Russia txoj kev ntxeem tau ntawm Ukraine tuaj yeem cuam tshuam tsis zoo rau yav tom ntej ntawm Turkey txoj haujlwm drone. Tom qab tag nrho, Ankara thiab Kyiv muaj cov phiaj xwm loj los nthuav kev koom tes hauv ob tog los tsim cov drones ua ke.
Qaib ntxhw muag Ukraine tsawg kawg 20 Bayraktar TB2 armed drones nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no. Xyoo 2021, Ukraine tau tshaj tawm tias nws tab tom tsim lub tshuab drone rau kev sib koom ua haujlwm TB2s nrog Qaib Cov Txwv ntawm Ukrainian av. Ukraine kuj tau muab Qaib Cov Txwv nrog lub cav rau nws cov drones yav tom ntej.
MYKOLAIV, UKRAINE - Lub Rau Hli 30, 2021 - Cov neeg ua haujlwm hauv Ukrainian thawb lub Bayraktar TB2 UCAV ntawm Kulbakyne … [+]
Barcroft Media ntawm Getty cov duab
Tom qab ntawd tuaj Russia lub Ob Hlis 24 ntxeem tau ntawm Ukraine.
Qhov kawg ntawm Qaib Cov Txwv-Ukraine tub rog-kev koom tes?
"Russia tab tom nrhiav los hloov (Ukrainian Thawj Tswj Hwm Volodymyr) Zelenskyy tsoom fwv uas Qaib ntxhw tau ua tag nrho cov caj npab ua lag luam nrog thiab hloov nws nrog ib tug Lavxias teb sab neeg siv tsoom fwv," Nicholas Heras, Tus Lwm Thawj Coj ntawm Human Security Unit ntawm Newlines Institute for Strategy thiab Policy , hais rau kuv.
"Nws zoo li tias US thiab European kev rau txim yuav ua rau nws nyuaj rau Qaib Cov Txwv ua lag luam nrog tom qab tsov rog, Lavxias teb sab-rov qab tsoom fwv hauv Ukraine, tag nrho nres."
Aaron Stein, Tus Thawj Coj ntawm Kev Tshawb Fawb ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Txoj Cai Txawv Tebchaws (FPRI), tau hais tias thaum txhua yam tam sim no tsis paub meej, nws xav tias yog Zelenskyy yog tus tshaj plaws "kev coj noj coj ua ntawm Lavxias yuav tsis zoo li qub rau Ankara - NATO tus tswv cuab. - thiab tias yuav muaj kev txaus siab tsawg dua los muag cov khoom siv rau Turkey. "
Stein tau sau tseg tias Ankara tau tig mus rau Ukraine rau thawj lub tshuab rau nws tus tshiab Bayraktar Akinci drone, tus naas ej TB2 tus successor, thiab T929 helicopter nws tab tom tsim.
"Turkey yuav tsum nrhiav lwm tus neeg muab khoom," nws hais rau kuv. "Tshaj qhov no, muaj cov lus ceeb toom tias Qaib Cov Txwv tuaj yeem ua haujlwm nrog Ukrainian turbofan cov neeg tsim khoom rau cov cav rau TF-X thiab MIUS cov haujlwm."
(Lub TAI TF-X yog Qaib Cov Txwv lub thib tsib tiam stealth fighter project thiab lub Bayraktar MIUS, uas stands rau Combat Unmanned Aircraft System, yog ib tug npaj dav hlau-powered drone.)
"Ib zaug ntxiv, peb tsis paub, tab sis kuv qhov kev xav hauv paus yog tias ob qhov kev siv zog no tseem yuav nce mus rau hauv cov pa luam yeeb," Stein hais. "Qaib ntxhw tuaj yeem tig mus rau lwm qhov, tej zaum rau Rolls Royce lossis Asmeskas cov tuam txhab, tab sis qhov ntawd yog kev xaiv neeg hauv Ankara yuav tsum ua."
James Rogers, Tus Pabcuam Xib Fwb hauv Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Ua Tsov Rog ntawm SDU hauv Denmark, kwv yees tias kev puas tsuaj Lavxias lossis kev tswj hwm kev lag luam tiv thaiv Ukrainian yuav cuam tshuam rau Turkey kev tsim cov drone hauv "ob txoj hauv kev."
Nws hais rau kuv tias "Ua ntej, nws yuav ua rau qeeb kev tsim tawm ntawm Turkish Akinci drones (uas yog siv los ntawm Ukrainian-ua Ivchenko-Progress AI-450 turboprop engines), "nws hais rau kuv. "Qhov thib ob, nws yuav qeeb txoj kev loj hlob ntawm cov qib siab Turkish Bayraktar MIUS (uas tau tsim los ntawm Ukrainian Ivchenko-Progress AI-322F Turbofan engine).
CORLU, TURKEY- Lub Peb Hlis 2: AB qauv ntawm Bayraktar AKINCI TİHA (Assault Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) ntawm … [+]
dia duab ntawm Getty Images
"Qhov no yuav cuam tshuam rau Qaib Cov Txwv txoj kev npaj xa tawm drone thiab ua rau kev txhawb nqa ntawm nws tus kheej arsenal."
Rogers kuj tau taw qhia tias yav tom ntej ntawm TF-X qhov kev pab cuam feem ntau tsis paub meej thiab koom nrog "ntau ntawm kev txav mus los, nrog rau Asmeskas, Russia, thiab Ukraine txhua tus hais tias yuav koom nrog hauv kev tsim khoom."
Nws tau hais tias "Yog li ntawd, tuaj yeem muaj kev tsis ntseeg me ntsis tias qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb tam sim no hauv Ukraine yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev ua tiav ntawm txoj haujlwm," nws hais.
Samuel Bendett, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas nrog Lub Chaw rau Naval Analyses 'Intentional Affairs Group, qhov uas nws yog tus tswv cuab ntawm Russia Studies Program, kuj tau kwv yees tias yav tom ntej Turkey-Ukrainian tub rog-kev koom tes hauv kev sib koom tes "yuav txiav txim siab los ntawm qhov tshwm sim ntawm qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb no. thiab lub xeev ntawm Ukraine tsoomfwv txoj kev txiav txim siab ywj pheej nrog kev hwm rau nws cov neeg koom tes thoob ntiaj teb tom qab xaus kev sib ntaus sib tua. "
Yog tias Russia ua tiav nws lub hom phiaj thiab ua tiav yuam Ukraine kom ua raws li nws txoj cai txawv teb chaws xav tau, "ces kev koom tes tub rog nrog Turkey yuav tawm ntawm lub rooj ua ib qho ntawm cov xwm txheej rau ntau tus neeg nyiam Lavxias."
"Yog hais tias, ntawm qhov tod tes, Ukraine tuav lub peev xwm los txiav txim siab nws tus kheej tom qab qhov kawg ntawm kev ua tsov rog no, nws yuav muaj peev xwm tuav tau nws txoj kev sib raug zoo nrog Turkey," Bendett hais rau kuv. "Txawm li cas los xij, Russia tuaj yeem sim yuam kom txwv txoj kev txhim kho thiab nrhiav tau ntawm kev sib ntaus sib tua ntev ntev los ntawm Ukraine raws li tus nqi rau kev thaj yeeb, zoo ib yam li qhov muaj peev xwm txwv kev txhim kho thiab siv cov cuaj luaj ntev los ntawm Ukraine, piv txwv li Russia ua tiav. nws cov tub rog tau txais txiaj ntsig thiab tsoomfwv Ukrainian tam sim no tseem muaj hwj chim. "
Txawm li cas los xij, yog tias Russia ua tiav yuam Zelenskyy los ntawm lub hwj chim thiab hloov nws nrog ib tus thawj coj ntawm Lavxias teb sab, "ces tag nrho Ukrainian tub rog txoj haujlwm yuav raug tshuaj xyuas thiab teeb tsa qhov tseem ceeb tshiab."
"Nws yog kuv txoj kev nkag siab tias Qaib Cov Txwv xav tau lub cav rau Akinci, thiab yog li yog tias cov xwm txheej saum toj no tau siv, nws yuav xav tau tsim cov cav no hauv tsev lossis sim nrhiav lawv nyob rau lwm qhov," Bendett hais.
ISTANBUL, TURKEY - Lub Cuaj Hli 25: Akinci, lub tsheb tsis muaj neeg tsav tsheb tsim los ntawm Baykar thiab F-16 ua haujlwm … [+]
Lub Koom Haum Anadolu ntawm Getty Dluab
"Thaum kawg, kev poob ntawm Ukraine raws li kev ua tub rog-kev koom tes yuav tsis muaj qhov cuam tshuam ntau rau Turkey xav tias lwm txoj hauv kev nrhiav tau cov thev naus laus zis tau pom."
TB2 puas tuaj yeem hloov pauv kev ua si rau Ukraine?
2020 yog lub xyoo tseem ceeb rau Qaib Cov Txwv Bayraktar TB2 drone. Nws lub ntsiab lus rub kev ua haujlwm siv hla kev sib ntaus sib tua ntawm Syria, Libya, thiab Nagorno-Karabakh tau nyiam ntau tus neeg xa tawm los ntawm Africa, Central Asia, thiab Europe.
Ukraine muaj tsawg kawg yog 20 TB2s thaum pib ua tsov rog no tom qab thawj zaug xaj lub drone hauv 2019.
Heras tau hais tias "Nyob rau hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua, qhov kev sib raug zoo los saib xyuas yog qhov ntau npaum li cas Ukraine siv TB2s tawm tsam Lavxias teb sab tub rog, thiab yog tias muaj, cov drones tau zoo npaum li cas tawm tsam cov tub rog Lavxias teb sab," Heras hais. "Ukraine yuav yog qhov kev sim nyuaj tshaj plaws rau Qaib Cov Txwv feem ntau hyped tiv thaiv xa tawm."
Txawm li cas los xij, Baker thiab Bendett tsis ntseeg tias Ukrainian TB2s tuaj yeem ua lub luag haujlwm zoo sib xws hauv qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb tam sim no rau tus uas ua si los ntawm Azerbaijan's TB2s hauv 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh tsov rog.
Rogers tau hais tias "Kev kub ntxhov hauv Ukraine tsis zoo ib yam li kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Nagorno-Karabakh," Rogers tau hais. "Russia muaj ntau qhov kev paub dhau los ntawm kev tiv thaiv huab cua (los ntawm nws kev tawm tsam ISIS drones hauv Syria) thiab muaj peev xwm ua kom tsis zoo rau cov lus txib thiab kev tswj hwm ntawm kev tawm tsam drones."
Nws yog, yog li ntawd, tsis xav tsis thoob tias cov drones "tsis muaj tib theem ntawm kev vam meej lawv tau ua hauv Caucasus."
"Nws yog qhov tseeb uas feem ntau tuav tau tias thaum ntsib nrog cov tub rog hauv xeev siab heev, txawm tias qib siab tshaj plaws ntawm cov tshuab drone tam sim no - tsis yog TB2s - yuav pom tias nws nyuaj rau kev ua haujlwm zoo," Rogers tau hais.
Bendett kuj tau taw qhia tias cov tub rog Lavxias yav dhau los tau hais tias TB2 tsis ua rau muaj kev hem thawj ntau rau nws cov tub rog tau muab lawv "kev ceeb toom ntxov ntxov, kev ua tsov rog hluav taws xob thiab kev tiv thaiv huab cua - cov thev naus laus zis uas tsis tshua muaj nyob rau hauv qhov ntsuas no. 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh tsov rog. "
MYKOLAIV, UKRAINE - Lub Rau Hli 30, 2021 - Cov tub rog thawb Bayraktar TB2 UCAV ntawm Kulbakyne aerodrome … [+]
Kev Tshaj Tawm Tom Ntej ntawm Getty Dluab
Yog tias feem ntau lossis txawm tias tag nrho ntawm Ukraine's TB2s thaum kawg raug rhuav tshem hauv kev ua tsov rog no, qhov ntawd yuav tsis cuam tshuam rau Turkey lub peev xwm los ua lag luam thiab xa tawm lawv.
"Kuv tsis xav tias TB2 kev muag khoom yuav raug cuam tshuam yog tias lawv poob hauv Ukraine - tom qab tag nrho, TB2s kuj tau ploj hauv Libya, Syria, thiab Nagorno-Karabakh rau cov qub Soviet-ua huab cua tiv thaiv systems," Bendett hais. "Lub TB2 tau pom los ntawm ntau lub tebchaws yog qhov kev sib tham zoo, thiab txog thaum tus neeg sib tw zoo nkag mus rau hauv kev ua lag luam, nws yuav txaus siab rau kev muag khoom zoo."
Nws xaus lus los ntawm taw qhia tias Russia txoj kev tiv thaiv kev lag luam yog ua lag luam nws Orion drone ua tus neeg sib tw rau TB2, khav tias nws tuaj yeem ya sai thiab siab dua nws cov neeg sib tw Turkish.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/pauliddon/2022/03/12/what-russias-invasion-of-ukraine-could-mean-for-turkeys-drone-program/