Wall Street qhov kev ntshai ntsuas tau poob mus rau nws qhov qis tshaj plaws hauv lub hlis, thiab Wall Street cov kws tshaj lij tau txhawj xeeb tias nws tuaj yeem yog qhov ceeb toom tias qhov kev sib tw ua lag luam tshiab kawg tab tom los xaus.
Tshwj xeeb, lawv txhawj xeeb tias qhov qis qis ntawm Cboe Volatility Index, lwm yam hu ua "VIX," qhia tias cov tub ua lag luam tuaj yeem tsis txaus siab txog qhov txaus ntshai rau lawv cov ntaub ntawv khaws tseg, nce qhov muaj peev xwm uas lawv tuaj yeem raug ntes tawm ntawm tus neeg saib xyuas. txoj kev uas exacerbates lub peev xwm ua lag luam mayhem, raws li ib tug series ntawm kev tshawb fawb sau ntawv xa mus rau cov neeg siv khoom thiab tshuaj xyuas los ntawm MarketWatch.
Lwm tus tau hais tias lawv txhawj xeeb tias VIX qis yuav sai sai rov qab mus rau nws qhov nruab nrab mus sij hawm ntev, ua rau kev lag luam tshiab rov qab mus rau qhov kawg.
Jonathan Golub, tus thawj tswj hwm kev ncaj ncees thiab tus thawj coj ntawm kev tshawb fawb ntau ntawm Credit Suisse, tau hais hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom rau cov neeg siv khoom hnub Tuesday tias qhov cuam tshuam VIX
VIX,
txhais tau hais tias US cov khoom lag luam yuav tau koom nrog qhov kev pom zoo ntawm kev lag luam me ntsis, ua rau kev lag luam muaj kev cuam tshuam rau lub sijhawm nyob ze.
Golub tau hais tias "Txawm hais tias kev lag luam backdrop tau zoo dua nyob rau peb lub hlis dhau los, peb ntseeg tias ntau qhov upside twb tau txo qis hauv VIX qis dua thiab cov nqi lag luam siab dua," Golub hais.
Lub VIX tab tom flashing lub cim ceeb toom los ntawm kev pom kev zoo, lwm tus hais.
Lub ntsuas ntsuas zoo li "oversold" raws li tus qauv siv los ntawm Fairlead Strategies Chief Technical Analyst Katie Stockton.
Ib qho "kev tawm tsam" sab qaum teb ntawm 22 tuaj yeem qhia tau tias cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem raug coj mus rau lwm qhov kev kub ntxhov, Stockton tau hais hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom hnub Tuesday rau cov neeg siv khoom.
Hnub Friday, VIX tau ua tiav qhov kev sib tham ua lag luam ntawm tsuas yog siab dua 18, nws qhov qis tshaj plaws kaw txij li Lub Ib Hlis. Txog hnub Tuesday nws tau rov zoo dua me ntsis rau 19.36 raws li S&P 500 ua tiav hnub qis qis.
Txawm hais tias S&P 500
SPX,
tau nce txij li thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo, nws tau pib tsis mus qhov twg rau lub hli dhau los, FactSet cov ntaub ntawv qhia.
S&P 500 ua tiav qis qis rau hnub Tuesday, poob los ntawm 8.12 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 0.2%, rau 3,990.97. Txawm li cas los xij, qhov ntsuas tau tswj kom kaw siab dua nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab ntawm kwv yees li 3,978 rau ob hnub ua ke.
Qhov sib txawv ntawm VIX qis tsis yog qhov tshiab. Raws li FactSet cov ntaub ntawv, qhov ntsuas kev ntshai tam sim no qis dua nws qhov nruab nrab 50-hnub thiab 200-hnub txav mus los, thiab tau txij li thaum kawg ntawm Lub Kaum Hli, qhov ntev tshaj li qhov ntev txij li xyoo 2021.
Cov neeg lag luam tau saib qhov ntsuas kev ntshai nyob ze txij li Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam pib lawv qhov ntev ntev los ntawm lawv qhov kev nce siab tshaj plaws txhua lub sijhawm tau mus txog rau lub Ib Hlis 2022. Qee qhov tau kwv yees tias qhov ntsuas kev ntshai. zoo li "tawg" tom qab nws nce siab nyob rau theem uas cuam tshuam nrog kev lag luam me ntsis kev ntxhov siab thaum lub xyoo tas los muag.
Lub VIX yog xam los ntawm ib tug complex formula uas suav nrog hnyav nqi ntawm S&P 500 Performance index tso thiab hu nrog kwv yees li 30 hnub kom txog rau thaum tag. Kev lag luam hauv cov kev xaiv luv luv tsis tshua muaj kev cuam tshuam rau VIX, uas tau dhau los ua qhov teeb meem raws li kev siv cov ntawv cog lus no tau dhau los ua neeg nyiam ua lag luam, qee tus tau sau tseg.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-flashes-warning-that-stocks-might-be-headed-off-a-cliff-11673994164?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo