Teb Chaws Asmeskas, Tuam Tshoj cov thawj coj tuaj yeem taug kev los ntsib Lub Kaum Ib Hlis

Tsoomfwv Meskas Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Joe Biden mloog thaum lub rooj sib tham zoo nrog Xi Jinping, Tuam Tshoj tus thawj tswj hwm, hauv … [+] Roosevelt Chav Tsev Dawb hauv Washington, DC, Tebchaws Asmeskas, hnub Monday, Kaum Ib Hlis 15, 2021. Tus kws yees duab: Sarah Silbiger / UPI / Bloomberg

Cov thawj coj ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas thiab Tuam Tshoj tej zaum yuav nyob rau hauv txoj kev mus rau lub rooj sib tham tim ntsej tim muag nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis txawm tias ob lub teb chaws ntsib lub sijhawm "nyuaj, tsis ruaj khov" hauv kev sib raug zoo, tus thawj coj ntawm tus muaj hwj chim hauv Beijing xav hais tias hauv kev xam phaj. .

"Nws tuaj yeem muaj kev sib tham" ntawm ob lub sijhawm lub rooj sib tham ntawm G20 lub tebchaws tau teem rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 15-16 hauv Bali, Henry Huiyao Wang, tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm Beijing-based Center for China thiab Globalization, tau hais hauv New York ua ntej lub hli no.

Lub rooj sib tham ntawd yuav tshwm sim tom qab ib qho tseem ceeb ntawm Tuam Tshoj Communist Party sib sau ua ke nyob rau lub caij nplooj zeeg nyob rau hauv uas Communist Party Thawj Tswj Hwm Xi Jinping yuav muaj feem yuav yeej rov qab rau peb lub sij hawm tsib xyoos ua tus thawj tswj hwm.

“Tuam Tshoj tej zaum yuav muaj nws 20^th Party Congress, thiab Thawj Tswj Hwm Xi yuav muaj txoj haujlwm tshiab "los ntawm nruab nrab Lub Kaum Ib Hlis, Wang tau hais. "Nws yuav yog lub sijhawm zoo los qhia rau ntiaj teb paub tias Tuam Tshoj mus qhov twg." Xi lub hli tas los tau mus rau Hong Kong rau 25^th hnub tseem ceeb ntawm Hong Kong xa los ntawm Tebchaws Askiv mus rau Tsoom Fwv Tebchaws Tuam Tshoj tsoomfwv.

Kev daws teeb meem ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev coj noj coj ua rau tsib xyoos tom ntej thiab kev sib tham nrog Thawj Tswj Hwm Joe Biden tuaj yeem ua rau txoj hauv kev rau Asmeskas thiab Tuam Tshoj kev sib raug zoo "mus rau lub sijhawm ruaj khov rau qee lub sijhawm," Wang hais.

"Kuv tseem xav tias muaj qhov ua tau uas peb tuaj yeem ua kom txoj kev sib raug zoo no tswj tau, uas txhais tau tias peb paub txog qhov sib txawv. Peb tuaj yeem muaj cov kab hauv qab, "nws hais. “Peb tuaj yeem muaj cov kab thaiv kev tiv thaiv. Tab sis qhov tseem ceeb tshaj, peb tuaj yeem tiv thaiv kev sib raug zoo los ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb lossis kev ua tsov rog kub. "

Henry Huiyao Wang, tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm Beijing-based Center for China and Globalization

Center for China thiab Globalization

Geopolitical strains ntawm ob, xav tau los ntawm qee qhov yuav yooj yim tom qab Thawj Tswj Hwm Joe Biden qhov kev xaiv tsa tsis tau. Nyuam qhuav pib lub hlis no, Tuam Tshoj tau hais tias nws tau tshem USS Benfold los ntawm South China Sea dej nws thov; Teb Chaws Asmeskas hais tias thaj chaw yog dej thoob ntiaj teb. Qhov ntawd tau tshwm sim tom qab US Secretary of State thiab Tuam Tshoj Txawv Teb Chaws Minister tau tham txog kev sib tham nrog G7 lub rooj sib tham hauv lub lim tiam dhau los.

Tuam Tshoj txoj kev phooj ywg zoo nrog Russia nyob rau lub sijhawm tom qab qhov kev ua phem phem ntawm Ukraine tau ua rau lub teb chaws cov duab hauv Asmeskas tau ua rau puas tsuaj, raws li Pew kev tshawb fawb luam tawm thaum Lub Rau Hli uas pom 82% ntawm cov neeg Asmeskas muaj kev xav tsis zoo ntawm lub tebchaws. Rau nws feem, Tuam Tshoj tsis paub txog Russia txoj kev cuam tshuam ua ntej, Wang hais.

Wang sawv ntawm Tuam Tshoj tus kws tshaj lij txoj cai txawv teb chaws rau nws keeb kwm thoob ntiaj teb. Tom qab tau txais nws daim bachelor's degree hauv lus Askiv thiab Asmeskas cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, nws tau txais MBA thiab PhD hauv kev tswj hwm thoob ntiaj teb ntawm University of Windsor, University of Western Ontario thiab University of Manchester, ua tiav. Tom qab ntawd nws kawm hauv Harvard Business School thiab nws yog ib tug neeg laus hauv tsev kawm Harvard Kennedy. Nws tau ua ib tug neeg tuaj xyuas hauv Brookings Institution. Nws ib zaug tau ua tus sawv cev ua lag luam rau Canadian Quebec Government Office hauv Hong Kong thiab Greater Tuam Tshoj. Nws kuj tau ua tus pab tswv yim ntawm Tuam Tshoj lub Xeev Council.

Hauv Wang txoj kev xav, kev sib raug zoo ntawm ob sab - lub ntiaj teb ob txoj kev lag luam loj tshaj plaws - tab tom ntsib ob "dab ntxwg nyoog." Thawj zaug, "Thucydides Trap," tshwm sim thaum lub hwj chim uas twb muaj lawm tsis muaj chaw txaus rau kev nce-thiab-tus neeg los nce hauv ntiaj teb. Qhov thib ob yog "Kindleberger Trap," qhov tshwm sim ntawm lub hwj chim uas twb muaj lawm tsis muab cov khoom lag luam thoob ntiaj teb txaus piv nrog cov neeg sib tw ua ntej. Tuam Tshoj txaus siab sau qhov khoob uas tsis tau sau los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas, Wang tau hais.

"Tuam Tshoj yuav dhau los ua lub tebchaws nrog kev lag luam loj tshaj plaws hauv ntiaj teb," thiab xav tau chaw ntxiv rau nws tus kheej thoob ntiaj teb, Wang hais. "Peb tab tom nkag mus rau lub sijhawm hloov kho nyuaj, uas tuaj yeem siv sijhawm tsib, 10, tej zaum 15 xyoo," nws hais.

Qhov kawg ntawm kev sib kis - thaum twg los xij yuav yog - yuav ua rau muaj kev txhim kho hauv kev sib raug zoo thaum tib neeg-rau-tus neeg sib pauv rov pib dua, Suav kev ncig tebchaws rov zoo dua, thiab kev sib pauv tub ntxhais kawm ntawm Asmeskas thiab Tuam Tshoj yuav rov zoo, Wang hais. "Zoom lub rooj sib tham tsis tuaj yeem hloov cov rooj sib tham tim ntsej tim muag," nws hais ntxiv.

Txawm hais tias kev kaw cia tau ua rau ntau lub lag luam nyob hauv thaj av loj raug kev txom nyem, ntau lub tuam txhab Asmeskas thiab ntau haiv neeg yuav zoo li yuav saib mus ntev ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam sib sib zog nqus thiab lub xeev ntawm kev sib txuas lus hauv kev lag luam, Wang ntseeg. Asmeskas cov tub ua lag luam hauv lub tebchaws suav nrog ntau tus tswv cuab ntawm Forbes Ntiaj Teb 2000 daim ntawv teev npe, suav nrog Tesla, GM, Ford thiab Intel.

Teb Chaws Asmeskas thiab Tuam Tshoj yuav tsum sim ua hauj lwm ua ke ntawm kev muab kev tsim kho vaj tse rau cov teb chaws tsim thiab, nrog rau cov teb chaws Europe, txhawb kev sib koom ua ke thoob ntiaj teb nruj dua ntawm cov tuam txhab kev loj hlob, Wang said.

Txawm hais tias G7 tau tshaj tawm "Kev Sib Koom Tes rau Ntiaj Teb Infrastructure thiab Kev Lag Luam," nws raug thuam hauv Tuam Tshoj lub xeev xov xwm lub hlis no raws li "kev luag nyav tam sim rau nws cov lus tsis txaus ntseeg thiab nws qhov kev sib tw rau 'tawm tsam' Tuam Tshoj-coj Txoj Kev Siv Siv thiab Txoj Kev.

Nws yog qhov kev hais lus zoo li no uas qhia txog lub sijhawm "nyuaj, tsis ruaj khov" tam sim no ntawm ob lub tebchaws.

Saib lwm cov posts:

Kev sib raug zoo ntawm Asmeskas-Tuam Tshoj yog "zoo dua li cov xov xwm"

Tuam Tshoj tus Ambassador tham Pew, Kev Ncig Tebchaws Kev Lag Luam: Kev Sib Tham Tshwj Xeeb

Kev pom tsis zoo ntawm Tuam Tshoj ceeb toom siab hauv 19 lub tebchaws, Pew Survey pom

@Rflannerychina

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/russellflannery/2022/07/17/us-china-leaders-may-be-on-track-to-meet-in-november-china-think-tank- tus thawj/