cov USD / CHF chaw tus nqi rub rov qab sharply nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis li forex Cov tub ua lag luam rov tsom mus rau Federal Reserve pivot yav tom ntej. Nws poob mus rau qhov qis ntawm 0.9360, uas yog qib qis tshaj txij li lub Plaub Hlis xyoo no. Ntawm nws qhov qis tshaj plaws nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis, khub niam txiv yog kwv yees li 7.8% qis dua nws lub hli siab.
Fed pivot ua ntej
cov USD rau CHF pauv tus nqi rub rov qab thaum US dollar Performance index (DXY) poob. Nws rub rov qab los ntawm nws qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm $ 115 mus txog $ 104. Qhov muag-tawm intensified tom qab Teb Chaws Asmeskas luam tawm txhawb cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag.
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
Raws li peb tau sau hauv no tsab xov xwm, Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) tau qhia tias Asmeskas kev nce nqi rov qab los ntawm feem pua loj dua li qhov xav tau. Qhov tseeb, nws tau nqis los ntawm 8.3% hauv lub Cuaj Hli mus rau 7.7% thaum Lub Kaum Hli.
Feem ntau cov ntsuas taw qhia txog kev poob qis ntawm kev nce nqi hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas. Feem ntau cov khw muag khoom, suav nrog Walmart thiab Target, tshaj tawm cov luv nqi tseem ceeb los hais txog lawv cov khoom muag. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, cov nqi roj tau rov qab nyob rau ob peb lub hlis dhau los thaum cov kev sib tw ntawm cov saw hlau uas muaj nyob rau xyoo 2021 tau yooj yim. Qhov tseeb, cov ntaub ntawv qhia tau hais tias cov nqi thauj khoom hauv hiav txwv tau poob qis hauv ob peb lub hlis dhau los.
Yog li ntawd, nrog kev nce nqi nce ntxiv, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tau kwv yees tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav pib qeeb qeeb ntawm kev nce nqi hauv lub rooj sib tham tom ntej. Qhov kev xav no tau lees paub los ntawm Jerome Powell, Fed Chair. Nyob rau hauv ib nqe lus, nws hinted tias lub tsev txhab nyiaj yuav mus ntxiv hiking tus nqi tab sis nyob rau hauv ib tug qeeb qeeb.
Lub ntsiab tseem ceeb tom ntej los saib yuav yog US cov ntaub ntawv them nyiaj tsis yog ua liaj ua teb (NFP) yav tom ntej. Economists cia siab tias cov ntaub ntawv yuav qhia tau tias tus kev khwv nyiaj txiag ntxiv tshaj 200k txoj haujlwm nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis. Tebchaws Asmeskas yuav tshaj tawm cov ntaub ntawv PCE tshiab kawg.
Lub caij no, cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Switzerland tau qhia tias PMI poob ntawm 54.9 thaum Lub Kaum Hli mus rau 53.9 thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis. Kev muag khoom muag tau nqis los ntawm 2.5% thaum Lub Kaum Hli thaum cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tseem nyob ntawm 3.0%.
Kev twv kwv yees USD / CHF
USD / CHF daim ntawv qhia los ntawm TradingView
Daim ntawv qhia txhua hnub qhia tau hais tias tus khub USD / CHF tau los nyob rau hauv kev nyuaj siab nyob rau hauv ob peb lub lis piam dhau los. Nws txav los ntawm parity mus rau qis dua 0.9500. Nws tau hla 50-hnub thiab 200-hnub txav qhov nruab nrab. Ob qhov nruab nrab yog yuav ua rau tus ntoo khaub lig tuag.
Tus nqi USD rau CHF tau tsim qhov zoo li tus chij bearish. Yog li ntawd, tus khub yuav zoo li yuav poob mus ntxiv thaum cov neeg muag khoom tsom mus rau qib txhawb nqa tseem ceeb tom ntej ntawm 0.92500.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2022/12/01/usd-chf-spot-forecast-for-december-2022/