TSX index forms inverted H&S raws li cov khoom lag luam poob

Cov khoom lag luam Canadian tau ua haujlwm tsis zoo rau lawv cov neeg tsim khoom lag luam raws li kev txhawj xeeb txog cov nqi khoom muag thiab lub teb chaws kev lag luam tseem nyob. Blue-chip TSX Composite index kaw ntawm $ 20,606 rau hnub Thursday, ob peb lub ntsiab lus saum nws qhov qis tshaj plaws hauv 2023.

Cov khoom lag luam tus nqi rov qab

Bloomberg Cov Khoom Muag Khoom lag luam tau thim rov qab xyoo 2023 thaum muaj kev txhawj xeeb ntxiv txog kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb. Nrog cov txiaj ntsig nkhaus inversion txuas ntxiv mus, cov tub ua lag luam ntseeg tias yuav muaj kev lag luam poob qis hauv lub hlis tom ntej. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, kev rov qab los ntawm Suav kev lag luam zoo li yuav pib qeeb.

Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?

Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.

khoom muag cov nqi kuj tawm tsam vim muaj cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag muaj zog los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas. Raws li kuv tau sau hauv no daim ntawv qhia, Qee tus neeg ua haujlwm Fed tau pib ceeb toom tias lawv yuav txhawb nqa 0.50% tus nqi nce hauv lub rooj sib tham tom ntej. Raws li qhov tshwm sim, BCOM Performance index yog kev lag luam ntawm qhov qis tshaj plaws txij li Lub Ib Hlis 2022 tau poob ntau dua 22% los ntawm nws qhov siab 2022. 

Canadian cov khoom lag luam muaj kev sib raug zoo rau cov khoom muag vim tias cov peev txheej loj hauv lub tebchaws muaj. Yog li ntawd, ntau lub tuam txhab hauv kev lag luam tau thim rov qab xyoo no. Piv txwv li, Vermillion Energy Tshuag tau poob los ntawm ntau dua 21% xyoo no, ua rau nws yog lub tuam txhab TSX phem tshaj plaws. 

Ib yam li ntawd, MAG Silver, Precision Drilling, Osisko Mining, Arc Resources, thiab Thawj Majestic Silver tau poob tag nrho los ntawm ob tus lej. Hmoov tsis zoo, cov khoom lag luam supercycle uas peb tau ntsib thaum muaj kev sib kis zoo li yuav xaus. Yog li ntawd, cov no stocks muaj ntau chav downward mus.

Qhov zoo tshaj plaws TSX index constituents xyoo no yog Bausch Health, Ats Corp, Lithium Americas, Blackberry, thiab Shopify. Tag nrho cov shares no tau nce ntau dua 30%. Khw Tshaj Tawm Tshuag tau dhia ntau dua 30% xyoo no. Txawm li cas los xij, cov khoom lag luam poob rau lub lim tiam no tom qab lub tuam txhab tau tshaj tawm cov lus qhia tsis muaj zog rau pem hauv ntej.

TSX Composite Index forecast

TSX chart by TradingView

Hloov mus rau daim ntawv qhia hnub, peb pom tias TSX qhov ntsuas tau rov qab los ntawm nws qhov qis tshaj plaws nyob rau hauv 2022. Raws li txoj kev, nws tau tsim ib lub taub hau thiab lub xub pwg nyom inverted, uas feem ntau yog ib qho kos npe bullish. Tam sim no nws tau nyob ntawm neckline ntawm tus qauv no. Qhov ntsuas tseem tseem nyob saum 50-lub sijhawm txav nruab nrab.

Kev saib ze dua qhia tau hais tias tus txheeb ze lub zog Index (RSI) tau tsim ib qho kev sib txawv ntawm kev sib txawv. Yog li ntawd, kuv xav tias qhov Performance index yuav txuas ntxiv sib sau ua ke thiab tom qab ntawd muaj kev tawm tsam ntawm lub hlis tom ntej. Qhov kev pom no tsuas yog lees paub yog tias nws txav siab tshaj qhov tseem ceeb tiv thaiv ntawm $ 21,000.