mus txog rau thaum kawg ntawm 2023, muaj peev xwm ua kom qis qis ntawm kev muag khoom hauv tsev rau qee lub sijhawm.
  • Tshawb xyuas koj cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj kom pom tias koj muaj cov khoom vaj tse sawv cev. Saib cov npe ntawm cov khoom lag luam vaj tsev hauv qab no.

Vim Li Cas Lub Tsev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam Hauv Tsev Yuav Tsum Tau Txais?

Cov kws tshaj lij cia siab tias yuav muaj kev lag luam vaj tsev poob qis vim muaj ntau qhov kev sim los ntawm tsoomfwv tsoomfwv kom "tso lub nres" ntawm kev nce nqi. Thaum xyoo 2021 thiab mus txog rau xyoo 2022, kev lag luam vaj tsev tau kub kub vim muaj ntau yam, nrog rau kev nqis peev hauv vaj tse thiab nyiaj txiag pheej yig yog tus tsav tsheb tseem ceeb ntawm kev nce nqi tsev.

Cov tub ua lag luam tau dej nyab lub tsev lag luam nrhiav kev nqis peev uas lawv tuaj yeem hloov mus rau ob qho tib si luv luv thiab mus sij hawm ntev. Ib puag ncig qis-qis-tus nqi txhais tau tias cov tub ua lag luam tuaj yeem paub cov txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm lawv cov khoom xauj tsev. Cov qiv nyiaj tau qhib cov tub ua lag luam los ntawm kev tso cai rau lawv siv lawv cov khoom uas twb muaj lawm ua kev ruaj ntseg rau lawv qhov kev yuav khoom tom ntej. Nyob rau hauv lem, kev sib tw tau nce loj heev rau cov tsawg tsawg ntawm cov tsev rau kev muag khoom.

Ntxiv rau qhov no qhov tsis txaus ntawm cov tsev tshiab tau tsim vim muaj teeb meem ntawm cov saw hlau, thiab qhov tshwm sim yog tus nqi siab dua. Nws yog classic khoom thiab xav tau.

Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau teb los ntawm kev nce tus nqi paj laum nyob rau lub sijhawm luv luv. Tus nqi paj laum tau raug tshem tawm 225 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus los ntawm Lub Rau Hli 2022 rau lub hauv paus tus nqi ntawm 2.5%. Nyob rau hauv lem, cov paj paj paj tau mus txog 5% ntawm qhov nruab nrab.

Qhov kev nce nqi ntawm cov paj laum tam sim ntawd cuam tshuam rau kev them taus rau cov tub ua lag luam thiab cov neeg yuav tsev ib yam nkaus. Nrog txo qis nyiaj tau los ntawm kev xauj tsev thiab kev nce nyiaj hauv tsev, tus neeg yuav tsev nruab nrab tsis tuaj yeem them lub tsev yooj yim. Softer xav tau los ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom thaum lawv khaws cov khoom lag luam ntawm kev lag luam ua rau cov tsev zaum muag ntev dua li yav dhau los tsis ntev los no. Tsuas yog hauv ob peb lub khw, txawm li cas los xij, ua tus nqi vaj tsev poob qis.

Tseeb tiag, cov no tsis yog tib yam uas ua rau muaj kev lag luam vaj tsev nyob, tab sis lawv yog qhov loj tshaj plaws uas cuam tshuam rau qhov poob ntawm kev muag vaj tsev. Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell tau tshaj tawm thaum Lub Yim Hli 2022 tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav nce cov paj laum kom txog thaum kev nce nqi poob mus rau 2%. Cov nqi yuav tsis poob mus txog rau thaum kawg ntawm 2023, muaj peev xwm ua kom qis qis ntawm kev muag khoom hauv tsev rau qee lub sijhawm.

Cov Khoom Muag Khoom Hauv Cov Khoom Siv Hauv Tsev Kom Khaws Qhov Muag

Cov hauv qab no yog saib cov khoom lag luam vaj tsev tsim nyog saib. Nco ntsoov tias tsuas yog koj tuaj yeem txiav txim siab lub peev xwm ntawm cov khoom lag luam muab kev ua tau zoo thiab nws haum rau koj cov ntaub ntawv li cas.

Vaj Tse Ua Tsev

Cov neeg tsim tsev yuav tsum tsim lossis pheej hmoo tawm mus ua lag luam. Lawv nyiam yuav av rau kev txhim kho, tom qab ntawd tawm ib zaug feem ntau, lossis tag nrho cov tsev raug muag. Cov khoom lag luam hauv tsev muaj kev pheej hmoo ntau dua rau kev poob qis hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev vim li ntawd, vim tias lawv tsis muaj kev tuav pov hwm lossis koom nrog kev tswj vaj tsev uas tsim cov nyiaj tau los.

Qee tus neeg tsim vaj tsev tau ceeb toom rau cua thiab ua rau cov nuj nqis ntau dua, yuav cov cuab yeej rau kev txhim kho kom tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm cov cua daj cua dub los ntawm kev muag khoom hauv tsev. Qhov no tsim teeb meem thaum lub sij hawm vaj tse poob qis vim tias tus neeg tsim tsev ua kom muaj nuj nqis ntau dua thaum muag tsev poob qis. Nov yog ob peb lub tsev tsim khoom lag luam los tshawb fawb ntxiv.

DR Horton

DR Horton cov khoom lag luam tau nce siab thaum lub caij ntuj sov xyoo 2022 thiab tau poob qis txij thaum ntawd los, tab sis qhov ntawd tsis tau txhais hais tias tus neeg tsim tsev muaj teeb meem. Hloov chaw, DR Horton tab tom saib mus rau yav tom ntej thiab xav tias Millennials yuav tsiv tawm hauv nroog thiab mus rau thaj chaw hauv nroog hauv kev tshawb nrhiav chaw los tsa lawv tsev neeg. Lub tuam txhab pom muaj peev xwm rau kev txhim kho profitability tom qab cov paj laum hikes ua si.

Hu Kwv tij

Toll Brothers, nrhiav tau nyob rau xyoo 1967, yog tus tsim tsev thib tsib hauv Tebchaws Meskas. Lub tuam txhab txhawb nqa kev tsim vaj tsev nyob sab saud thiab cov khoom lag luam thiab npaj nyiaj txiag rau ob hom khoom. Nws tau nyob rau ntawm 411 ntawm Fortune 500 daim ntawv teev npe thiab tau poob qis me ntsis hauv nws cov nqi khoom lag luam thaum lwm tus neeg tsim tsev tau pom kev poob qis. Lub tuam txhab tsim cov tsev nyob hauv 24 lub xeev thiab muaj cov ntaub ntawv ntawm cov tsev qiv ntawv hauv nroog thoob plaws Tebchaws Meskas

NVRs

NVR tsim cov vaj tsev sib txawv rau cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev thawj zaug, txav mus los, thiab tsev khoom kim heev. Nws tsom mus rau kev tsim vaj tsev zoo nyob rau txhua theem. Tus neeg tsim khoom muaj kev qhuab qhia los ntawm kev tsis nrhiav kom tau txais cov nuj nqis ntxiv los yuav khoom ntau dua thaum lub lag luam muaj vaj tse. Lub tswv yim no tiv thaiv NVR los ntawm kev tuav cov nuj nqis ntau dhau thiab ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev poob qis hauv kev muag khoom. NVR tseem muaj kev faib nyiaj qiv nyiaj uas suav txog li 20% ntawm lub tuam txhab cov nyiaj tau los.

Realtor Stocks

Cov tuam txhab Realty tau koom nrog kev muag khoom hauv tsev thiab sawv cev rau ob tus neeg yuav khoom thiab cov muag khoom. Lawv txawv los ntawm kev ua haujlwm hauv chaw ua haujlwm ib txwm muaj rau cov tuam txhab online uas ua haujlwm nrog cov neeg ua haujlwm ywj pheej. Cov khoom lag luam no tuaj yeem nkag siab rau kev ua lag luam vim tias lawv vam khom muaj ob tog txaus siab yuav thiab muag ib lub tsev lossis cov khoom zoo sib xws. Thaum cov neeg yuav khoom lossis cov neeg muag khoom poob qis, cov tswv tsev yuav tsum ua haujlwm hnyav dua los ua kev muag khoom.

Redfin

Redfin tso siab rau nws lub vev xaib kom nyiam cov neeg tuaj yeem yuav thiab muag lawv lub tsev. Cov neeg sawv cev hauv zos ua haujlwm nrog tus neeg siv khoom los qhia lossis muag lub tsev los ntawm qhov chaw. Lub vev xaib tseem teev cov chav tsev xauj tsev, muab cov nyiaj txais qiv nyiaj rau cov neeg yuav khoom, thiab muab cov ntaub ntawv tiag tiag rau kev muag tsev tsis ntev los no hauv khw muag khoom. Txawm li cas los xij, txawm tias Redfin tus qauv txawv dua li cov tuam txhab vaj tsev ib txwm muaj, nws muaj kev cuam tshuam rau tib yam teeb meem ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom qis dua los ntawm kev nce paj paj.

RE / MAX

RE / MAX yog ib tus neeg ua lag luam ib txwm muaj nrog cov neeg sawv cev hauv zos muag cov tsev nyob rau hauv nws cov chij. Lub tuam txhab tau ua haujlwm tau ntau xyoo thiab tau pom nws lub zog nyob ruaj khov. RE/MAX muaj qhov zoo dua li cov tswv lag luam hauv internet nkaus xwb nyob rau hauv daim ntawv ntawm cov neeg sawv cev hauv zos uas paub thaj chaw thiab muaj peev xwm muab kev paub txog hauv cheeb tsam. Nws yog ib lub tuam txhab ruaj khov uas muab kev pabcuam puv ntoob rau kev muag khoom hauv tsev.

Newmark

Newmark Group, Inc., yog lub tuam txhab kev lag luam vaj tse uas ua haujlwm thoob ntiaj teb. Nws muab kev pabcuam kev koom ua ke rau cov neeg ua lag luam vaj tsev, tus tswv, thiab tus neeg nyob. Newmark muab peev rau kev muag peev, kev tswj vaj tsev, muag qiv, chaw ua haujlwm leasing, nuj nqis, thiab kev pabcuam nyiaj txiag. Lub tuam txhab tau kwv yees tias yuav loj hlob, tab sis nws tsis muaj nyiaj txaus txaus them rau nws cov nuj nqis.

LUS

REITs, lossis kev nqis peev hauv vaj tse, yog hom tuam txhab lag luam uas ua lag luam cov nyiaj tau los tsim vaj tsev. Cov no suav nrog cov khw, cov vaj tsev lag luam, cov tsev apartment, tsev so, thiab lwm yam. Qee cov REITs tau pib yuav thiab xauj tsev ib leeg-tsev neeg thiab zam kev lag luam vaj tse txij li ntu ntawd tau dhau los ua qhov hloov pauv ntau.

Simon Khoom

Simon Property Group yog tus paub zoo tshaj plaws rau nws cov ntaub ntawv ntawm cov khw loj hauv Tebchaws Meskas. Nws yog tus tswv loj tshaj plaws ntawm cov khw thiab tau raug kev txom nyem los ntawm kev poob ntawm ko taw thaum lub sij hawm COVID-19 muaj thoob qhov txhia chaw. Txawm li cas los xij, tib neeg tab tom pib yuav khoom ntawm khw muag khoom ib zaug ntxiv. Dab tsi tsis paub meej txog lub neej yav tom ntej ntawm Simon lub khw muag khoom yog lawv lub peev xwm los sib tw tawm tsam e-commerce chaw xws li Amazon. Txawm li cas los xij, feem ntau ntawm Simon cov khoom yog qhov xav tau, high-end khw malls, ua rau lawv zoo dua los daws qhov kev sib tw.

Prologis

Prologis tsom mus rau kev khiav lag luam loj warehouses thoob plaws lub teb chaws thiab pab txhawb kev xa khoom ntawm cov khoom. Thaum Lub Rau Hli 2022, Prologis tau koom ua ke nrog Duke Realty Corporation hauv kev lag luam tag nrho cov khoom muaj nqis ntawm $ 26 billion. Cov tuam txhab ua ke tam sim no suav nrog 153 lab square feet ntawm kev ua haujlwm hauv pem teb hauv 19 thaj chaw loj thiab muaj 11 lab square feet ntawm kev txhim kho hauv kev kawm. Prologis tab tom nrhiav rau yav tom ntej ntawm intermodal vaj tse los ntawm kev nthuav dav nws hneev taw thiab npaj los ua tus thawj coj hauv kev lag luam warehouse.

Ntsuas Cov Nyiaj Tau Los

Realty Income tau nqis peev hauv thiab tswj cov neeg xauj tsev ib leeg, cov khoom tsis pub dawb nrog cov nqi xauj tsev mus sij hawm ntev. Nws ua haujlwm nrog cov neeg siv khoom lag luam los tuav lub tsev thiab siv lub tswv yim xauj tsev kom ruaj khov rau cov nqi xauj tsev. Lub tuam txhab muaj cov khoom lag luam sib txawv ntawm cov khoom lag luam, suav nrog Napa Valley vineyards, lub khw muag khoom noj thoob ntiaj teb, thiab cov khoom lag luam, thiab rov tsim kho cov khoom lag luam ib leeg los txhim kho lawv cov nqi.

Kev Txhim Kho Tsev Khw Muag Khoom

Cov khw muag khoom txhim kho hauv tsev zoo li tsis ua raws li kev lag luam hauv tsev vim lawv vam khom rau cov neeg uas xav kho lossis txhim kho cov khoom hauv lawv lub tsev. Lawv cov nqi khoom lag luam vam khom cov qauv vaj tsev thiab tus nqi ntawm cov khoom siv raw. Cov tuam txhab txhim kho tsev muab cov khoom uas ib txwm xav tau los ntawm cov tswv tsev thiab cov neeg cog lus ib yam nkaus, tsis hais lub tsev lag luam.

tsev Depot

Lub Tsev Depot muaj ntau yam khoom raws caij nyoog thiab ib xyoos puag ncig ntawm kev ua lag luam ua koj tus kheej thiab cov neeg cog lus. Nws nqa cov nroj tsuag thiab cov khoom siv, cov khoom tu nyom, ntoo, xim, thiab cov cuab yeej, nyob rau hauv qis mus rau nruab nrab-ntau yam zoo. Lawv kuj muab cov khoom lag luam zoo dua, tab sis cov khoom no tsis zoo li cov khoom lag luam qis dua. Cov tswv yim no txhawb kev muag khoom ntau dua ntawm cov khoom, uas thaum kawg ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo.

Lowe's

Lowe's Companies zoo ib yam li Home Depot qhov kev muab thiab muaj tib yam rhiab heev rau lub tsev DIY thiab cov lag luam cog lus. Lowe's thiab Home Depot yog nyob rau hauv kev sib tw ncaj qha nrog ib leeg, thiab muaj qhov sib txawv me ntsis ntawm ob qhov sib nrug ntawm cov khw muag khoom.

Txawm li cas los xij, Lowe's tau tshaj tawm cov nyiaj tau los qis dua qhov kev cia siab, uas ua rau cov khoom lag luam poob qis hauv tus nqi. Txawm li cas los xij, Lowe's tau tsim tau zoo thiab cia siab tias kev muag khoom yuav nyob ruaj khov raws li kev txhim kho hauv tsev txuas ntxiv mus.

xaus

Cov no tsuas yog qee qhov ntawm ntau cov khoom lag luam los saib hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev. Cov neeg lag luam tuaj yeem tau txais kev cuam tshuam rau txhua qhov chaw lag luam, los ntawm cov neeg tsim tsev mus rau cov khw muag khoom thiab txawm tias REITs. Qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws rau koj ua tus neeg ua lag luam yog ua koj cov ntawv ua tom tsev thiab nyob tam sim no nrog qhov tshwm sim hauv kev lag luam. Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau cog lus tias yuav mus tom ntej nrog cov paj laum siab dua los tiv thaiv kev nce nqi, uas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam vaj tsev tam sim no thiab yav tom ntej.

Tib neeg ib txwm xav tau qhov chaw nyob, nco ntsoov xyuas koj cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj kom pom tias koj muaj vaj tse sawv cev. Rau kev paub txog kev nqis peev ntxiv, saib Q.ai - tshwj xeeb hauv AI-tsav cov tswv yim peev txheej nrog kev txawj ntse uas cuam tshuam cov lag luam rau kev nqis peev zoo tshaj plaws rau txhua yam kev pheej hmoo txaus ntshai thiab kev lag luam. Tom qab ntawd, nws bundles lawv nyob rau hauv ke Cov khoom siv nqis peev uas ua rau kev nqis peev yooj yim thiab - twv peb hais nws - lom zem.

Qhov zoo tshaj plaws, koj tuaj yeem qhib Kev Tiv Thaiv Portfolio txhua lub sijhawm los tiv thaiv koj cov txiaj ntsig thiab txo koj cov kev poob, txawm tias koj nqis peev hauv kev lag luam dab tsi.

Download Q.ai hnub no rau kev nkag mus rau AI-powered peev tswv yim. Thaum koj tso nyiaj $100, peb mam li ntxiv $100 ntxiv rau koj tus account.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/qai/2022/09/01/what-stocks-are-directly-impacted-by-a-housing-market-recession/