Ib qho "blowout hauj lwm qhia” thawb tus nqi poob haujlwm mus rau 53-xyoo qis ntawm 3.4% nyob rau lub Ib Hlis, thiab txawm hais tias muaj kev nce nqi ntxiv, cov neeg siv khoom tseem txhawb kev lag luam nrog kev muaj zog. kev siv. Nquag, qhov ntawd yuav yog xov xwm zoo, tab sis St. Louis Federal Reserve Thawj Tswj Hwm James Bullard tau hais rau hnub Wednesday tias nws txhais tau tias kev tawm tsam kev nce nqi yog nyob deb dhau lawm.
Fed cov tub ceev xwm tau nce cov paj laum yim zaug hauv lub xyoo dhau los hauv kev cia siab ntawm kev ua kom txias ntawm kev lag luam thiab taming liab-kub nyiaj txiag, thiab lawv tau tswj kom qeeb tus nqi ntawm cov neeg siv khoom nce xyoo dhau los ntawm 40-xyoo siab ntawm 9.1% hauv Lub Rau Hli mus txog 6.4% lub hli tas los. Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell txawm hais txog lo lus "disinflation" 13 zaug hauv nws lub Ob Hlis thaum ntxov nias sablaj, ua rau muaj kev cia siab ntau dua li nws tau ua hauv 2022.
Tab sis Bullard tau ceeb toom rau hnub Wednesday tias qhov kev ua lag luam tshiab kawg thiab cov ntaub ntawv muag khoom muag qhia tau tias "Kev lag luam hauv Asmeskas muaj zog dua li peb tau xav yav dhau los," uas tuaj yeem ua rau "txoj kev nyuaj dua ua ntej rau kev txo qis hauv 2023."
"Cia peb cia siab tias peb tau txais kev txo qis hauv 2023, tab sis tam sim no nws [cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag] tuaj kub dua li peb xav," nws hais. CNBC Hnub Wednesday, sib cav Fed's benchmark paj paj yuav tsum tsiv mus rau "sab qaum teb" ntawm 5%.
Thaum Bullard tau hais txog kev ntseeg siab hauv Fed lub peev xwm thaum kawg kov yeej kev nce nqi, nws kuj tau sib cav tias cov neeg ua haujlwm yuav tsum nce tus nqi aggressively tam sim no, lossis Asmeskas kev lag luam tuaj yeem pom qhov rov ua dua ntawm xyoo 1970 - thaum lub xyoo dhau los ntawm kev nce nqi nce siab txog 12%, rhuav tshem cov neeg Asmeskas lub zog yuav khoom.
"Peb qhov kev pheej hmoo tam sim no yog kev nce nqi tsis nqis thiab rov ua kom nrawm dua, thiab tom qab ntawd koj ua dab tsi? Peb yuav tsum tau teb, "nws hais. "Yog tias kev nce nqi tsis pib nqis, koj pheej hmoo rov ua dua xyoo 1970 ... thiab koj tsis xav nkag mus rau qhov ntawd. Cia peb ntse tam sim no, cia peb tau txais kev nce nqi tswj hwm hauv 2023. "
Lwm tus tswvcuab ntawm Fed kuj tau ceeb toom tawm tsam tsis txaus ntseeg hauv kev tawm tsam kev nce nqi. Cleveland Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Thawj Tswj Hwm Loretta Mester tau hais lub lim tiam dhau los ntawm lub rooj sib tham hauv Sarasota tias nws pom "qhov teeb meem kev lag luam nyuaj" rau kev nce paj sai dua.
"Nws tsis yog ib txwm mus, koj paub, 25 [cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb]," nws hais rau pawg neeg sau xov xwm, Phab ntsa Street Journal qhia. "Raws li peb tau pom, thaum kev lag luam hu rau nws, peb tuaj yeem txav nrawm dua. Thiab peb tuaj yeem ua qhov loj dua [tus nqi nce mus] ntawm ib lub rooj sib tham tshwj xeeb. "
Tom qab lub lim tiam ntawd, Mester ntxiv ntawm lub rooj sib tham thoob ntiaj teb Interdependence Center tias, zoo li Bullard, nws ntseeg tias Fed cov tub ceev xwm yuav tsum tau nce tus nqi paj laum siab tshaj 5% thiab "tuav nws nyob ntawd rau qee lub sijhawm" kom ntseeg tau tias kev lag luam poob qis, Reuters qhia.
Nws tsis yog tsuas yog Fed cov tub ceev xwm uas txhawj xeeb txog txoj hlua tsis ntev los no ntawm cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag muaj zog uas ua rau muaj kev nce nqi ntxiv; ntau economists thiab cov kws pab tswv yim peev muaj qhia kev txhawj xeeb hais txog qhov xav tsis thoob txog kev ua lag luam ua haujlwm thiab qhov muag, sib cav hais tias lawv yuav ua rau qeeb tus txheej txheem ntawm disinflation. Tab sis Richmond Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Thawj Tswj Hwm Thomas Barkin-uas, tsis zoo li Mester thiab Bullard, yog ib tug tswv cuab ntawm Fed cov paj laum-tus nqi-tsim pawg neeg xyoo no-tsis muaj kev txhawj xeeb.
"Kuv tsis noj ntau npaum li lub teeb liab los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv uas peb tau txais tsis ntev los no," Barkin qhia reporters Hnub Friday, sib cav tias nws yuav xav pom "ntau lub hlis" ntawm cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag tsis tu ncua los hloov nws lub siab txog qhov twg cov paj laum yuav tsum mus.
Barkin tsis ntseeg hauv kev nce nyiaj paj sai sai thiab tom qab ntawd nres zoo li Bullard.
"Kuv nyiam txoj hauv kev [lub quarter-point] vim kuv ntseeg tias nws ua rau peb yooj yim los teb rau kev lag luam thaum nws los txog," nws hais ntxiv tias nws tseem "nyem" cov nqi taug kev ntau dua los ntawm no yog tias tsim nyog.
Zaj dab neeg no yog thaum chiv keeb los Fortune.com
Ntau los ntawm Fortune:
5 sab hustles qhov twg koj tuaj yeem khwv tau tshaj $ 20,000 toj ib xyoo - tag nrho thaum ua haujlwm hauv tsev
Millennials 'tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm cov nuj nqis: Yuav ua li cas lub teb chaws cov neeg ua haujlwm loj tshaj plaws sib tw tawm tsam lwm tus
Nrhiav nyiaj ntxiv? Xav txog ib daim tshev nyiaj ntxiv
Qhov no yog nyiaj npaum li cas koj yuav tsum tau khwv tau txhua xyoo kom yooj yim yuav tsev $600,000
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/danger-falling-1970s-style-inflation-175207618.html