'Cov txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm steroids': Ntawm no yog qhov muaj peev xwm poob los ntawm $ 22 trillion poob los ntawm cov tub ua lag luam xyoo no, raws li BofA

Bank of America hais tias "muaj txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm cov tshuaj steroids" tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau Asmeskas kev lag luam vim qhov poob ntawm cov nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam thiab cov ntawv cog lus thiab lwm yam khoom muaj nqis txog trillions ntawm 2022.

"Lub $ 22 trillion poob rau hauv vaj huam sib luag, daim ntawv cog lus, cryptocurrencies thiab vaj tse xyoo no yuav sawv cev txog $ 700 billion ntaus rau kev noj, uas yog kwv yees li 4% ntawm tag nrho cov kev siv tam sim no, ntxiv lossis rho tawm," hais tias ib pab pawg kws tshaj lij coj los ntawm Savita Subramanian , lub tsev txhab nyiaj lub taub hau ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev ncaj ncees & ntau lub tswv yim, hauv ib tsab ntawv rau cov neeg siv khoom hnub Monday.


Bank of America

Subramanian tau siv kev suav los ntawm National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), uas tau pom tias ib duas ntawm kev nplua nuj raug rhuav tshem txhais mus rau hauv ib lub ballpark 2% mus rau 4% ntaus ntawm kev noj.

cov NBER txhais lub npe hu ua kev nplua nuj raws li lub tswv yim hais tias cov tsev neeg tau txais kev nplua nuj dua vim tias cov khoom muaj nqis nce ntxiv, xws li cov khoom lag luam lossis vaj tsev yuav siv nyiaj ntau dua thiab ua rau muaj kev lag luam dav dav. Cov txiaj ntsig kev nplua nuj no tseem tuaj yeem ua rau lub sijhawm nyuaj.

Nyeem: Cov tub ua lag luam Tshuag lag luam yuav tsum 'tsom mus rau marathon, tsis yog kev sib tw,' hais tias Bank of America, tso ib qho S&P 500 ntawm 6,000 los ntawm 2032

Los ntawm 16% rau xyoo no, S&P 500
SPX,
-0.16%

yog lub taub hau rau nws qhov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws txij li qhov siab ntawm Great Financial Crisis hauv 2008. Thiab cov nqi vaj tsev tau raug nyob rau hauv siab xyoo no nyob rau hauv ntau dua US cov paj laum thiab kev ntshai ntawm kev poob nyiaj txiag.

Subramanian thiab pab pawg tau hais tias daim duab $ 700 billion tuaj yeem hais txog qhov cuam tshuam "vim tias Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom tuav ib feem ntawm cov cuab yeej no." Tab sis cov txiaj ntsig kev nplua nuj tuaj yeem hais tau ntau dua vim "kev ua lag luam muaj kev ywj pheej ntau dua," nws hais.

Kev ywj pheej kev nqis peev ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm xyoo 2000s, vim muaj kev nthuav dav hauv tsev. Tom qab $ 8 trillion poob hauv tsev neeg cov nuj nqis vim yog kev sib tsoo xyoo 2008 tau cuam tshuam ntau npaum li 1 feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov ntsiab lus ntawm peb lub hlis twg ntawm kev hloov kho raws caij nyoog ntawm lub ncov.

Raws li kev nyab xeeb tam sim no, lawv pom cov cim ntawm kev ywj pheej kev nqis peev los ntawm kev lag luam muag khoom lag luam uas thaum lub sij hawm poob los ntawm lig 2020 / 2021 thaum ntxov 20 siab tom qab qhov kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag siab tshaj plaws, tseem siab dua ua ntej-COVID. Lawv kwv yees nws muaj nyob ib ncig ntawm 28% ntawm cov peev nyiaj loj thiab XNUMX% ntawm cov khoom lag luam me me.


Rooj zuam

Ntau cov pov thawj: cov neeg siv ntawm kev lag luam platform Robinhood
KHOOM NOJ,
-0.11%

kuj tseem nyob saum cov qib ua ntej-COVID, txawm tias nqis los ntawm qhov siab tshaj. Thiab qhov txiaj ntsig tau nce ntxiv hauv 2021, nrog ib ncig ntawm 60% ntawm qhov ntawd los ntawm lub hom phiaj tshwj xeeb tau txais tsheb (SPACs).

Subramanian kuj tau sau tseg rau lub Rau Hli kev tshawb fawb los ntawm BofA tus kws tshaj lij cryptocurrency uas pom 43% ntawm cov neeg ua haujlwm tau npaj los pib crypto kev tuav pov hwm rau lub hlis tom ntej, thiab 75% tau npaj yuav ntxiv rau rau lub hlis tom ntej.

Tau kawg, qhov kev tshawb fawb no tuaj ua ntej kev lag luam ntawm crypto pauv FTX thiab Tsis ntev los no BlockFi. Kev ntxhov siab hauv chav kawm khoom vaj khoom tsev tau khaws bitcoin
BTCUSD,
+ 0.05%

ntawm lows tsis pom txij thaum lig 2020.

Tswvyim: Raws li kev poob nyiaj crypto thiab kev pauv pauv tsis ua haujlwm, ntawm no yog li cas cov kws paub txog se tau hais kom ua qhov zoo tshaj plaws ntawm nws

Thiab: Crypto qiv BlockFi tab tom foob Sam Bankman-Fried tshaj nws cov khoom hauv Robinhood: ceeb toom

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wealth-effect-on-steroids-heres-the-potential-fallout-from-22-trillion-lost-by-investors-this-year-according-to- bofa-11669737450?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo