Kev lag luam dais rau Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam yuav tau xaus rau ntawm nws qhov nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli qis. Los yog nws tsuas yog ib nrab xwb. Thiab, yog tias lub lag luam dais thib ob yog tseem ua ntej ntawm peb, qhov kev poob loj tshaj plaws yuav los yog tseem tsis tau los. Koj tuaj yeem coj kuv lo lus rau nws.
Yog vim li cas los taw qhia qhov tseeb tsis tseem ceeb no yog los tawm tsam qhov kev sim tsis kawg ntawm Wall Street kom hlais thiab txiav cov ntaub ntawv ua lag luam. Feem ntau ntawm cov kev sim no me ntsis ntau dua li cov ntaub ntawv xav tias cov ntaub ntawv mining, qhia ntau ntxiv txog tus kws tshuaj ntsuam ua qhov mining tshaj li ntawm kev ua lag luam nws tus kheej.
Ib tug xov tooj ntawm cov posts tsis ntev los no nyob rau hauv social media tau sib cav hais tias qhov phem tshaj ntawm dais lag luam tseem tsis tau los. Qhov cuam tshuam yog tias dais kev lag luam poob zoo li "rov qab-kawg loaded," nrog dais lag luam xaus nrog crescendo es tsis yog whimper.
Muaj ob qhov tsis zoo nrog txoj kab kev xav no. Ua ntej, qhov nruab nrab ntawm qhov nws yog raws yog xam los ntawm tus qauv me me, txij li (ua tsaug) tsis tau muaj ntau lub lag luam dais hauv Asmeskas keeb kwm. Yog li txhua qhov kev txiav txim siab yuav tsum nyob twj ywm ntawm qhov zoo tshaj plaws.
Xav txog 11 dais lag luam txij li xyoo 1980 hauv daim ntawv qhia hnub dais-kev lag luam tswj los ntawm Ned Davis Research. Hauv plaub ntawm lawv, Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.05%
poob ntau dua nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab tshaj qhov thib ob. Yog li thaum nws muaj tseeb tias qhov nruab nrab dais lag luam muaj nws qhov poob "rov qab-kawg loaded," nws yog qhov tsis tshua muaj txiaj ntsig thawj koom ruam uas qhov no yuav muaj tseeb ntxiv rau yav tom ntej.
Qhov thib ob, qhov tsis txaus ntseeg ntau dua hauv txoj kab ntawm kev xav no yog tias nws yog raws li qhov tsis tau hais tab sis txawm li cas los xij tseem ceeb tshaj plaws - tias kev lag luam dais tam sim no tseem nyob hauv nws lub sijhawm thaum ntxov. Tab sis qhov kev xav ntawd yog qhov tseeb uas peb tsis paub.
Nws yog qhov tseeb tias, thaum lub sij hawm yuav luag rau lub hlis poob los ntawm kev ua lag luam lub Ib Hlis siab mus rau nws nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli qis, Dow poob ntau dua nyob rau ib nrab thib ob dua li thawj zaug. Tseem tsis tau qhia peb tsis muaj dab tsi txog seb lub lag luam dais dhau los lossis tseem muaj txoj hauv kev ntev mus.
Kaw rau qhov kawg
Muaj ib qho ntawm cov kab kev xav no uas kuv pom tias tseem ceeb dua: Nws yog qhov qhia txog kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb hauv cov suab ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam. Nyob rau hauv sib piv rau yav dhau los kev soj ntsuam uas tseem ceeb heev sim muab ib tug optimistic spin ntawm kev ua lag luam poob, lub suab nrov yog ntau pessimistic. Tsis yog qhov xaus tias qhov phem tshaj yog tom qab peb, tam sim no peb tau hais tias qhov phem tshaj yog ua ntej peb.
Qhov kev hloov pauv no qhia peb ntxiv nrog rau tsib theem ntawm kev ua lag luam kev tu siab uas kuv tau tham hauv kab tsis ntev los no. Tsis ntev los no thaum Lub Xya Hli lig, kuv tau txiav txim siab Wall Street lub siab xav nyob rau hauv peb ntawm tsib theem - kev sib tham - nrog kev nyuaj siab (theem 4) thiab kev lees txais (theem 5) tseem tuaj txog. Qhov kev xav tsis zoo uas tab tom pib los tswj hwm kev tshaj xov xwm yog ib qho ntawm theem 4 kev tu siab - uas, los ntawm qhov tsis sib xws, txhais tau hais tias peb nyob ze rau lub lag luam dais kawg.
Peb tseem tsis tau muaj, yog li nws yuav ntxov ntxov ua kev zoo siab rau qhov kev xav phem kawg no. Kev ua lag luam tseem yuav tsum tau ntsib qhov kev nyuaj siab uas tshwm sim no thiab tom qab ntawd mus rau theem kev lees paub. Rau cov no thiab lwm yam laj thawj, kuv qhov kev xav yog tias peb nyob hauv kev lag luam dais thiab lub Rau Hli lows yuav tawg.
Mark Hulbert yog cov uas tau ua haujlwm rau MarketWatch li niaj zaus. Nws Hulbert Ratings taug qab cov ntawv xov xwm kev nqis peev uas them tus nqi them tus nqi yuav raug kuaj. Nws hu tau rau ntawm [email tiv thaiv]
ntxiv: Yog vim li cas S&P 500's 'thaws nyob rau hauv lub lag luam dais' tuaj yeem fizzle ua ntej nws hits 4,200
ALos nyeem: Txhua yam koj xav tau tam sim no txog cov khoom lag luam yog ib txwm ua lag luam kev tu siab - thiab qhov phem tshaj tseem tsis tau los
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/were-in-a-bear-market-rally-and-you-can-expect-the-june-2022-lows-to-be-broken-11660039676? siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo
Peb nyob hauv kev sib tw dais-kev ua lag luam thiab koj tuaj yeem cia siab tias lub Rau Hli 2022 qhov qis yuav tawg
Kev lag luam dais rau Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam yuav tau xaus rau ntawm nws qhov nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli qis. Los yog nws tsuas yog ib nrab xwb. Thiab, yog tias lub lag luam dais thib ob yog tseem ua ntej ntawm peb, qhov kev poob loj tshaj plaws yuav los yog tseem tsis tau los. Koj tuaj yeem coj kuv lo lus rau nws.
Yog vim li cas los taw qhia qhov tseeb tsis tseem ceeb no yog los tawm tsam qhov kev sim tsis kawg ntawm Wall Street kom hlais thiab txiav cov ntaub ntawv ua lag luam. Feem ntau ntawm cov kev sim no me ntsis ntau dua li cov ntaub ntawv xav tias cov ntaub ntawv mining, qhia ntau ntxiv txog tus kws tshuaj ntsuam ua qhov mining tshaj li ntawm kev ua lag luam nws tus kheej.
Ib tug xov tooj ntawm cov posts tsis ntev los no nyob rau hauv social media tau sib cav hais tias qhov phem tshaj ntawm dais lag luam tseem tsis tau los. Qhov cuam tshuam yog tias dais kev lag luam poob zoo li "rov qab-kawg loaded," nrog dais lag luam xaus nrog crescendo es tsis yog whimper.
Muaj ob qhov tsis zoo nrog txoj kab kev xav no. Ua ntej, qhov nruab nrab ntawm qhov nws yog raws yog xam los ntawm tus qauv me me, txij li (ua tsaug) tsis tau muaj ntau lub lag luam dais hauv Asmeskas keeb kwm. Yog li txhua qhov kev txiav txim siab yuav tsum nyob twj ywm ntawm qhov zoo tshaj plaws.
Xav txog 11 dais lag luam txij li xyoo 1980 hauv daim ntawv qhia hnub dais-kev lag luam tswj los ntawm Ned Davis Research. Hauv plaub ntawm lawv, Dow Jones Industrial Average
-0.05%
DJIA,
poob ntau dua nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab tshaj qhov thib ob. Yog li thaum nws muaj tseeb tias qhov nruab nrab dais lag luam muaj nws qhov poob "rov qab-kawg loaded," nws yog qhov tsis tshua muaj txiaj ntsig thawj koom ruam uas qhov no yuav muaj tseeb ntxiv rau yav tom ntej.
Qhov thib ob, qhov tsis txaus ntseeg ntau dua hauv txoj kab ntawm kev xav no yog tias nws yog raws li qhov tsis tau hais tab sis txawm li cas los xij tseem ceeb tshaj plaws - tias kev lag luam dais tam sim no tseem nyob hauv nws lub sijhawm thaum ntxov. Tab sis qhov kev xav ntawd yog qhov tseeb uas peb tsis paub.
Nws yog qhov tseeb tias, thaum lub sij hawm yuav luag rau lub hlis poob los ntawm kev ua lag luam lub Ib Hlis siab mus rau nws nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli qis, Dow poob ntau dua nyob rau ib nrab thib ob dua li thawj zaug. Tseem tsis tau qhia peb tsis muaj dab tsi txog seb lub lag luam dais dhau los lossis tseem muaj txoj hauv kev ntev mus.
Kaw rau qhov kawg
Muaj ib qho ntawm cov kab kev xav no uas kuv pom tias tseem ceeb dua: Nws yog qhov qhia txog kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb hauv cov suab ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam. Nyob rau hauv sib piv rau yav dhau los kev soj ntsuam uas tseem ceeb heev sim muab ib tug optimistic spin ntawm kev ua lag luam poob, lub suab nrov yog ntau pessimistic. Tsis yog qhov xaus tias qhov phem tshaj yog tom qab peb, tam sim no peb tau hais tias qhov phem tshaj yog ua ntej peb.
Qhov kev hloov pauv no qhia peb ntxiv nrog rau tsib theem ntawm kev ua lag luam kev tu siab uas kuv tau tham hauv kab tsis ntev los no. Tsis ntev los no thaum Lub Xya Hli lig, kuv tau txiav txim siab Wall Street lub siab xav nyob rau hauv peb ntawm tsib theem - kev sib tham - nrog kev nyuaj siab (theem 4) thiab kev lees txais (theem 5) tseem tuaj txog. Qhov kev xav tsis zoo uas tab tom pib los tswj hwm kev tshaj xov xwm yog ib qho ntawm theem 4 kev tu siab - uas, los ntawm qhov tsis sib xws, txhais tau hais tias peb nyob ze rau lub lag luam dais kawg.
Peb tseem tsis tau muaj, yog li nws yuav ntxov ntxov ua kev zoo siab rau qhov kev xav phem kawg no. Kev ua lag luam tseem yuav tsum tau ntsib qhov kev nyuaj siab uas tshwm sim no thiab tom qab ntawd mus rau theem kev lees paub. Rau cov no thiab lwm yam laj thawj, kuv qhov kev xav yog tias peb nyob hauv kev lag luam dais thiab lub Rau Hli lows yuav tawg.
Mark Hulbert yog cov uas tau ua haujlwm rau MarketWatch li niaj zaus. Nws Hulbert Ratings taug qab cov ntawv xov xwm kev nqis peev uas them tus nqi them tus nqi yuav raug kuaj. Nws hu tau rau ntawm [email tiv thaiv]
ntxiv: Yog vim li cas S&P 500's 'thaws nyob rau hauv lub lag luam dais' tuaj yeem fizzle ua ntej nws hits 4,200
ALos nyeem: Txhua yam koj xav tau tam sim no txog cov khoom lag luam yog ib txwm ua lag luam kev tu siab - thiab qhov phem tshaj tseem tsis tau los
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/were-in-a-bear-market-rally-and-you-can-expect-the-june-2022-lows-to-be-broken-11660039676? siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo