cov USD / ZAR Tus nqi pauv tau rub rov qab txij li lub Kaum Ib Hlis nyob rau sab nraum qab ntawm cov nyiaj tsis muaj zog US duas. Tom qab nce mus rau ib lub xyoo siab ntawm 18.60, South African rand tau dhia mus rau 17. Yog li, dab tsi ntxiv rau cov rand yooj yim hauv 2023?
South Africa tawm tsam kom rub kev lag luam
South African rand poob tawm tsam US duas hauv 2022 raws li cov nyiaj ntsuab tau ntxiv dag zog. Nyob rau hauv tag nrho, cov nyiaj daus las nce los ntawm ntau dua 6% raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve txiav txim siab xa ob peb tus nqi hikes. Lub tsev txhab nyiaj txhawb cov nqi los ntawm 450 cov ntsiab lus hauv lub xyoo.
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
Hauv South Africa, lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab kuj tau xa ntau tus nqi nce ntxiv txawm tias kev lag luam tawm tsam. Raws li kuv tau sau hauv no daim ntawv qhia, qhov kev sib tw loj tshaj plaws uas South Africa tab tom ntsib yog lub zog. Saddled los ntawm lub roob ntawm cov nuj nqis, Eskom txuas ntxiv nws txoj cai ntawm kev txiav hluav taws xob hauv lub tebchaws. Raws li Bloomberg, nws tau txiav hluav taws xob hauv ntau dua 200 hnub.
Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm cov kev txiav fais fab no rau kev lag luam yog qhov txaus ntshai. Rau ib qho, ntau lub tuam txhab tau siv nyiaj ntau dua rau lwm qhov chaw siv hluav taws xob. Ib yam li ntawd, cov khw muag khoom thiab cov khw noj mov uas ua haujlwm ntawm cov npoo nyias kuj tau pom lawv cov nqi nce siab. Qee tus, zoo li KFC, tau txiav txim siab kaw qee qhov ntawm lawv lub khw muag khoom.
Yog li ntawd, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xav tias cov kev tawm dag zog no yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam loj rau kev lag luam. Kev txiav haujlwm yuav nce ntxiv thaum ntau lub tuam txhab tab tom txiav txim siab tsiv mus rau lwm lub tebchaws. Hauv nws daim ntawv tshaj tawm, South Africa Reserve Bank (SARB) tau hais tias kev lag luam yuav nthuav tawm tsuas yog 0.1% hauv Q4 thiab 1.1% hauv 2023.
Kev nce nqi kuj tseem pheej nyob hauv South Africa, uas yuav thawb lub txhab nyiaj cia rau kev nce nqi thaum lub sij hawm stagflation. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xav tias cov nqi yuav nce mus txog 8% hauv 2023.
Nyob rau sab nraud ntawm qhov sib npaug, Fed xav tias yuav tsum nres tus nqi ntawm lub davhlau ya nyob twg ntawm 5.1% thiab tom qab ntawd nres los ntsuas qhov xwm txheej.
USD/ZAR kwv yees
Daim ntawv qhia hnub qhia tau hais tias South African rand tau nce tawm tsam Teb Chaws Asmeskas duas. Nws tau tswj xyuas kom qis dua qhov kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb ntawm 17.31, uas yog qhov siab tshaj plaws nyob rau lub Xya Hli. Cov khub tau tsiv mus rau qis dua 25-hnub thiab 50-hnub hloov pauv qhov nruab nrab thaum Lub Zej Zog Lub Zog Index (RSI) tau txav qis dua qhov nruab nrab ntawm 50.
Yog li ntawd, qhov kev cia siab rau khub niam txiv tau poob qis, nrog rau qib tseem ceeb tom ntej los saib yog nyob rau ntawm 16.31, uas yog qhov siab tshaj plaws hauv lub Tsib Hlis xyoo no.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2022/12/29/usd-zar-drops-below-key-support-what-next-for-south-africa-rand/