Siv Breakouts Hauv Txoj Kev William O'Neil

Kev kawm txog tus nqi breakouts yog ib feem tseem ceeb ntawm O'Neil Methodology. Nws muab cov tub ua lag luam qhia txog ob qho tib si cov khoom lag luam thiab cov kev coj ua lag luam tag nrho. Piv txwv li, tus nqi muaj zog breakout ntawm ib tug ntse nce nyob rau hauv ntim ntawm ib tug neeg Tshuag yuav yog ib qho qhia txog tus nqi yav tom ntej. Ib yam li ntawd, thaum tag nrho cov naj npawb ntawm cov khoom lag luam nthuav tawm nthuav dav, nws tuaj yeem yog qhov qhia tau tias tag nrho cov khoom lag luam yuav tau npaj siab dua.

William O'Neil txhais li cas txog kev lag luam tawm?

Kauj Ruam 1-Lub tsev ntawm 'Base': Rau ib qho Tshuag rau breakout, nws yuav tsum xub tsim ib lub hauv paus. Qhov no tshwm sim nrog kev tsim cov khoom lag luam qis thiab tom qab ntawd ib qho kev lag luam uas tau hais tseg yam tsis tau mus saum tus nqi siab ua ntej lossis ua rau tus nqi Tshuag tshiab qis rau tsawg kawg tsib lub lis piam. Cov txheej txheem no yuav siv sijhawm txog ib xyoos. Peb tau tsim ib lub tswv yim tsim kom paub txog cov hom hauv paus xws li:

  • Pav Ca
  • consolidation
  • Khob
  • Ntsev
  • Khob-nrog-Handle
  • Saucer-nrog-Handle
  • Ob chav-hauv qab
  • Ascending Base
  • IPO Base

Kauj Ruam 2-Tso tawm saum 'Pivot': Peb txhais lub "pivot" raws li qhov taw qhia inflection - tom qab ib qho khoom lag luam tau tsim lub hauv paus - qhov twg cov khoom lag luam tus nqi tshaj nws cov nqi siab ua ntej (tseem hu ua "sab laug ntawm lub hauv paus"). Khob-nrog-Handle, Saucers-with-Handle, thiab Ob-Kab hauv qab yuav pom lawv tus nqi pivot me ntsis ua ntej tshaj lwm cov qauv, qhov tseem ceeb tshaj qhov nruab nrab ncov hauv lub hauv paus.

Feem ntau, peb nyiam yuav cov khoom lag luam lossis ntxiv rau cov haujlwm uas twb tau tsim lawm thaum lawv tawg saum lawv tus nqi pivot. Tsis tas li ntawd, feem ntau qhov ntev ntawm lub hauv paus ntev (piv txwv li, lub lis piam, hli), qhov tseem ceeb tshaj qhov kev tawg. Nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv zoo tagnrho, tus pivot kuj yog ib qho kev tawg rau txhua lub sijhawm siab. Qhov laj thawj rau kev tos siab los yuav cuam tshuam txog qhov siab ua ntej yog qhov muaj peev xwm ua tau raws li cov neeg yuav khoom thawj zaug ntawm cov qib no tuaj yeem xav muag thaum yav dhau los poob tau rov qab. Tab sis, ib zaug mus rau highs, tsis muaj xws li tiv thaiv los ntawm underwater txoj hauj lwm. Hauv lub sijhawm tiag tiag, kev yuav khoom saum toj ntawm pivot hnub tuaj yeem ua haujlwm tau zoo. Ib txoj hauv kev zoo tshaj plaws yog tos kom txog thaum lub hnub kaw kom paub tseeb tias cov khoom lag luam kaw saum tus nqi pivot.

Lwm cov txheej txheem tseem ceeb yog suav cov hauv paus thaum lawv tshwm sim thoob plaws hauv lub neej ntawm cov khoom lag luam txav siab dua. Thawj theem hauv paus yog nyob deb tshaj plaws. Cov no suav hais tias yog theem ib vim tias tus nqi Tshuag tau txo qis los ntawm lub hauv paus yav dhau los. Theem ob, peb, plaub, thiab lwm yam tshwm sim tom qab ib tug breakout los ntawm yav dhau los theem, thiab ib tug tshiab trading ntau yog ua nyob rau hauv ib tug ntau dua theem. Ib qho piv txwv tam sim no, uas qhia tau hais tias lub hauv paus suav rov pib dua, theem ib puag ncig thiab kev tawg, ua raws li kev txav siab dua mus rau theem ob lub hauv paus thiab breakout yog los ntawm Axon Enterprises (AXON).

Axon Enterprises (AXON)

Hauv qab no yog tag nrho cov khoom lag luam txhua lub lim tiam rau Asmeskas thiab thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam uas peb taug qab (txhua hom hauv paus thiab tag nrho cov theem pib suav) los ntawm 2015-2023. Peb tuaj yeem pom cov lej tau txhim kho tau zoo txij li lig-2022 thiab thawj ob peb lub lis piam ntawm 2023 tom qab poob rau ib xyoos. Saib ntawm peb lub lag luam hauv qab no (2016, 2019, 2020), rov qab mus rau tus lej tawg siab tau yog lub cim zoo rau kev lag luam txuas ntxiv.

Ntxiv nrog rau cov khoom lag luam tawg tawm, muaj lwm yam uas peb ntseeg tias tuaj yeem ua rau cov khoom xa rov qab ntau dua. Raws li tau hais ua ntej, qhov ntev ntawm lub hauv paus, qhov tseem ceeb tshaj qhov tawg. Peb pab pawg tshawb fawb ntau ntawm O'Neil tau kawm txog cov khoom lag luam uas ua rau siab tshiab thiab tau xaus lus tias kev hloov pauv ntau dua-hloov cov khoom xa rov qab ntau dua (txhais tau tias yog Tshuag nqi vs lub lag luam nruab nrab) tuaj yeem cia siab rau cov khoom lag luam ua tshiab peb lub hlis siab. Los ntawm qhov ntawd, rov qab txhim kho tau zoo rau cov khoom lag luam ua rau rau lub hlis, ib xyoos, thiab thaum kawg tsib xyoos siab raws li qhia hauv daim duab hauv qab no.

Tsis tas li ntawd, thaum saib ntawm tsib-xyoo siab subset, qhov tsawg dua qhov tshwm sim zoo dua. Thaum cov khoom lag luam tsawg tsawg tau ua tshiab tsib xyoos siab, cov uas ua yuav tsum tau them nyiaj mloog zoo rau.

Lwm yam tseem ceeb thaum lub sij hawm ntawm qhov kev sib cais muaj xws li kwv yees lub zog (RS ™) thiab cov nyiaj ntws. Yog tias ib qho khoom lag luam tawg tawm ntawm qhov ntau, tab sis nws txoj kab RS piv rau qhov ntsuas ntsuas tsis yog, thiab / lossis yog tias qhov ntim ntawm qhov tawg yog tsawg, peb yuav saib cov no yog cov chij liab. Feem ntau, ntim yog qhov qhia tau meej rau tus nqi txav. Qhov siab dua qhov ntim, qhov ntau tus nqi txiav txim yuav tsum "tso siab".

Muab tag nrho ua ke, ntawm no yog ob peb qhov zoo tshaj plaws tsis ntev los no breakouts, uas yog ze li ua rau tsib xyoos siab, muaj RS Ratings ntawm 85+, thiab muaj cov nyiaj tau los zoo zoo. Chart markups rau ob qho piv txwv, VisteonVC
thiab Proya Tshuaj pleev ib ce, ua raws.

Kuj tseem muaj cov txheej txheem ntawm kev tawg tsis ntev los no uas tsis yog ze li tsib xyoos siab tab sis hloov pauv ntawm ntau qhov tsis ntev los no. Cov pab pawg no yog qhov tseem ceeb tshwj xeeb, vim tias cov khoom lag luam muaj ntau dua ntawm no thiab yuav tsum tau ua kom zoo rau kev lag luam tag nrho kom muaj zog. Qee qhov piv txwv thoob ntiaj teb uas tseem muaj RS Ratings siab thiab muaj txiaj ntsig zoo nyiaj tau los yog qhia hauv qab no. Chart markups ntawm UberUBER
thiab Sika ua raws.

xaus

Breakouts yog lwm cov cuab yeej ua lag luam tuaj yeem siv hauv lawv cov cuab yeej cuab tam pob. Lawv pab ua kom muaj qhov sib txawv uas ib qho khoom lag luam yuav nce tus nqi yav tom ntej. Tsis tas li ntawd, lawv yog ib qho tseem ceeb qhia ntawm tag nrho cov robustness ntawm lub lag luam Tshuag. Feem ntau, kev lag luam muaj zog tau nce ua ntej los ntawm kev nce loj ntawm tus kheej cov khoom lag luam tawg tawm. Ntawm O'Neil, peb tab tom kawm qhov no ua tib zoo rau kev kos npe rau lub khw muag nyuj tshiab tab tom pib.

Kenley Scott, Tus Thawj Coj, Tus Txheej Txheem Thoob Ntiaj Teb ntawm William O'Neil + Lub Tuam Txhab, uas koom nrog O'Neil Cov Kws Tshaj Lij Tswv Yim thoob ntiaj teb, ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau cov ntaub ntawv sau, tsom xam, thiab sau rau cov ntawv no.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/randywatts/2023/02/23/using-breakouts-in-the-william-oneil-methodology/