'Peb tab tom muaj teeb meem loj': Tus neeg ua lag luam Billionaire Druckenmiller ntseeg tias Fed qhov kev txwv nyiaj txiag yuav ua rau kev lag luam poob qis hauv 2023

Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller pom "kev tsaws nyuaj" rau Asmeskas kev lag luam thaum kawg ntawm 2023 raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve qhov kev nruj kev lag luam yuav ua rau muaj kev lag luam poob qis. 

"Kuv yuav xav tsis thoob yog tias peb tsis muaj kev poob qis hauv '23. Kuv tsis paub lub sijhawm tab sis muaj tseeb thaum kawg ntawm '23. Kuv yuav tsis xav tsis thoob yog tias nws tsis loj dua li qhov hu ua qhov nruab nrab vaj ntau yam, "Druckenmiller tau hais ntawm CNBC's Delivering Alpha Investor Summit hnub Wednesday. "Kuv tsis txiav txim siab ib yam dab tsi phem heev."

Druckenmiller, ib qho ntawm Wall Street lub siab nyiam tshaj plaws, tau qhia txog kev txhawj xeeb txog qhov xwm txheej ntawm cov nyiaj tau los hauv kev lag luam nyiaj txiag tom qab Fed qhov kev txo qis thaum muaj tus kab mob kis thoob qhov txhia chaw thiab nws txoj cai ze-zero paj laum nyob rau hauv kaum xyoo dhau los tau tsim cov khoom muaj nqis npuas. 

Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tuav lub hom phiaj ntawm cov nyiaj tau los ntawm qhov ntau ntawm 0% mus rau 0.25% ntawm xyoo 2008 thiab 2015, vim nws tawm tsam cov teeb meem nyiaj txiag thiab nws cov txiaj ntsig tom qab. Fed kuj tau txiav cov nqi mus ze rau xoom dua nyob rau lub Peb Hlis 2020 hauv kev teb rau COVID-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw. Tsis tas li ntawd, ib xyoo caum-ntev lub sij hawm ntawm kev ua kom muaj nuj nqis tau ua ob npaug ntawm lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj tshuav mus txog ze li $ 9 trillion. 

Saib: Lub Kaum Hli Puas yog lwm lub khw lag luam ' dais killer'? Vim li cas cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum tau ua tib zoo taug kev nyob ib puag ncig lub caij nyoog.

Los ntawm kev ntxiv cov nyiaj tau los ntxiv rau cov txheej txheem nyiaj txiag, Fed kuj tau pab txhawb cov txiaj ntsig tseem ceeb hauv cov khoom lag luam, cov ntawv cog lus, thiab vaj tsev thiab lwm yam khoom muaj nqis.

Nrog lub pob zeb-hauv qab tus paj laum, Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-1.71%

skyrocketed tshaj 40%, thaum S&P 500
SPX,
-1.51%

dhia dhau 60% thiab Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
-1.51%

tau nce ntau dua 80% thaum Lub Peb Hlis 2020 thiab Kaum Ob Hlis 2021, raws li Dow Jones Market Data. 

Txawm li cas los xij, lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab tau pib nruj nruj rau lub Rau Hli thiab kuj nce cov paj laum los ntawm 75 lub hauv paus taw tes tus nqi hikes hauv peb lub rooj sib tham sib law liag. Nws tau kos npe rau Fed txoj cai nruj tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 1980 los txhawm rau txhawm rau qhov kub siab tshaj qhov kev cia siab. 

Saib: Qhov kev lag luam lag luam no zoo li dot-com tsoo ntawm 2000, hais tias kev nqis peev guru

Raws li Druckenmiller, Fed tau ua yuam kev ntawm qhov kev pheej hmoo-nplua nuj thawj koom ruam uas lawv tau ua, thiab qhov cuam tshuam ntawm qhov ntawd yog "mus nrog peb mus ntev, ntev".

 "Peb los txog qhov kev xav tsis zoo no ntawm 'kev hloov pauv', yog li peb muaj 5 trillion hauv kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag, peb muaj 5 trillion hauv QE," nws hais. "Thiab yog tias koj nco qab, lub monetary monetary nyob rau hauv lub caij nplooj zeeg ntawm 2020, lawv (Fed) twb tsis mus rau kwv yees. Lawv tau mus ua cov ntaub ntawv-raws li thiab tos kom txog thaum lawv pom cov dawb ntawm kev nce nqi lub qhov muag. Yog li twv dab tsi? Lawv pom cov dawb ntawm lawv ob lub qhov muag.”

US Tshuag Index drifted feem ntau qis dua rau hnub Friday hauv kev lag luam tsis zoo tom qab kev nyeem ntawv nyiaj txiag pom tias kev nce nqi nce ntau dua li qhov xav tau hauv lub Yim Hli. Lub S&P 500 tau taug qab rau ib hlis poob ntawm 7.9% nyob rau hnub Thursday kaw, thaum Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab poob qis 7.2% thiab Nasdaq Composite thawb nws tag nrho cov poob txhua hli mus rau 9.1%, raws li Dow Jones Market Data. 

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/we-are-in-deep-trouble-billionaire-investor-druckenmiller-believes-feds-monetary-tightening-will-push-the-economy-into-recession- hauv-2023-11664383122?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo