Cov Nqi Siv Tsheb Tshaj Tawm Loj Tshaj Plaws Hauv Cov Ntaub Ntawv-Thiab Muaj 'Ntau Ntxiv Ntxiv Mus'

Tojsiab

Txawm hais tias nce me ntsis txij lub Kaum Ib Hlis, cov nqi tsheb siv tau them los ntawm cov neeg muag khoom lub hli tas los tau poob qis tshaj plaws nyob rau ib xyoos txij li thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 1990s - txuas ntxiv qhov kev poob qis uas yuav tsum ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau tag nrho kev nce nqi, uas tau ntev dhau los ntawm cov khoom lag luam kev txwv tsis pub tsav tsheb. nce tus nqi ntawm cov tsheb siv.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Cov nqi tsheb siv hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau nce 0.8% txij lub Kaum Ib Hlis txog Lub Kaum Ob Hlis tab sis poob 14.9% los ntawm ib xyoos ua ntej, raws li Manheim siv-tsheb tus nqi ntsuas tso tawm Hnub Monday, ua cim qhov poob qis tshaj plaws txhua xyoo rau qhov ntsuas, uas taug qab cov nqi ntawm cov tsheb siv tau muag ntawm kev muag khoom muag.

SUVs yog nyob rau hauv cov tsheb tshaj tawm qhov loj tshaj txhua xyoo tus nqi poob, poob 16.6%, thaum lub tsheb nruab nrab poob 15.8% thiab cov khoom kim heev tsheb poob 15.2%.

Qhov kev tso tawm, uas tau rov qab mus rau xyoo 1990s lig, yog qhov kev poob qis thib peb xyoo dhau ib xyoos rau cov nqi tsheb siv, uas tau nce siab txog li 60% thaum lub sijhawm muaj kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb raws li cov khoom siv. kev cuam tshuam rau cov khoom tseem ceeb xws li semiconductors plagued kev lag luam.

"Tus nqi tsheb tshiab thiab siv yuav yuav poob mus txog rau feem ntau ntawm 2023," Pantheon Macro tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag Ian Shepherdson tau hais hauv tsab ntawv tsis ntev los no, taw qhia cov txiaj ntsig tau txiaj ntsig rau cov tswv lag luam tsheb tau nce sai dua li lwm qhov thaum muaj kev sib kis thiab muaj "ntau ntxiv mus" raws li kev txhawj xeeb ntawm cov saw hlau abate.

Hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom rau cov neeg siv khoom lub hli dhau los, Goldman Sachs cov kws lag luam nyiaj txiag kuj tau hais tias lawv xav tias yuav siv cov nqi tsheb poob qis rau cov neeg siv khoom, cuam tshuam cov nqi muag khoom qis dua thiab txo qis cov khoom lag luam thiab thaum kawg pab kev nce nqi tag nrho, raws li ntsuas los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom ntsuas tus nqi, nruab nrab txhua xyoo.

Txaus Ntshai Qhov Tseeb

Raws li lub tuam txhab kev tshawb fawb tsheb CarGurus, qhov nruab nrab teev nqi ntawm lub tsheb siv yog $ 28,755 - nqis los ntawm qhov siab tshaj li $ 31,000 mus txog xyoo tas los tab sis tseem nyob deb tshaj li kev kis tus kab mob kis mus txog $ 21,300.

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Lub Bureau of Labor Statistics yuav tshaj tawm nws daim ntawv tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis rau hnub Thursday. Bank of America cov kws lag luam kev lag luam ntseeg tias cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tus nqi poob qis los ntawm 0.1% txij lub Kaum Ib Hlis mus txog Lub Kaum Ob Hlis thiab cov nqi tseem ceeb tau poob 0.5%, ua rau lub hlis thib peb ntawm kev poob qis, ua tsaug rau "lwm qhov kev poob loj hauv cov nqi siv tsheb raws li qeb txuas ntxiv rov qab. nws lub zog ua ntej. " Lub hli tas los, cov nqi siv tsheb poob qis (qis 2.9%) pab tag nrho tus nqi nce nqi txias ntau dua li cov kws lag luam xav tau.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Kev nce nqi nce ze li ib xyoos qis-tab sis cov nqi no tseem nce siab tshaj plaws (Forbes)

Cov neeg Asmeskas tau poob $ 6.8 trillion xyoo no raws li cov khoom lag luam poob, vaj tsev lag luam poob thiab kev txuag nyiaj poob qis (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2023/01/09/used-car-prices-post-biggest-drop-on-record-and-have-much-further-to-fall/