Lub khw lag luam yuav - thaum kawg - qw nrov, keeb kwm qhia

Ntawm qhov kaj ntawm qhov muaj nce ua a xyoo txaus ntshai rau cov khoom lag luam yog tias dhau sijhawm, keeb kwm tau sau nrog kev kho tus kheej thiab rov qab los.

S&P 500 tau nce mus rau qhov nruab nrab los ntawm 29% hauv peb lub xyoos tom qab 20% ntxiv rau kev poob qis txij li xyoo 1950, raws li cov ntaub ntawv mined los ntawm Truist tus thawj coj ua lag luam. Keith Lerner. Cov khoom lag luam tau nce 26% qhov nruab nrab tom qab 20% ntxiv rau lub caij nplooj zeeg zooming tawm thiab siv sijhawm ob xyoos.

Kom paub meej, feem ntau cov tub ua lag luam tej zaum yuav tsis tuaj yeem tos kom txog rau xyoo 2025. Lub sijhawm no, thaum keeb kwm qhia tias kev lag luam txhais tau tias rov qab mus rau lub sijhawm, Lerner tau qhia tias cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum tau ceev faj tam sim no vim kev lag luam hloov mus rau cov paj laum ntau dua thiab tsis muaj zog. kev lag luam loj hlob.

"Tsis txhob sim ua ib tug hero," Lerner tau hais hauv Yahoo Finance Live (video saum toj no).

Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab (^ DJI), S&P 500 (^ GSPC), thiab Nasdaq Composite (^ IXIC) poob qis 9.2%, 9.7%, thiab 10.6% nyob rau lub hli dhau los, raws li, thiab ib lub sijhawm kub kub lub npe hauv tech xws li Netflix thiab Apple raug tsoo raws li cov tub lag luam unwind leveraged bets thaum muaj kev nce paj.

Kev lag luam kev xav tau raug puas tsuaj los ntawm kev sib koom ua ke ntawm cov xwm txheej.

Rau ib qho, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve txuas ntxiv rau nws lub hom phiaj los tawm tsam kev nce nqi los ntawm aggressively hiking paj paj. Nyob rau hauv lem, qhov ntawd tau ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam los ntawm ib qho kev lag luam khoom vaj khoom tsev: txhua yam los ntawm tus nqi nce ntxiv rau US duas rau cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj ze li 7%.

Cov crosscurrents tab tom pib tshwm sim hauv cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam, nrog Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam tau hais rau hnub Thursday thawj ib nrab Cov Khoom Siv Hauv Tebchaws (GDP) tsis kam.

Peb kuj tsis ntev los no tau pom ib xyoos puv nkaus nyiaj ceeb toom los ntawm North Face tus tswv VF Corp. raws li cov khw muag khoom sib ntaus sib tua kev lag luam qeeb thiab cov ntawv ceeb toom ntawm Apple (AAPL) txiav iPhone ntau lawm ntawm kev loj hlob ntshai — lus a headline-grabbing downgrade ntawm tech loj heev cov Tshuag los ntawm Bank of America. Tsis tas li ntawd, ua ntej lub hli no, FedEx (FDX) xav tsis thoob lub lag luam los ntawm kev txiav nws cov kev taw qhia tag nrho xyoo.

Tab sis dab tsi poob mus thaum kawg yuav tsum rov qab mus, txoj cai?