Thaum cov tub ua lag luam yuav raug ntxias kom pib yuav tam sim no, qhov mob ntau dua yuav nyob ntawm nws txoj kev, cov neeg saib xyuas kev lag luam tau hais.
Nrog kev lag luam poob qis heev, nws yuav xav zoo li tej yam tsis tuaj yeem ua phem heev. Tab sis qhov tseeb hnyav yog tias S&P 500 tau qhia meej meej ntawm qhov tsis muaj zog uas muaj nws txoj hauv kev rau kev poob ntau dua.
Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas tau saib cov kab kos thiab lwm yam kev ntsuas los sim xav txog qhov twg lub khw yuav mus tom ntej. Nws tsis yog "voodoo, "raws li qee tus tau hais yav dhau los, tab sis kev sim ntsuas cov khoom siv thiab kev thov raws li cov tub ua lag luam yuav thiab muag cov khoom lag luam.
Tam sim no, kev muag khoom tsis thim rov qab txawm tias tom qab poob 3% rau hnub Friday. Lub sijhawm poob qis yuav tsis tau nce siab, sau Jonathan Krinsky, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam ntawm BTIG.
Qhov ntawd yog qhov tseeb tshwj xeeb tam sim no tias lub khw lag luam tau tawg kev txhawb nqa ntawm tsuas yog 3800. Yog tias qhov ntsuas tau nce siab los ntawm qib ntawd, nws tuaj yeem ua rau lwm qhov kev sib tw luv luv, sau Ari Wald, tus thawj coj ntawm kev tsom xam ntawm Oppenheimer & Co.
Hloov chaw, qhov ntsuas tau poob qis dua qib ntawd, thiab cov ntsuas kev lag luam "tsis tau muaj qhov tob txaus los qhia tias qhov qis qis tau tsim," Wald ntxiv.
Thaum kev them nyiaj yug tawg lawm, cov tub ua lag luam ces tsis paub meej tias hauv pem teb yuav nyob qhov twg. Bensignor hais tias qhov Performance index tuaj yeem poob qis dua 4% rau 3617, nws "txoj kab hauv ib hlis."
Tab sis qhov kev poob qis tuaj yeem xav tau ntau dua li qhov ntawd. Nws tuaj yeem poob mus rau 3400, Krinsky tau sau, muab nws txoj hauv kev qis dua txij li Lub Rau Hli 2. Qhov ntawd yog lwm qhov kwv yees li 10% poob ntawm qhov ntsuas qib tam sim no, thiab tsuas yog nyob ib ncig ntawm qhov ntsuas qhov ntsuas tau ua ntej Covid-19 tsoo uas tau pib thaum Lub Ob Hlis 2020.
Nws tau sau tias "Lub lim tiam dhau los yog qhov ceeb toom tias qhov kev pheej hmoo tseem pheej mus rau qhov poob qis," nws sau. "Qhov txawv ntawm 'Lub Rau Hli Swoon' ncaj nraim mus rau 3,400 tau nce siab heev."
Thiab yog tias qhov ntawd tsis zoo txaus, Evercore tus thawj coj ntawm kev tsom xam, Rich Ross, hais tias S&P 500 tuaj yeem poob rau 3250, lub Xya Hli 2020 ncov, thiab lub hom phiaj tom ntej yog 3400 yuav tsum tawg.
"Peb cov ntaub ntawv 3,500 lub hauv paus yog qhov zoo, nrog kev pheej hmoo nce mus rau 3,250." Ross sau.
Qee zaum - ntseeg nws lossis tsis ntseeg - qhov zoo tshaj plaws cov tub ua lag luam tuaj yeem ua tau yog zaum ntawm lawv txhais tes kom txog thaum qhov kev puas tsuaj loj tshaj plaws.
Yog tias tsuas yog pom tseeb qhov twg yuav yog.
Sau ntawv rau Yakhauj Sonenshine ntawm [email tiv thaiv]