Ib qho kev tso tseg Lavxias teb sab howitzer hauv Ukraine.
Ukrainian Defense Ministry yees duab
Raws li Russia txoj kev tsov rog dav dua hauv Ukraine ze rau nws lub hlis thib ob, Kremlin tseem tsis tau daws nws cov teeb meem tseem ceeb ntawm tub rog.
Cov tub rog Lavxias tsis muaj cov tub rog txaus thiab muab cov tsheb thauj khoom kom yeej kev ua tsov rog peb sab hauv Ukraine sab qab teb, sab hnub tuaj thiab sab qaum teb. Tam sim no nws tab tom sib ntaus ntawm ob sab pem hauv ntej - sab qab teb thiab sab hnub tuaj. Tab sis nws tau txais txawm tias tsawg dua infantry thiab tsheb thauj khoom dua li ua ntej.
Yog li thaum cov tub rog Lavxias tuaj yeem ntaus lub qhov nyob rau sab nraud Ukrainian tiv thaiv, tso cai rau ob peb lub tank battalions yob los ntawm, tsis muaj cov tub rog ko taw txaus los tiv thaiv cov tso tsheb hlau luam. thiab tiv thaiv cov flanks ntawm kev ua ntej. Hais tsis muaj dab tsi ntawm kev ruaj ntseg cov kab xa khoom tsis yooj yim thaum lawv ncav cuag cov qhab nia lossis ntau pua mais ntawm cov tsheb ciav hlau ze tshaj plaws.
Logistical tsis ua hauj lwm doomed Russia txoj kev sim mus ncig Kyiv nyob rau hauv thawj lub hlis ntawm tsov rog. Cov kev tsis sib haum xeeb zoo ib yam, ua rau hnyav zuj zus los ntawm kev tsis txaus siab infantry, tuaj yeem ua rau Russia qhov kev tawm tsam sab hnub tuaj, ib yam nkaus.
Tom qab poob ntau txhiab lub tso tsheb hlau luam thiab lwm lub tsheb thiab muaj peev xwm muaj kaum tawm txhiab tus tub rog, Kremlin pib thaum lub Peb Hlis lig yanked nws cov pab pawg tub rog sib ntaus sib tua los ntawm Kiev suburbs.
Cov BTGs uas tseem tuaj yeem sib ntaus tau pib txoj kev tsheb ciav hlau ntev mus rau sab qab teb sab hnub tuaj ntawm Ukraine mus rau cais tawm-tswj Donbas, qhov chaw lawv koom nrog ib tug tshiab Russian offensive Tawm tsam sab qab teb los ntawm sab qaum teb ntug ntawm Donbas, hla qhov qhib dav dav ntawm sab hnub tuaj Ukraine, mus rau qhov puas tsuaj ntawm Mariupol ntawm ntug hiav txwv dej Azov.
Lub tswv yim yog rov qab thiab txiav tawm cov tub rog Ukrainian-ntau ntau txhiab tus tub rog nyob rau hauv ib lub kaum os los yog li ntawd brigades-raws txoj kab ntawm kev tswj nyob rau sab hnub poob Donbas. Tab sis cov neeg Lavxias tau ua tiav me ntsis txij li qhov kev tawm tsam ntawd pib rau hnub Tuesday.
"Kuv hais tias, 'thov los ntawm sab qaum teb Donbas mus rau sab qab teb,'" tus neeg ua haujlwm tsis muaj npe Pentagon qhia reporters hnub Wednesday. "Qhov ntawd yog yam peb tab tom pom tam sim no tab sis cov neeg Ukrainians tab tom tawm tsam, lawv tau tsoo, lawv tsis yog - koj paub, lawv tsis yog tsuas yog tso tseg thiab cia cov neeg Lavxias, koj paub, txav mus. ”
Paradoxically, ua txhaum los ntawm Ukrainians 'kev tiv thaiv kab yuav ua tau teeb tsa cov xwm txheej rau Russians 'qhov kawg swb, Igor Girkin, ib tug qub tub rog nyob rau hauv Russia lub FSB txawj ntse lub koom haum thiab ib tug tseem ceeb Lavxias teb sab ultranationalist, piav qhia ntawm Telegram social-media platform.
"Lawv puas tuaj yeem sib sau ua ke sai sai hauv qhov sib sib zog nqus rov qab ntawm Ukrainian pab pawg, tsim ... ob lub nplhaib thaiv?" Girkin nug. "Nrog kev lees paub tias cov yeeb ncuab yuav tsis tawg tam sim ntawd thiab tsim lawv tus kheej 'cauldrons' rau cov neeg tawm tsam?"
Hauv lwm lo lus, muaj peev xwm kwv yees li 75 tus neeg Lavxias teb sab BTGs - nqis los ntawm 100 thaum pib ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog - nce cov tub rog txaus thiab tso tsheb hlau luam los ntawm lub qhov muaj peev xwm hauv Ukraine cov kab los tsim cov phab ntsa ntawm cov tub rog thoob plaws thaj tsam li 100 mais ntawm sab qaum teb Donbas mus rau Lavxias-tswj thaj chaw sab nraud Mariupol?
Tsuas yog ib txoj kab nruj sab hnub poob yuav ua kom tiav qhov thaiv ntawm Ukrainian brigades nyob rau sab hnub tuaj - thiab tsuas yog Russia txoj kab sab hnub tuaj kuj tuav.
Yog hais tias Lavxias teb sab quab yuam sim lub flanking maneuver falters, nws txaus ntshai nws tus kheej tau flanked thiab txiav tawm los ntawm nws cov khoom siv. Yog tias qhov ntawd tshwm sim, rov ua dua ntawm kev sib tw sab qaum teb tuaj yeem ua raws. Uas yog, Lavxias teb sab battalions stalling tawm thiab khiav tawm ntawm zaub mov, roj thiab mos txwv. Lub sijhawm ntawd Ukrainian tub rog yuav xaiv lawv cov khoom sib cais kom txog rau thaum Kremlin tshaj tawm "yeej" thiab xaj kom thim rov qab.
"Kuv qhia tsis ntseeg," Girkin sau txog cov neeg Lavxias txoj kev muaj feem ua tiav. “Vim li cas? Kuv teb: vim qhov no yuav tsum tau a ntau ntawm cov units thiab formations, tsim tsis tau tsuas yog kom tawg los ntawm, tab sis kuj yuav ruaj khov nyob rau hauv lub cheeb tsam. Raws li ib tug loj tus naj npawb ntawm cov khoom siv. "
Tab sis muaj tsawg heev infantry thiab logisticians nyob rau hauv lub pre-ua tsov ua rog Lavxias teb sab tub rog - tsis txaus uas tau pom tseeb nyob rau hauv lub peb hlis ntuj raws li Lavxias teb sab tso tsheb hlau luam nce siab yam tsis muaj kev tiv thaiv ... mus txog rau thaum lawv khiav tawm ntawm roj thiab lawv cov neeg ua hauj lwm tso tseg lawv. Qhov kev poob qis yog qhov loj dua niaj hnub no, tom qab BTGs pem hauv ntej thiab lawv cov pab pawg txhawb nqa tau raug kev txom nyem ntau txhiab tus neeg raug mob hauv thawj 50-ntxiv hnub sib ntaus sib tua.
Girkin piav qhia tias "Yog tias tus yeeb ncuab muaj ob peb lub zog, kev tiv thaiv kev sib txuas lus yuav raug tsis quav ntsej ib nrab," Girkin piav qhia. "Tab sis cov tub rog ntawm Ukraine, ua tsaug rau kev txhawb nqa, twb muaj cov tub rog txaus - piv rau peb cov tub rog hauv kev ua yeeb yam. "
Ntxiv rau qhov teeb meem ntawm thaj chaw ntawm Russia. Raws li tus tiv thaiv, Kyiv cov tub rog muaj qhov zoo ntawm cov kab sab hauv. Yeej, nws yog sib ntaus sib tua nyob rau hauv lub arc. Lavxias teb sab sib ntaus sib tua nrog lub sab nraum tib arc, uas yog ntev dua.
Thaum ib pab tub rog muaj cov kab sab hauv, nws cov khoom siv luv luv. Thiab yog hais tias lub zog ntawm sab hauv los nyob rau hauv strain, nws yeej ib txwm retreat ob peb mais thiab ntxiv shorten nws cov kab, trading chaw rau lub sij hawm thiab yuam tus attacker mus txuas ntxiv txawm nyob deb.
Ib tug attacker nrog ib tug yooj yim zoo dua nyob rau hauv cov tub rog thiab ib tug robust logistical system yuav kov yeej lub tsis zoo ntawm cov kab sab nrauv. Tab sis Russia tiag tiag muaj kwv yees li ntau battalions li Ukraine ua nyob rau hauv tsov rog cheeb tsam thiab, raws li ib tug US official, tsawg dua tso tsheb hlau luam. Thiab Lavxias teb sab logistics tsis zoo dua li lawv tau ib hlis dhau los, thiab tej zaum yuav phem dua.
Girkin rau ib tug txaus siab rau qhov kev muaj tiag, txawm tias Lavxias tus thawj tswj hwm Vladimir Putin tsis ua. "Kuv xav hais tias qhov kev tsis txaus ntawm cov tub rog yuav tsis tso cai rau cov lus txib Lavxias los ua kom muaj kev sib sib zog nqus hauv cheeb tsam ntawm Dnieper [River]," uas cuam tshuam Ukraine los ntawm sab qaum teb mus rau sab qab teb.
Russia mus ua rog nrog ib pab tub rog uas tsawg dhau thiab tsis muaj khoom. Kev txwv tsis pub Ukrainian poob tam sim ntawd - uas tau tshwm sim tsis tau tshwm sim - uas yuav ua rau kev sib tw Lavxias los ntawm hnub ib.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/04/22/too-few-troops-not-enough-supplies-russias-eastern-offensive-could-be-doomed/