Treasury bond yields poob: nws txhais li cas ua ntej ntawm cov neeg siv khoom cov ntaub ntawv

Bond yields poob rau hnub Monday raws li kev lag luam tos cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb ntawm cov neeg siv khoom cov ntaub ntawv uas tuaj yeem txiav txim siab tus nqi uas Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav nce cov paj laum thaum nws ntsib. Fed yuav tso cov neeg siv khoom tus nqi Performance index cov ntaub ntawv rau hnub Tuesday, nrog cov neeg tsim khoom tus nqi xav tau rau hnub Wednesday.

Treasury yield bonds thim rov qab  

10-xyoo Treasury TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.278%, poob 1.1 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau kev lag luam ntawm 3.303%, thaum 30-xyoo Treasury TMUBMUSD30Y, 3.431% tawm los, tseem tsis hloov pauv ntawm 3.45%. Ob xyoos Treasury TMUBMUSD02Y, 3.515% tawm los yog nqis 1.6 hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 3.544%. Lub kaum xyoo mus rau ob xyoos sib kis o tsis zoo 24 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus qhia tias cov txiaj ntsig yuav nyob twj ywm inverted, uas qhia txog kev lag luam poob qis.

Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?

Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.

New York Fed's Survey of Consumer Expectations yuav yog lub hom phiaj rau kev lag luam. Daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas qhia txog cov neeg siv khoom xav tau tus nqi thiab kev nce nqi li cas rau vaj tse, roj, khoom noj, thiab kev kawm. Ib yam li ntawd, daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas muaj kev pom txog kev ua haujlwm thiab kev loj hlob ntawm cov nyiaj tau los.

Tus nqi nce nqi tau qeeb, tab sis cov neeg siv khoom tseem tawm tsam

Raws li cov ntaub ntawv tsis ntev los no, kev nce nqi zoo li qeeb, tab sis cov neeg siv khoom txuas ntxiv tawm tsam. Lub platform nyiaj txiag tus kheej WalletHub qhia tias ntau dua 30% ntawm cov neeg Asmeskas tawm tsam them nqi hluav taws xob.

Txawm hais tias tus neeg siv khoom lag luam tus nqi qis dua nws qhov siab tshaj plaws, lub Xya Hli daim duab ntawm 8.5% xyoo-rau-xyoo zoo li yuav luag 40-xyoo siab thiab ntau dua li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve lub hom phiaj 2%. Raws li qhov tshwm sim, Fed tau hais txog qhov xav tau kev ua phem rau hauv cov nqi qis qis hauv lub lis piam tsis ntev los no.

Tus Thawj Fwm Tsav Tebchaws Meskas ntawm High-Frequency Economics Rubeela Farooqi tau hais tias tom qab Fed cov tub ceev xwm tau tshaj tawm cov lus tsis txaus ntseeg txog kev nce nqi, lawv tau hais tias qhov kev cia siab ntawm txoj cai hloov pauv vim kev txhawj xeeb txog kev loj hlob tsis raug. Nws hais ntxiv tias qhov tsom mus rau lub lim tiam no yuav yog lub Yim Hli CPI tus lej, tab sis nws tsis paub meej tias FOMC yuav tsis nce cov paj laum los ntawm 75 cov ntsiab lus hauv lub lim tiam tom ntej.

Hamrick: Fed xav tau tus lej ntsuas hauv thaj chaw txwv

Raws li cov kws tshuaj ntsuam, qhov kev thim rov qab sai sai hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov nqi roj tuaj yeem yog qhov tseem ceeb rau CPI daim duab los qhia txog qhov poob qis hauv lub Yim Hli. Tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas nyiaj txiag Mark Hamrick tau hais tias kev nce nqi tseem ceeb tseem nyob ntawm 6%, txhais tau tias Fed yuav tsum tau ceev faj.

Hamrick hais tias:

Lawv xav coj lawv tus lej ntsuas mus rau hauv thaj chaw txwv thiab tuav nws nyob ntawd ntev dua qhov uas Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell tau hais tias yuav tsum yog 'cov pov thawj tsim nyog tias kev nce nqi nce mus, zoo ib yam nrog kev nce nqi rov qab mus rau 2 feem pua.