Kab lus no pom thawj zaug nyob hauv lub Caij Ntxov Nyuv Luv. Txais Cov Lus Qhia Thaum Sawv Ntxov xa ncaj qha rau koj lub inbox txhua hnub Monday txog Friday thaum 6:30 sawv ntxov ET. Sau npe yuav ua
Friday, Lub Xya hli ntuj 24, 2022
Cov ntawv xov xwm niaj hnub no yog los ntawm Emily McCormick, tus neeg sau xov xwm rau Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag. Ua raws li nws ntawm Twitter.
Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov tub ceev xwm tab tom ua raws li lawv tsab ntawv uas tseem muaj lub qhov rais - txawm li cas los xij - nqaim - rau kev lag luam kom ua tiav qhov muag muag zoo li lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab nce nqi.
Tab sis lub lim tiam no, Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell tau muab qee qhov kev lees paub tias txoj hauv kev ntawm kev txo qis nyiaj txiag thaum ua kom kev lag luam loj hlob tsis tu ncua muaj qee qhov txo qis.
Kev poob nyiaj txiag yog "yeej muaj peev xwm," Powell hais rau Senate Banking Committee rau hnub Wednesday, thaum hais txog qhov no tsis yog lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab "cov txiaj ntsig xav tau" vim nws nce cov paj laum los daws cov nqi nce.
Qee cov kws tshawb fawb, txawm li cas los xij, ntseeg tias tseem muaj txoj hauv kev rau Fed tseem ua tau raws li nws lub hom phiaj "muab tsaws".
Ian Shepherdson, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag ntawm Pantheon Macroeconomics, tau hais txog peb qhov kev sib cav hauv tsab ntawv tsis ntev los no txog yuav ua li cas Fed tuaj yeem sib npaug ntawm kev nce nqi thiab kev pheej hmoo loj hlob. Hauv Shepherdson txoj kev xav, cov nyiaj tau los, kev txuag nyiaj, thiab cov nyiaj ua haujlwm yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm qhov Fed tuaj yeem xa cov koob no.
Shepherdson tau hais tias "Ua ntej, peb xav tias ib feem loj ntawm cov dab neeg tsis sib haum xeeb yuav yog qhov rov ua kom rov zoo dua - los ntawm cov qib siab tshaj plaws - vim feem ntau yog cov khoom lag luam nce ntxiv, tsis xav tau poob," Shepherdson hais. "Qhov ntawd yog qhov sib txawv ntawm zaj dab neeg lig dhau los, thaum cov paj tau los ntawm kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm cov nqi zog nce thiab kev thov poob."
Hauv lwm lo lus, feem ntau ntawm cov ceg ua haujlwm hauv kev txo cov nqi nce tuaj yeem los ntawm cov khoom muag, vim tias cov khw muag khoom thiab cov khoom muag muag tau nce mus rau pre-COVID theem lossis siab dua raws li cov saw saw hlau siab nruab nrab. Qhov no yog qhov sib piv rau cov khoom muag tau nce los ntawm kev xav tau sunken, uas tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev poob qis thiab feem ntau pom ua ntej ntawm kev lag luam poob qis.
Thaum qhov kev thov sab tau pib muag, raws li Philadelphia Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Patrick Harker hais rau Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag lub lim tiam no, Powell qhia meej tias qhov kev thov qis dua txoj kev loj hlob tsis tas yuav tsum muaj kev sib txuas nrog kev lag luam poob qis.
"Kuv tab tom sim txo qis kev xav tau kev loj hlob, peb tsis paub tias qhov kev thov tiag tiag yuav tsum poob qis, uas yuav yog kev lag luam poob qis," Powell hais rau Senate Banking Committee hnub Wednesday.
Qhov thib ob, Shepherdson tau hais tias tseem muaj kev tuav nyiaj txiag ntiag tug tseem yuav "muab lub ncoo uas tsis tau muaj dua los tiv thaiv kev cuam tshuam los ntawm kev nce nqi khoom noj thiab lub zog, kev poob hauv khw muag khoom, thiab - sai sai - kev kho cov nqi tsev."
Cov lag luam 'nyiaj ntsuab ntau tshaj yog kwv yees li $ 300 nphom nrog cov nuj nqis them nqi tseem "pob zeb hauv qab," Shepherdson tau hais tias, ua rau rooj plaub rau kev siv peev nyiaj mus txuas ntxiv.
"Thaum kawg," Shepherdson tau hais tias, "qhov nruab nrab ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm cov nyiaj ua haujlwm nyob rau lub hli tsis ntev los no tau ua rau muaj kev poob qis ntawm cov nqi tseem ceeb, piv rau cov dab neeg lig dhau los, uas pom cov nyiaj tau los sai dua."
Hauv Shepherdson txoj kev xav, cov xwm txheej no yuav ua rau muaj kev nce nqi luam tawm hauv lub hlis tom ntej, thiab tias los ntawm Fed lub rooj sib tham lub Cuaj Hlis, cov tub ua lag luam yuav pom cov kev pheej hmoo no tsis tshua muaj mob.
Shepherdson tau hais tias "Kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam yuav zoo li me me hauv peb lub hlis twg," Shepherdson tau hais tias, "tab sis peb cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb tseem ceeb tias kev lag luam tsis zoo yuav tshwm sim."
Ntau tus Shepherdson cov phooj ywg ntawm Wall Street, txawm li cas los xij, tab tom loj hlob tsis ntseeg tias kev lag luam yuav zam tau. Lub lim tiam dhau los ib leeg, Goldman Sachs nce nws qhov tshwm sim rau 30% dhau xyoo tom ntej - nce los ntawm 15% yav dhau los - thaum Citigroup tam sim no pom 50% txoj hauv kev ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb.
"Nws yog, hmoov tsis, tsis xis nyob ua tau tias Fed yuav slam ntawm lub nres thiab thawb peb mus rau hauv kev lag luam," economist Mohamed El-Erian: koj puas xav tau ntau tus thwjtim? hais rau Yahoo Finance Live hauv kev xam phaj hnub Thursday.
Txawm li cas los xij, tsis yog tag nrho cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag tseem tau thim rov qab cov kev ntshai no.
Ntawm ib sab, kev ua lag luam vaj tsev nyob tau poob, thiab Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev tsim khoom thiab kev pabcuam sector kev yuav cov thawj tswj hwm 'indexes tau deteriorated mus rau ntau lub hlis qis. Tab sis kev lag luam kev ua haujlwm tseem muaj zog, nrog rau cov ntawv thov tsis muaj haujlwm tseem nyob ze ze rau theem ua ntej muaj kev sib kis, thiab tus nqi poob haujlwm tuav nws qis tshaj txij thaum Lub Ob Hlis 2020.
"Lub zog ntawm cov nyiaj them poob haujlwm kev loj hlob, uas yog qhov nruab nrab ze li 400,000 ib hlis twg, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyuaj rau square nrog cov neeg thov tias kev lag luam poob qis yuav tshwm sim," Capital Economics economists tau sau rau hauv tsab ntawv rau hnub Thursday.
"Tau lees paub, nrog kev nce nqi nce ntxiv, uas zoo li yuav ua rau Fed nce cov paj laum hnyav, suav nrog lwm qhov 75bp [qhov tseem ceeb] nce mus rau lub Xya Hli," lawv hais ntxiv. "Tab sis nrog qhov kev thov hauv qab tseem muaj zog, kev lag luam qeeb qeeb tseem yog qhov yuav tshwm sim ntau dua."
Saib Dab Tsi Hnub No
Cov txheej txheem nyiaj txiag
University of Michigan Kev Xav, Lub Rau Hli kawg (50.2 xav tau, 50.2 hauv cov ntawv luam ua ntej)
University of Michigan 1-Xyoo Inflation, Lub Rau Hli kawg (5.4% xav tau, 5.4% hauv kev luam tawm ua ntej)
Tsev kawm ntawv ntawm Michigan 5-10-Xyoo Inflation, Lub Rau Hli kawg (3.3% xav tau, 3.3% hauv kev luam tawm ua ntej)
Kev Muag Khoom Hauv Tsev Tshiab, Tsib Hlis (590,000 xav tau, 591,000 nyob rau lub hli dhau los)
Kev Muag Khoom Hauv Tsev Tshiab, lub hli dhau ib hlis, Tsib Hlis (-0.2% xav tau, -16.6% lub hli dhau los)
Nyiaj tau
Cov lag luam ua ntej
Yahoo Hais Txog Nyiaj Txiag
-
Nyeem cov xov xwm tshiab nyiaj txiag thiab lag luam los ntawm Yahoo Finance
Rub tawm Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag app rau Kua or Android
Ua raws li Yahoo Finance Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Flipboard, LinkedIn, Thiab YouTube
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morning-brief-yahoo-finance-june-24-100026236.html