Tojsiab
Lub Tsev Democrats 'kev nrhiav nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb ntawm caj npab tau hais txog 10 qhov kev sib tw hauv cov cheeb tsam uas qhib lossis cov Democrats xav tias lawv muaj lub sijhawm los hloov, txheeb xyuas lawv tias "tseem ceeb" rau lawv txoj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev tuav mus rau feem coob ntawm cov ntawv xa mus rau cov neeg pub dawb rau hnub Friday.
WASHINGTON, DC - Lub Cuaj Hli 22: Tus Thawj Coj ntawm Lub Tsev Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) hais lus thaum nws lub lim tiam … [+]
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Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb
Nrog 18 hnub kom txog rau thaum kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab, Lub Tsev Feem Ntau PAC tau hais rau cov neeg pub nyiaj hauv kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag ntxiv, "peb tuaj yeem yeej yog tias peb muaj peev txheej peb xav tau hauv kev sib tw zaum kawg" hauv ib qho memo uas qhia txog kaum haiv neeg no:
California 13: Tom qab rov ua dua tshiab, Rep. Barbara Lee (D) tab tom khiav hauv 12 lub rooj sib tham hauv cheeb tsam, tawm hauv Central Valley lub rooj zaum qhib. California Assemblymember Adam Grey (D) thiab Republican tus tswv John Duarte raug khi ntawm 37% hauv ib lub July poll ntawm 400 tus neeg pov npav los ntawm RMG Kev Tshawb Fawb. Hauv paus tsev kawm ntawv yog rated ib toss-up los ntawm RealClearPolitics, tab sis pov npav rau Thawj Tswj Hwm Joe Biden los ntawm 12 cov ntsiab lus hauv 2020.
Illinois 17: Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Cheri Bustos (D), tus qub Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee lub rooj zaum, tsis khiav los xaiv tsa dua. Democrat Eric Sorensen, thawj tus neeg sib tw thiab yav dhau los TV huab cua, coj Republican Esther Joy King los ntawm cuaj lub ntsiab lus hauv ib lub Cuaj hlis poll los ntawm Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling. Thaum lub cheeb tsam leans Republican, Raws li RealClearPolitics, nws tau pov npav rau Biden los ntawm yim lub ntsiab lus hauv 2020. King, tus kws lij choj, poob rau Bustos los ntawm plaub lub ntsiab lus hauv 2020.
North Carolina 13: Republican Rep. Ted Budd lub koog tsev kawm ntawv qhib thaum nws khiav tawm tsam Democrat Cheri Beasley rau lub rooj zaum Senate. Xeev Sen. Wiley Nickel (D) coj Republican Bo Hines, yav dhau los North Carolina State football player pom zoo los ntawm Thawj Tswj Hwm Donald Trump, los ntawm ob lub ntsiab lus hauv ib lub rau hli ntuj los ntawm Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Cheeb tsam leans Republican, Raws li RealClearPolitics, thiab tau pov npav rau Biden los ntawm cov npoo me me hauv 2020.
New Mexico 02: Qhov no yog lwm cheeb tsam Democrats muaj kev txhaj tshuaj ntawm flipping. Hauv ib lub hlis ntuj nqeg ua los ntawm Ntiaj teb no Strategy Group sawv cev ntawm Democrat Gabe Vasquez, nws tuav ob lub ntsiab lus ua tus thawj coj sawv cev Yvette Herrell (R). Cook Political Report ntsuas lub koog tsev kawm ntawv li leaning ib point Republican, tab sis xaiv cov haiv neeg raws li ib tug pov-up.
New York, NY 22: Tom qab lub koog tsev kawm ntawv tam sim no sawv cev los ntawm Republican Rep. Claudia Tenney tau rov ua dua hauv lub xeev cov txheej txheem hloov chaw, nws tau tshaj tawm cov phiaj xwm los khiav hauv cheeb tsam 24th, tawm hauv nws lub rooj qhib. Democrat Francis Conole vam tias yuav tig lub rooj zaum los ntawm kev ntaus Republican Brandon Williams. Kev tshawb fawb Siena College tsis ntev los no qhia cov Democrats tom qab tsib lub ntsiab lus.
Ohio 01: Democrat Greg Landsman tau nce peb lub ntsiab lus dhau los ntawm Rep. Steve Chabot (R) hauv ib qho kev ntsuam xyuas sab hauv ua rau Democrat txoj kev sib tw los ntawm Impact Research lub lim tiam no. Cheeb tsam leans Republican, Raws li RealClearPolitics.
Ohio 13: Cov Democrats tab tom vying kom tswj hwm cheeb tsam tam sim no sawv cev los ntawm Rep. Tim Ryan (D), uas tau raug kaw nyob rau hauv ib qho ntawm cov neeg saib xyuas kev sib tw Senate hauv lub tebchaws nrog Republican JD Vance. Lub Xeev Rep. Emilia Sykes (D) tab tom ntsib thawj tus neeg sib tw, Republican Madison Gesiotto Gilbert, hauv kev sib tw, uas yog rated ib toss-up los ntawm Cook Political Report.
Oregon 06: Republican Mike Erickson tab tom khiav tawm tsam Xeev Tus Neeg Sawv Cev Andrea Salinas (D) hauv cheeb tsam uas tau tsim tshiab no pov tseg. Republican lub tuam txhab pov npav Cyngal pom Erickson coj kev sib tw los ntawm xya lub ntsiab lus hauv kev tshawb fawb tawm thaum Lub Yim Hli.
Pennsylvania 17: Lub koog tsev kawm ntawv, tam sim no sawv cev los ntawm Democrat Conor Lamb, uas tab tom khiav rau Senate, leans Democratic, Raws li RealClearPolitics. Democrat Chris Deluzio muaj rau lub ntsiab lus ua tus thawj coj Republican Jeremy Shaffer hauv ib qho kev ntsuam xyuas sab hauv tso tawm ua ntej lub hli no rau Deluzio txoj kev sib tw los ntawm Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies.
Txoj Kev Tseem Ceeb
"Cov neeg ywj pheej muaj cov neeg sib tw muaj zog thiab cov lus zoo dua li GOP cov neeg phem uas xav paub ntau ntxiv txog kev hla kev rho menyuam tawm hauv tebchaws ntau dua li txo tus nqi rau cov tsev neeg Amerian thiab ua rau peb txoj kev lag luam mus tom ntej," Lub Tsev Feem Ntau PAC tau sau rau hnub Friday lub memo.
Contra
Republicans muaj 7 ntawm 10 txoj hauv kev los tswj lub Tsev, uas Democrats tswj nrog 222-213 feem ntau, raws li FiveThirtyEight txoj cai.
Tus lej Loj
48. Qhov feem pua ntawm cov neeg pov npav hauv lub nroog viav vias uas tau hais tias lawv yuav pov npav rau Republican hauv tsis ntev los no CNN/SSRS kev xaiv tsa, piv rau 43% uas tau hais tias lawv yuav rov qab los ntawm Democrats khiav hauv lawv lub tsev hais plaub.
ntxiv nyeem ntawv
Lub Tsev Dem super PAC ua kev thov nyiaj lig (Ua kasmoos)
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2022/10/21/these-are-the-10-races-democrats-view-as-critical-in-their-bid-to-maintain- control-of-the-house/