Tus nqi USD / INR txuas ntxiv nce rau hnub Tuesday raws li US dollar Performance index (DXY) tau rov qab los ua ntej ntawm US cov neeg siv khoom nce nqi (CPI) cov ntaub ntawv. Nws tau dhia mus rau qhov siab ntawm 82.42, qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li Lub Peb Hlis 2.
Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev lag luam nyiaj txiag ua ntej
Tus nqi USD / INR txuas ntxiv nce ntxiv raws li DXY Performance index bounced rov qab. Nws tau nce los ntawm 30 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau $ 103.46, uas siab dua hnub Monday qis ntawm $ 103. Qhov no rebound tau tshwm sim thaum lub lag luam daim ntawv cog lus bounced rov qab. 10-xyoo thiab 5-xyoo daim ntawv cog lus tau nce mus rau 3.5% thiab 3.6%, feem.
Kev lag luam daim ntawv cog lus tau muaj kev ntxhov siab nyob rau hauv ob hnub dhau los thaum cov tub ua lag luam soj ntsuam cov kev ua tom ntej los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tom qab lub cev qhuav dej ntawm Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) thiab Signature Bank. Qee cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas, suav nrog cov los ntawm Goldman Sachs thiab ING, ntseeg tias Fed yuav zoo li qeeb nws cov nqi nce hauv cov rooj sib tham tom ntej.
Tom ntej no tsab xov xwm tseem ceeb catalyst rau tus nqi USD/INR yuav yog lub tom ntej no US cov neeg siv khoom index (CPI) cov ntaub ntawv teem rau hnub Tuesday. Economists ntseeg hais tias tus xov tooj ntawm cov neeg siv khoom lag luam poob qis los ntawm 0.5% mus rau 0.4% ntawm ib hlis-rau-lub hlis. Lawv kuj xav tias CPI poob ntawm 6.4% mus rau 6.0%, uas tseem yuav siab dua li Fed lub hom phiaj ntawm 2.0%.
Kev nce nqi tseem ceeb, uas tsis suav nrog cov khoom noj tsis haum thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob, xav tias yuav los ntawm 0.4% ntawm MoM hauv paus. Raws li YoY lub hauv paus, cov tub ntxhais CPI yuav tsum tau nqis los ntawm 5.6% mus rau 5.5%. Cov naj npawb ntawm kev nce nqi yuav tsum tau qhia tias tus nqi tseem nyob twj ywm siab.
Yog li ntawd, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yog nyob rau hauv kev kho. Ntawm qhov tod tes, nws yuav tsum tau mus txuas ntxiv cov paj laum nyob rau hauv kev sib tw kom maj mam nce nqi ntxiv. Txawm li cas los xij, kev nce nqi ntau dua yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua hauv kev lag luam.
USD / INR kev txheeb xyuas cov cuab yeej
USD / INR daim ntawv qhia los ntawm TradingView
Daim ntawv qhia plaub-teev qhia tau hais tias USD rau INR tus nqi tau ua rau muaj kev nce siab ntxiv hauv ob peb hnub dhau los. Qhov kev thim rov qab no tau pib thaum khub niam txiv tau poob qis rau 81.56 thaum Lub Peb Hlis 6.
Cov khub tau tsiv mus rau saum 50-lub sij hawm exponential txav nruab nrab (EMA) thiab tab tom nce mus txog qib tseem ceeb ntawm 82.50. Qhov tom kawg yog qib tseem ceeb vim nws yog lub neckline ntawm ob sab saum toj qauv ntawm 82.96. Nws kuj tau tsiv me ntsis saum toj ntawm qhov tseem ceeb tsis kam ntawm 82.28 (8 Lub Peb Hlis siab).
Yog li ntawd, tus nqi USD / INR yuav zoo li nce ntxiv raws li cov neeg yuav khoom tsom rau qib tseem ceeb ntawm 82.51. Yog tias qhov no tshwm sim, nws yuav zoo li yog qhov kev txiav txim siab thiab rov sim dua, uas yuav pom nws rov pib qhov kev poob qis thiab sim kev txhawb nqa ntawm 81.97.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2023/03/14/usd-inr-usd-vs-rupee-forecast-ahead-of-us-inflation-data/