Koj yuav hais li cas yog tias koj tau qhia txog lub tuam txhab uas nws cov khoom lag luam tau ua lag luam qis dua rau cov nyiaj tau los ntawm ib feem ntau dua li S&P 500 Index? Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, nws tseem xav tias yuav nce EPS ze li peb zaug sai li qhov ntsuas ntsuas ntsuas mus txog 2023.
Qhov ntawd yuav yog Huntington Bancshares Inc.
HBAN,
-0.12%,
uas yog nyob ze rau sab saum toj ntawm lub vijtsam ntawm cov txhab nyiaj hauv txhab nyiaj, hauv qab no.
Qee lub tsev txhab nyiaj tau zoo dua rau kev nce paj paj ntau dua li lwm tus. Cov tsev txhab nyiaj no raug suav hais tias "cov cuab yeej cuab tam muaj txiaj ntsig," vim tias lawv cov nyiaj qiv tau rov ua dua sai dua li lawv cov nyiaj tso cia.
Sib piv rau S&P 500
Lub S&P 500 Cov Lus Qhia
SPX,
+ 0.92%
kev lag luam ntawm tus nqi pem hauv ntej-rau-nyiaj tau los piv ntawm 20.6, raws li qhov hnyav tag nrho cov kev pom zoo cov nyiaj tau los-ib-kev kwv yees rau 12 lub hlis tom ntej ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas los ntawm FactSet.
Qhov ntawd yog siab, tab sis nws tau poob. Nov yog daim ntawv qhia uas qhia txog kev txav ntawm S&P 500's forward P/E nrog rau cov ntawm Invesco KBW Bank ETF
KWB,
+ 0.87%
thiab Invesco KBW Regional Banking ETF
KBWR,
+ 0.19%
:
KBWB taug qab KBW Nasdaq Bank Index
BKX,
+ 0.88%,
uas yog tsim los ntawm 24 ntawm cov tsev txhab nyiaj loj tshaj plaws hauv Asmeskas, tsis suav nrog cov tuam txhab peev nyiaj Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
GS,
+ 0.97%
thiab Morgan Stanley
Ms,
+ 1.72%.
KBWR taug qab KBW Nasdaq Regional Banking Index
KRX,
+ 0.22%,
uas muaj 50 cov khoom lag luam hauv cheeb tsam Asmeskas cov tsev txhab nyiaj uas tsis suav nrog BKX.
Raws li koj tuaj yeem pom ntawm daim ntawv qhia, ob pawg ntawm cov tsev txhab nyiaj lag luam qis dua S&P 500 Index rau pem hauv ntej P / E. Lawv feem ntau ua. Thiab thaum tag nrho peb pawg ua lag luam siab dua lawv qhov nruab nrab 10-xyoo P / E, cov nyhuv no tsis tshua muaj suab nrov rau cov tsev txhab nyiaj:
| | Ticker | Tam sim no rau pem hauv ntej P/E | 10-xyoo nruab nrab rau pem hauv ntej P / E | Kev ntsuas tam sim no rau 10-xyoo nruab nrab | Kev ntsuas tam sim no rau S&P 500 | 10-xyoo tus nqi nruab nrab rau S&P 500 |
| Invesco KBW Bank ETF | KWB,
+ 0.87% | 13.53 | 11.89 | 114% | 66% | 70% |
| Invesco KBW Regional Banking ETF | KBWR,
+ 0.19% | 14.89 | 14.28 | 104% | 72% | 85% |
| S&P 500 Cov Lus Qhia | SPX,
+ 0.92% | 20.60 | 16.88 | 122% | | |
| Source: FactSet |
Cov tsev txhab nyiaj loj dua li ib pab pawg nyiam ua lag luam li ntawm 70% ntawm S&P 500's forward P/E valuation. Txawm hais tias KBWB tau xa rov qab 38% xyoo dhau los, nws tseem ua lag luam qis me ntsis, txheeb ze rau S&P 500, dua li niaj zaus ntawm lub hauv paus no.
Tib yam tsis tuaj yeem hais rau cov tsev txhab nyiaj me me hauv cheeb tsam, nrog KBWR kev lag luam ntawm 85% ntawm S&P 500's forward P / E tus nqi - siab dua nws qhov nruab nrab 10 xyoo ntawm 72%.
Feem ntau, ETFs yog ib txoj hauv kev zoo rau cov tub ua lag luam los ua cov lag luam sib txawv. Tom qab ntawd ib zaug ntxiv, qee lub tsev txhab nyiaj yuav tsum nce lawv cov nyiaj tau los sai dua li lwm tus thaum cov paj laum nce.
Tam sim no peb tab tom pib ntawm qhov uas yuav dhau los ua lub voj voog ntev ntawm kev nce nqi paj laum raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve hloov txoj cai los tawm tsam kev nce nqi, tom qab txhawb tsoomfwv txoj kev siv zog los txhawb kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam thaum muaj tus kab mob sib kis.
Fed yuav xaus nws qhov kev yuav khoom tshwj xeeb hauv lub Peb Hlis, uas yuav ua rau muaj kev nyuaj siab ntxiv rau cov paj laum mus sij hawm ntev. Lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab tseem xav tias yuav nce tus nqi luv luv ntau zaus xyoo no.
Cov paj laum nce siab txhais tau hais tias cov tsev txhab nyiaj yuav tuaj yeem nce tus nqi uas lawv them rau ntawm cov kab qiv nyiaj rov qab. Cov qiv nyiaj lag luam feem ntau muaj cov ntsiab lus luv luv thiab tseem zoo li yuav rov ua dua tshiab - cov no yuav rov ua dua ntawm tus nqi siab dua, nce nyiaj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj. Lub caij no, cov tsev txhab nyiaj raws li ib pab pawg tau raug tshem tawm nrog nyiaj ntsuab, uas txhais tau tias lawv yuav muaj kev ntxhov siab me ntsis kom nce tus nqi lawv them rau cov nyiaj tso cia.
Kev tshuaj xyuas cov tsev txhab nyiaj
Pib nrog ib pab pawg ntawm 76 lub tsev txhab nyiaj - 24 hauv KBW Nasdaq Bank Index, 50 hauv KBW Nasdaq Regional Banking Index, ntxiv rau Goldman Sachs thiab Morgan Stanley - peb tau saib ntawm kev pom zoo kwv yees rau cov nyiaj tau los ntawm ib feem ntawm 2021 txog 2023 los suav ib qho. Kev loj hlob txhua xyoo (CAGR) rau ob xyoos.
Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas cov khoom lag luam uas ua haujlwm rau cov tuam txhab brokerage muaj kev lig kev cai ntawm kev ua raws li lawv cov kev ntsuam xyuas thiab tus nqi hom phiaj ntawm 12 lub hlis kwv yees. Tab sis nyob rau hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom rau cov neeg siv khoom thaum Lub Ib Hlis 11, Christopher Marinac, tus thawj coj ntawm kev tshawb fawb ntawm Janney Montgomery Scott, tau sau tias "qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce paj paj ntau dua yuav muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau cov tsev txhab nyiaj hauv 2023 tshaj li 2022 vim lub sij hawm ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve txoj cai hloov pauv. thiab qhov tseeb rov pib dua ntawm cov tsev txhab nyiaj qiv nyiaj thiab kev xa tawm ntawm cov nyiaj ntsuab thiab cov nyiaj tau los. "
Yog li qhov no yog ob xyoos zaj dab neeg, tsawg kawg, thaum Wall Street qhov kev ntaus nqi thiab cov hom phiaj ntawm tus nqi, thiab kev tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag, feem ntau yog npaj rau lub sijhawm luv dua.
Ntawm 76 cov khoom lag luam hauv qhov screen, cov 14 no yuav tsum ua tiav 10% (thov sib npaug) EPS CAGR lossis siab dua los ntawm 2021 txog 2023:
| Bank | Ticker | txoj kev xav | Xa P / E | Ob xyoos kwv yees EPS CAGR | Est. PEB – 2021 | Est. PEB – 2022 | Est. PEB – 2023 |
| Cadence Bank | CADE,
+ 0.54% | Tug, Mo. | 20.5 | 35.7% | $1.69 | $2.56 | $3.12 |
| Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | HBAN,
-0.12% | Columbus, Ohio | 13.0 | 25.9% | $0.96 | $1.38 | $1.52 |
| Sau Npe Txhab Nyiaj Txiag | SBNY,
+ 2.11% | New York | 21.2 | 23.9% | $14.67 | $17.60 | $22.53 |
| Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | EBC,
+ 0.23% | Boston | 20.8 | 23.1% | $0.96 | $1.12 | $1.45 |
| Kev koom tes ntawm Xeev Street | STT,
+ 1.14% | Boston | 12.7 | 18.2% | $7.32 | $8.51 | $10.23 |
| Bank ntawm New York Mellon Corporation | BK,
+ 0.43% | New York | 14.4 | 16.8% | $4.16 | $4.64 | $5.67 |
| Western Alliance Bancorp: koj puas xav tau ntau tus thwjtim? | WAL,
+ 4.02% | Phoenix | 12.3 | 14.2% | $8.66 | $9.76 | $11.28 |
| Northern Trust Corporation | NTSE,
+ 1.83% | Chicago | 17.6 | 13.6% | $7.08 | $7.66 | $9.13 |
| New York Community Bancorp, Inc. | NYAB,
+ 0.61% | Hicksville, NY, USA | 10.9 | 13.5% | $1.21 | $1.25 | $1.56 |
| Thawj koom pheej Bank | FRC,
+ 1.38% | San Francisco | 25.6 | 11.9% | $7.58 | $8.25 | $9.48 |
| Webster Nyiaj Txiag Corporation | WBS,
+ 0.94% | Waterbury, Conn. | 13.5 | 11.7% | $4.58 | $5.04 | $5.71 |
| Valley National Bancorp | VLY,
-0.20% | New York | 12.5 | 10.9% | $1.15 | $1.21 | $1.41 |
| Thawj Bancorp | FBP,
-0.06% | San Juan, Puerto Rico | 11.8 | 10.3% | $1.30 | $1.39 | $1.58 |
| Truist Nyiaj Txiag Corporation | TFC,
+ 0.57% | Charlotte, NC | 14.7 | 9.7% | $4.55 | $4.63 | $5.47 |
| Source: FactSet |
Koj tuaj yeem nyem rau cov zuam rau ntau ntxiv txog txhua lub tuam txhab.
Tom qab ntawd nyeem Tomi Kilgore cov ncauj lus kom ntxaws txog cov ntaub ntawv muaj txiaj ntsig muaj pub dawb ntawm nplooj ntawv MarketWatch quote.
Hauv kev sib piv rau cov tsev txhab nyiaj hauv daim ntawv teev npe, S&P 500 yuav tsum muaj EPS CAGR ntawm 9.4% los ntawm 2021 txog 2023, raws li qhov hnyav tag nrho cov kev pom zoo kwv yees suav nrog FactSet.
Kom paub meej, lub tsev txhab nyiaj yuav tau ua cov npe vim tias cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ntseeg tias nws cov nyiaj qiv thiab cov nqi tso nyiaj sib xyaw yog tsim los siv tshwj xeeb ntawm cov paj laum. Tab sis ib tus neeg loj hlob sai kuj tseem tuaj yeem ua cov npe.
Nov yog daim ntawv teev npe dua, nrog cov nyiaj faib tawm thiab cov ntsiab lus ntawm kev xav ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas los ntawm FactSet:
| Bank | Ticker | Muab cov nyiaj faib tawm | Qhia "yuav" kev ntsuas | Tus nqi kaw - Lub Ib Hlis 10 | Cons. tus nqi hom phiaj | Pauv 12-hli upside tej zaum |
| Cadence Bank | CADE,
+ 0.54% | 2.38% | 72.73% | $33.61 | $36.50 | 8% |
| Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | HBAN,
-0.12% | 3.64% | 42.11% | $17.03 | $18.03 | 6% |
| Sau Npe Txhab Nyiaj Txiag | SBNY,
+ 2.11% | 0.63% | 94.44% | $353.24 | $388.00 | 9% |
| Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | EBC,
+ 0.23% | 1.48% | 83.33% | $21.60 | $24.50 | 12% |
| Kev koom tes ntawm Xeev Street | STT,
+ 1.14% | 2.25% | 61.11% | $101.20 | $115.93 | 13% |
| Bank ntawm New York Mellon Corporation | BK,
+ 0.43% | 2.17% | 57.89% | $62.80 | $67.47 | 7% |
| Western Alliance Bancorp: koj puas xav tau ntau tus thwjtim? | WAL,
+ 4.02% | 1.20% | 92.31% | $117.08 | $144.15 | 19% |
| Northern Trust Corporation | NTSE,
+ 1.83% | 2.17% | 44.44% | $129.25 | $137.81 | 6% |
| New York Community Bancorp, Inc. | NYAB,
+ 0.61% | 5.18% | 57.14% | $13.12 | $15.44 | 15% |
| Thawj koom pheej Bank | FRC,
+ 1.38% | 0.43% | 34.78% | $202.47 | $225.10 | 10% |
| Webster Nyiaj Txiag Corporation | WBS,
+ 0.94% | 2.51% | 80.00% | $63.74 | $67.44 | 5% |
| Valley National Bancorp | VLY,
-0.20% | 3.00% | 62.50% | $14.67 | $15.88 | 8% |
| Thawj Bancorp | FBP,
-0.06% | 2.54% | 100.00% | $15.73 | $17.00 | 7% |
| Truist Nyiaj Txiag Corporation | TFC,
+ 0.57% | 2.94% | 48.00% | $65.29 | $68.24 | 4% |
| Source: FactSet |
Txawm tias cov tsev txhab nyiaj uas nyiam los ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam, cov nqi hom phiaj yuav tsis zoo li txhoj puab heev. Tom qab ntawd ib zaug ntxiv, cov hom phiaj tsuas yog saib ib xyoos xwb, thiab qhov kev nce qib-tus nqi yuav siv sijhawm ntau xyoo los ua si.
Ntau cov khoom lag luam tshuaj ntsuam rau qhov nce-tus nqi ib puag ncig:
- Qhov 'nyiaj nyuj' tus nqi-cov tswv yim no tuaj yeem ua rau koj cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb txawm tias koj ntshai Fed
- 23 cov nyiaj faib tawm uas tuaj yeem dhau qhov kev tshuaj ntsuam nruj no
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-14-bank-stocks-are-in-the-best-position-to-benefit-from-rising-interest-rates-11641918180?siteid=yhoof2&yptr= yahoo
Cov 14 cov txhab nyiaj hauv txhab nyiaj no yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws kom tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm kev nce paj paj
Koj yuav hais li cas yog tias koj tau qhia txog lub tuam txhab uas nws cov khoom lag luam tau ua lag luam qis dua rau cov nyiaj tau los ntawm ib feem ntau dua li S&P 500 Index? Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, nws tseem xav tias yuav nce EPS ze li peb zaug sai li qhov ntsuas ntsuas ntsuas mus txog 2023.
Qhov ntawd yuav yog Huntington Bancshares Inc.
-0.12% ,
HBAN,
uas yog nyob ze rau sab saum toj ntawm lub vijtsam ntawm cov txhab nyiaj hauv txhab nyiaj, hauv qab no.
Qee lub tsev txhab nyiaj tau zoo dua rau kev nce paj paj ntau dua li lwm tus. Cov tsev txhab nyiaj no raug suav hais tias "cov cuab yeej cuab tam muaj txiaj ntsig," vim tias lawv cov nyiaj qiv tau rov ua dua sai dua li lawv cov nyiaj tso cia.
Sib piv rau S&P 500
Lub S&P 500 Cov Lus Qhia
+ 0.92%
SPX,
kev lag luam ntawm tus nqi pem hauv ntej-rau-nyiaj tau los piv ntawm 20.6, raws li qhov hnyav tag nrho cov kev pom zoo cov nyiaj tau los-ib-kev kwv yees rau 12 lub hlis tom ntej ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas los ntawm FactSet.
Qhov ntawd yog siab, tab sis nws tau poob. Nov yog daim ntawv qhia uas qhia txog kev txav ntawm S&P 500's forward P/E nrog rau cov ntawm Invesco KBW Bank ETF
+ 0.87%
+ 0.19%
KWB,
thiab Invesco KBW Regional Banking ETF
KBWR,
:
FactSet
KBWB taug qab KBW Nasdaq Bank Index
+ 0.88% ,
+ 0.97%
+ 1.72% .
BKX,
uas yog tsim los ntawm 24 ntawm cov tsev txhab nyiaj loj tshaj plaws hauv Asmeskas, tsis suav nrog cov tuam txhab peev nyiaj Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
GS,
thiab Morgan Stanley
Ms,
KBWR taug qab KBW Nasdaq Regional Banking Index
+ 0.22% ,
KRX,
uas muaj 50 cov khoom lag luam hauv cheeb tsam Asmeskas cov tsev txhab nyiaj uas tsis suav nrog BKX.
Raws li koj tuaj yeem pom ntawm daim ntawv qhia, ob pawg ntawm cov tsev txhab nyiaj lag luam qis dua S&P 500 Index rau pem hauv ntej P / E. Lawv feem ntau ua. Thiab thaum tag nrho peb pawg ua lag luam siab dua lawv qhov nruab nrab 10-xyoo P / E, cov nyhuv no tsis tshua muaj suab nrov rau cov tsev txhab nyiaj:
Cov tsev txhab nyiaj loj dua li ib pab pawg nyiam ua lag luam li ntawm 70% ntawm S&P 500's forward P/E valuation. Txawm hais tias KBWB tau xa rov qab 38% xyoo dhau los, nws tseem ua lag luam qis me ntsis, txheeb ze rau S&P 500, dua li niaj zaus ntawm lub hauv paus no.
Tib yam tsis tuaj yeem hais rau cov tsev txhab nyiaj me me hauv cheeb tsam, nrog KBWR kev lag luam ntawm 85% ntawm S&P 500's forward P / E tus nqi - siab dua nws qhov nruab nrab 10 xyoo ntawm 72%.
Feem ntau, ETFs yog ib txoj hauv kev zoo rau cov tub ua lag luam los ua cov lag luam sib txawv. Tom qab ntawd ib zaug ntxiv, qee lub tsev txhab nyiaj yuav tsum nce lawv cov nyiaj tau los sai dua li lwm tus thaum cov paj laum nce.
Tam sim no peb tab tom pib ntawm qhov uas yuav dhau los ua lub voj voog ntev ntawm kev nce nqi paj laum raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve hloov txoj cai los tawm tsam kev nce nqi, tom qab txhawb tsoomfwv txoj kev siv zog los txhawb kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam thaum muaj tus kab mob sib kis.
Fed yuav xaus nws qhov kev yuav khoom tshwj xeeb hauv lub Peb Hlis, uas yuav ua rau muaj kev nyuaj siab ntxiv rau cov paj laum mus sij hawm ntev. Lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab tseem xav tias yuav nce tus nqi luv luv ntau zaus xyoo no.
Cov paj laum nce siab txhais tau hais tias cov tsev txhab nyiaj yuav tuaj yeem nce tus nqi uas lawv them rau ntawm cov kab qiv nyiaj rov qab. Cov qiv nyiaj lag luam feem ntau muaj cov ntsiab lus luv luv thiab tseem zoo li yuav rov ua dua tshiab - cov no yuav rov ua dua ntawm tus nqi siab dua, nce nyiaj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj. Lub caij no, cov tsev txhab nyiaj raws li ib pab pawg tau raug tshem tawm nrog nyiaj ntsuab, uas txhais tau tias lawv yuav muaj kev ntxhov siab me ntsis kom nce tus nqi lawv them rau cov nyiaj tso cia.
Kev tshuaj xyuas cov tsev txhab nyiaj
Pib nrog ib pab pawg ntawm 76 lub tsev txhab nyiaj - 24 hauv KBW Nasdaq Bank Index, 50 hauv KBW Nasdaq Regional Banking Index, ntxiv rau Goldman Sachs thiab Morgan Stanley - peb tau saib ntawm kev pom zoo kwv yees rau cov nyiaj tau los ntawm ib feem ntawm 2021 txog 2023 los suav ib qho. Kev loj hlob txhua xyoo (CAGR) rau ob xyoos.
Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas cov khoom lag luam uas ua haujlwm rau cov tuam txhab brokerage muaj kev lig kev cai ntawm kev ua raws li lawv cov kev ntsuam xyuas thiab tus nqi hom phiaj ntawm 12 lub hlis kwv yees. Tab sis nyob rau hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom rau cov neeg siv khoom thaum Lub Ib Hlis 11, Christopher Marinac, tus thawj coj ntawm kev tshawb fawb ntawm Janney Montgomery Scott, tau sau tias "qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce paj paj ntau dua yuav muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau cov tsev txhab nyiaj hauv 2023 tshaj li 2022 vim lub sij hawm ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve txoj cai hloov pauv. thiab qhov tseeb rov pib dua ntawm cov tsev txhab nyiaj qiv nyiaj thiab kev xa tawm ntawm cov nyiaj ntsuab thiab cov nyiaj tau los. "
Yog li qhov no yog ob xyoos zaj dab neeg, tsawg kawg, thaum Wall Street qhov kev ntaus nqi thiab cov hom phiaj ntawm tus nqi, thiab kev tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag, feem ntau yog npaj rau lub sijhawm luv dua.
Ntawm 76 cov khoom lag luam hauv qhov screen, cov 14 no yuav tsum ua tiav 10% (thov sib npaug) EPS CAGR lossis siab dua los ntawm 2021 txog 2023:
Koj tuaj yeem nyem rau cov zuam rau ntau ntxiv txog txhua lub tuam txhab.
Tom qab ntawd nyeem Tomi Kilgore cov ncauj lus kom ntxaws txog cov ntaub ntawv muaj txiaj ntsig muaj pub dawb ntawm nplooj ntawv MarketWatch quote.
Hauv kev sib piv rau cov tsev txhab nyiaj hauv daim ntawv teev npe, S&P 500 yuav tsum muaj EPS CAGR ntawm 9.4% los ntawm 2021 txog 2023, raws li qhov hnyav tag nrho cov kev pom zoo kwv yees suav nrog FactSet.
Kom paub meej, lub tsev txhab nyiaj yuav tau ua cov npe vim tias cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ntseeg tias nws cov nyiaj qiv thiab cov nqi tso nyiaj sib xyaw yog tsim los siv tshwj xeeb ntawm cov paj laum. Tab sis ib tus neeg loj hlob sai kuj tseem tuaj yeem ua cov npe.
Nov yog daim ntawv teev npe dua, nrog cov nyiaj faib tawm thiab cov ntsiab lus ntawm kev xav ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas los ntawm FactSet:
Txawm tias cov tsev txhab nyiaj uas nyiam los ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam, cov nqi hom phiaj yuav tsis zoo li txhoj puab heev. Tom qab ntawd ib zaug ntxiv, cov hom phiaj tsuas yog saib ib xyoos xwb, thiab qhov kev nce qib-tus nqi yuav siv sijhawm ntau xyoo los ua si.
Ntau cov khoom lag luam tshuaj ntsuam rau qhov nce-tus nqi ib puag ncig:
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-14-bank-stocks-are-in-the-best-position-to-benefit-from-rising-interest-rates-11641918180?siteid=yhoof2&yptr= yahoo