Lub Toronto Blue Jays tsis yog Juggernaut ntau xav tias lawv yuav dhau los

Lub neej yav tom ntej tau tshwm sim tsis muaj kev txwv rau Toronto Blue Jays thaum kawg ntawm 2021 lub caij. Txawm hais tias lawv ua tiav 4th hauv AL East, NW nyuam qhuav ploj mus rau qhov kev ua si nrog 91-71 cov ntaub ntawv, cov ntaub ntawv hauv qab batted pob tau qhia ib zaj dab neeg sib txawv. Lub club tau ranked 5th nyob rau hauv kuv lub xyoo kawg pab neeg muaj peev xwm qeb duas, qhov siab tshaj plaws uas tsis yog-playoff pab pawg tau qeb duas txij li thaum kuv pib sau lawv.

Lawv txoj haujlwm tseem ceeb yog cov hluas heev, cov neeg ua haujlwm pitching feature Cy Young yeej Robbie Ray thiab tau muaj zog los ntawm lub caij nruab nrab ntxiv ntawm Alek Manoah los ntawm cov pab pawg me thiab Jose Berrios los ntawm kev lag luam blockbuster nrog cov ntxaib. Lawv pab pawg tiv thaiv yog lub club tsuas yog qhov tsis muaj zog, lawv paub nws, thiab yuav npaj kho nws. Yuav ua li cas mus tsis ncaj ncees lawm?

Zoo, txawm hais tias Jays tau ua qhov playoffs hauv 2022, nws tseem yuav tsum tau nqis mus ua qhov kev poob siab rau lawv. Lawv tau tawg cov hlau lead loj thiab tau hneev tawm sai sai hauv kev txaj muag rau lub caij ntuj no debutante Mariners. Lawv cov ntaub ntawv lub caij tsis tu ncua tsuas yog ib qho kev ua si zoo dua ntawm 92-70, txawm tias tsis muaj tus neeg sawv cev dawb Ray thiab Marcus Semien, nrog lub club koom ua ke cov neeg ntes Alejandro Kirk, tiv thaiv ace thib peb baseman Matt Chapman thiab outfielder Raimel Tapia rau hauv kev sib xyaw ntawm tus nqi. Danny Jansen, Cavan Biggio thiab Randal Grichuk. Lub caij no, qhov kev hloov pauv hloov tshiab tau nthuav tawm tus neeg sawv cev dawb kos npe Kevin Gausman thiab Yusei Kikuchi nyob rau hauv qhov chaw ntawm Ray thiab cov raug mob Hyun-Jin Ryu.

Raws li txoj kev, Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Charlie Montoyo raug rho tawm haujlwm thiab hloov los ntawm John Schneider, Berrios qhov kev ua tau zoo tsis zoo, thiab franchise linchpins Guerrero thiab Bichette regressed thiab plateaued, feem. Lub 2022-23 offseason loomed li ib tug loj, nrog lub club tiag tiag yuav tsum tau mus rau lub kauj ruam tom ntej mus rau lub puab lub voj voog ntawm lub ntiaj teb Series contenders.

Thiab tam sim no cov pa luam yeeb tau tshem tawm los ntawm lub sijhawm loj-nyiaj ntawm lub caij so, Blue Jays tau zoo li txav mus……..Sideways?

Plaub qhov kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb txhais cov theem no ntawm lub caij offseason rau Jays:

1 - Kev Lag Luam RF Teoscar Hernandez rau Seattle rau cov neeg mob Erik Swanson thiab Adam Macko

2 - Kos npe dawb tus neeg sawv cev RHP Chris Bassitt los ntawm Mets (thiab poob RHP Ross Stripling rau Giants)

3 - Kev Lag Luam C Gabriel Moreno thiab LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. rau Arizona rau Daulton Varsho

4 - Kos npe dawb tus neeg sawv cev CF Kevin Kiermaier los ntawm Rays, tso cai rau OF Raimel Tapia tawm ntawm lub koom haum dawb

Cia peb muab plaub qhov kev cog lus no ua ib chav tsev thiab sim ntsuas qhov zoo thiab qhov tsis zoo:

pros:

• Bassitt yog qhov hloov kho me me tshaj Stripling. Qhov zoo, lawv nyob ze, tab sis Bassitt tuaj yeem tso siab rau ntau qhov ntau.
• Kuv twv nws txhim kho kev tiv thaiv nce ntxiv, raws li George Springer yuav zoo dua hauv RF dua li hauv CF, thiab Kiermaier keeb kwm yog tus tiv thaiv tshwj xeeb. Tau kawg, lub tswv yim ntawm Kiermaier hauv nruab nrab yuav zoo dua li qhov tseeb, vim nws tsis yog qhov nws tau ua.
• Lawv lineup tam sim no muaj zoo dua sab laug / txoj cai sib npaug nrog cov laug Varsho thiab Kiermaier hloov righties Hernandez thiab Gurriel.
• Lawv tus cwj mem tam sim no tob dua nrog kev ntxiv ntawm Swanson thiab Macko.

cons:

• Moreno yog tus muaj peev xwm superstar. Yog lawm, Jays muaj ntau dhau ntawm txoj haujlwm ntes, nrog Kirk, Jansen thiab Moreno txhua qhov chaw. Tab sis lawv pauv tus txiv neej nrog kom meej meej lub siab tshaj plaws upside, txawm hais tias nrog arguably qhov qis tshaj downside. Tam sim no, kuv tuaj yeem pom kev lag luam Moreno yog tias koj tau txais qhov tseeb qhov sib txawv-tsim rov qab, tab sis ....
• Txawm hais tias nws lub ntsiab lus tseem ceeb 2022 tus lej, Varsho tsis yog tus txiv neej ntawd. Yog lawm, nws ntaus 27 homers, nyiag 16 lub hauv paus, thiab yog kis las txaus los ua ob tus qub catcher thiab tam sim no tus neeg tiv thaiv sab nraud, tab sis nws qhov hauv paus batted pob profile yog, peb puas yuav hais, tsis zoo? Nws qhov nruab nrab liner (90.5 mph) thiab grounder (79.7 mph) tawm nrawm yog ob qho tib si dhau qhov kev sib txawv ntawm cov qauv hauv qab cov pab pawg nruab nrab. Pov rau hauv qhov tsis txaus ntseeg K / BB profile thiab qhov kev nyiam tshaj plaws hauv av-rub (yog, kuv paub tias kev hloov pauv tau tawm hauv 2023), thiab muaj kev pheej hmoo me ntsis ntawm no. Varsho "yuav tsum muaj" ntaus .222-.284-.396 lub caij dhau los rau 89 "Tru" Ntau Lawm + cim, zoo hauv qab nws 106 wRC + ib Fangraphs. Ntxiv rau, tus neeg ua si uas nws nco kuv tshaj plaws yog poob Jays 'lub hnub qub Biggio, lwm tus tub ntawm ib tus neeg ncaws pob loj uas muaj ib lub caij MLB loj txawm tias muaj kev ntsuas tsis zoo, tsuas yog maj mam ploj tom qab.

Cov Jays tseem muaj Guerrero, Bichette, Manoah thiab Gausman, ib tug heck ntawm lub voj voog sab hauv. Springer yuav tsum nyob twj ywm hauv lub sijhawm ze. Kirk's 2022 tuaj yeem sawv cev rau qhov kev tawm tsam siab tshaj plaws, tab sis nws kuj yog qhov sib tw.

Tab sis qhov no tsis zoo li ib qho kev tawm tsam juggernaut, thiab cov lus nug tseem nyob ntawm lub mound.

Tseeb tiag, Guerrero tuaj yeem thim rov qab rau nws daim ntawv 2021 thiab Bichette tuaj yeem nqa khoom mus rau lwm qib, thiab txhua yam yuav zoo. Nws tsis zoo li ob qho no yuav tshwm sim tam sim ntawd, txawm li cas los xij, thiab hauv Kiermaier thiab INF Santiago Espinal, yuav muaj tsawg kawg ib khub ntawm cov puav puav leej nyob hauv cov kab yuav luag txhua hnub. Tsis tas li ntawd, Whit Merrifield thiab Matt Chapman qhov kev tawm tsam zoo tshaj plaws tshwm sim tom qab lawv. Yog tias Springer txoj kev raug mob mus ntxiv, qhov no yuav tsis yog qhov ua txhaum loj tshaj plaws, thiab rau Jays kom ncav cuag lawv lub qab nthab nws yuav tsum yog ib qho.

Ntawm lub roob, lawv sab saum toj peb ntawm Manoah, Gausman thiab Bassitt yog qhov zoo heev. Tab sis Berrios thiab Kikuchi tau sib cav tias ob tus thawj tswj hwm kev sib cuag phem tshaj plaws hauv kev ntaus pob (Berrios '122 Kho Kev Sib Txuas Lus yog qhov phem tshaj plaws ntawm ERA cov neeg tsim nyog, thiab Kikuchi's 156 yog qhov phem tshaj plaws ntawm, zoo, txhua tus) lub caij dhau los, thiab tam sim no yog slated rau kev pib ua haujlwm tsis tu ncua hauv 2023.

Yog li, Jays yog cov neeg sib tw, tab sis raws li qhov chaw lawv tau sib tw thiab nyiaj txiag tsuas yog ob lub caij nyoog dhau los, lawv yuav tsum nyob hauv qhov chaw zoo dua. Lawv tsis tau siv lawv cov khoom muaj txiaj ntsig, thiab tsis tau tsim lawv tus kheej cov txuj ci zoo. Lawv lub qab nthab tseem nyob ntawm qhov siab tshaj plaws hauv baseball, tab sis lawv hauv pem teb yog qis dua li cov neeg sib tw sab saum toj yuav tsum yog.