Kub tshaj li qhov xav tau ntawm Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom-tus nqi ntsuas kev nyeem tau ua rau qee qhov kev lag luam Tshuag lag luam loj tshaj plaws ib hnub muag tawm hauv 2022, ua haujlwm rau cov neeg lag luam tsom mus rau ua ntej ntawm qhov kev ntsuas tshiab ntawm cov khw muag khoom lag luam rau hnub Thursday.
Lub Cuaj Hlis CPI nyeem los ntawm Bureau of Labor Statistics, uas taug qab cov kev hloov pauv ntawm cov nqi them los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom thiab cov kev pabcuam, xav tias yuav nthuav tawm 8.1% nce ntawm ib xyoo dhau los, qeeb los ntawm 8.3% xyoo dhau los. Thaum Lub Yim Hli, raws li kev tshawb fawb ntawm cov kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag los ntawm Dow Jones.
Lub S&P 500
SPX,
poob 24.6% xyoo rau hnub Wednesday, raws li Dow Jones Market Data. Feem ntau ntawm ib hnub uas yog lub luag haujlwm rau kev poob qis tshwm sim ntawm lossis ib puag ncig CPI cov ntaub ntawv lossis Fed cov xwm txheej, hais Nicholas Colas, co-founder ntawm DataTrek Research, nyob rau hauv ib daim ntawv rau hnub Monday. Ob ntawm S&P 500 cuaj hnub loj tshaj plaws hauv lub xyoo no tau los txog hnub thaum CPI cov ntaub ntawv raug tso tawm, nws tau sau tseg.
Yog tsis muaj cuaj hnub poob qis, S&P 500 yuav nce 8.6% xyoo dhau los txog rau lub lim tiam dhau los, Colas tau sau.
Piv txwv li, S&P 500 tau sau nws qhov feem pua txhua hnub loj tshaj plaws txij li Lub Rau Hli 2020 Lub hli tas los ntawm hnub tshaj tawm CPI, thaum lub loj-cap Performance index poob 177.7 ntsiab lus, los yog 4.3%. Thaum Lub Rau Hli 13, S&P swb 3.9% thiab xaus rau hauv kev lag luam dais tom qab daim ntawv qhia txog nyiaj txiag lub Tsib Hlis tuaj kub dua li qhov xav tau, nrog CPI tsoo 40-xyoo siab. Peb hnub tom qab ntawd, qhov ntsuas tau poob 3.3% tom qab qhov ntawd yog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tus nqi nce siab tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 1994.
"Txhua zaus peb pom kev muag khoom loj nws txhais tau tias kev ntseeg siab ntawm cov tub lag luam tau sib tsoo nrog qhov tsis paub tseeb," Colas ceeb toom. “Keeb kwm qhia tau hais tias qhov kev ntsuas raug tsim txom thaum qhov no tshwm sim ntau zaus. Raws li peb pom ntxiv kev lag luam kev lag luam volatility, khaws koj cov kev cia siab rau cov nqi qis. Lawv yuav nyob hauv qab thaum cov xov xwm macro tau txais tos nrog kev sib sau ua ke, tsis yog ib qho uas ploj mus ob peb hnub tom qab. "
Bloomberg qhia tias JPMorgan cov kws tshuaj ntsuam coj los ntawm Andrew Tyler cia siab tias cov khw lag luam yuav poob 5% rau hnub Thursday yog tias qhov ntsuas kev nce nyiaj nce siab tshaj lub Yim Hli 8.3%. Yog tias qhov txiaj ntsig tau ua raws li qhov kev pom zoo, S&P 500 Performance index yuav poob txog 2%. Nyob rau sab ntxeev, pab pawg kwv yees ib qho kev nce nqi qis dua 7.9% yuav ua rau muaj kev sib txig sib luag uas qhov ntsuas yuav dhia tsawg kawg 2%.
Txawm li cas los xij, Aoifinn Devitt, tus thawj coj ua lag luam ntawm Moneta, tau hais tias kev ua lag luam yuav coj tus lej saum toj kawg nkaus thiab hnov mob rau nws.
"Kuv xav tias yuav pom qhov tshwm sim zoo sib xws rau qhov peb tau pom los ntawm hnub Friday txoj haujlwm tshaj tawm, uas yog tus lej zoo uas txhais ua qhov tsis zoo ntawm cov khoom lag luam tawm tsam," Devitt hais rau MarketWatch hauv xov tooj. “Tus nqi Tshuag tau hloov kho. Cov nyiaj khwv tau los tau hloov kho, yog li ntawd twb tau ua qhov kev tswj hwm ntawm qhov kev cia siab (uas) ua rau kuv coj qee qhov no thiab sim ua kom nyob rau sab saum toj rau qee qhov ntawm cov khoom lag luam no, tsuas yog vim muaj xov xwm tsis zoo ntau dhau lawm. ”
Daim ntawv tshaj tawm kev nce nqi lub Cuaj Hlis yuav tsum qhia cov xov xwm CPI txuas ntxiv hloov kho raws li cov nqi roj av thiab cov khoom lag luam poob rau lub Ob Hlis. Tab sis cov kev cia siab yav tom ntej yuav tau hloov pauv tom qab OPEC + tshaj tawm lub lim tiam dhau los nws qhov kev txiav txim siab txiav kev tsim khoom los ntawm 2 lab thoob ib hnub, uas yuav muaj "kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo (ntawm cov ntaub ntawv nce nqi)", raws li Devitt.
Lub caij no, cov nqi vaj tse thiab cov kev pabcuam kho mob, uas tau nyob hauv qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev nce nyiaj txiag thiab cov nplaum, xav tias yuav nce 0.7% nyob rau ib hlis. CPI tseem ceeb yuav tsum tau khiav ntawm ib lub xyoo dhau ib lub xyoo pace ntawm 6.5%, nce los ntawm 6.3% thaum Lub Yim Hli.
"Cov bulls xav tau rau cov cim qhia tias kev nce nqi tau teem rau rov qab mus rau Fed lub hom phiaj - lawv yuav ua yuam kev, thiab thaum lub ntsiab lus nce nqi yuav tsum poob ua tsaug rau qhov poob qis hauv lub zog, Fed lub hom phiaj tau hloov mus rau qhov tseem ceeb CPI," said. Chris Weston, tus thawj coj ntawm kev tshawb fawb ntawm Pepperstone, hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom hnub Tuesday.
"Qhov no yog vim li cas CPI tseem ceeb yuav tsis zoo li yuav luag txhua lub sijhawm sai sai thiab vim li cas Fed tau hais meej tias lawv yuav nce ntxiv thiab tawm ntawm cov nyiaj pub dawb hauv thaj chaw txwv rau lub sijhawm txuas ntxiv," nws sau.
Tus tsim-tus nqi ntsuas, uas ntsuas cov nqi uas Asmeskas cov lag luam them rau cov khoom thiab cov kev pabcuam uas lawv tsim, nce 0.4% rau lub hli, tsoomfwv tau hais rau hnub Wednesday. Nyob rau hauv 12-lub hlis, PPI nce ntawm tus nqi txhua xyoo ntawm 8.5% piv nrog 8.7% thaum Lub Yim Hli.
Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam xaus qhov kev sib tham tsis txaus siab me ntsis rau hnub Wednesday nrog S&P 500 booking XNUMX-hnub poob streak, thaum Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
poob qis dua 0.3% thiab Nasdaq Composite poob qis dua 0.1%.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stock-market-investors-will-be-watching-in-thursdays-inflation-report-11665575590?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo