Yuav tsum-saib haiv neeg uas yuav txiav txim siab Senate

Tojsiab

Democrats txoj hauv kev los tswj kev tswj hwm ntawm Senate tau nqaim hauv qhov kawg ntawm kev sib tw ib nrab lub caij sib tw, nrog qhov tsis sib xws. kev hloov pauv hauv Republicans qhov kev nyiam tsawg dua ib lub lis piam ua ntej Hnub Xaiv Tsa, raws li FiveThirtyEight qhov kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab, uas qhia tau hais tias tus ntsia thawv iab kev sib tw hauv XNUMX qhov kev sib tw tseem ceeb uas yuav txiav txim siab tias tog twg yeej feem ntau.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Arizona: Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly lub zog ua ntej tawm tsam Republican Blake Masters tau poob qis nyob rau hauv lub asthiv tsis ntev los no raws li Masters tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm cov neeg xaiv tsa tsis muaj kev ntseeg hauv Democrats los daws cov teeb meem kev lag luam, thiab GOP gubernatorial tus neeg sib tw Kari Lake lub zog tuaj yeem thawb cov neeg xaiv tsa Republican kom sib koom ua ke tom qab Masters - Cook Political report tau hloov kev sib tw rov qab mus rau hauv kev sib tw. Lub Kaum Hli lig, tom qab muab nws "lean Democrat" ntsuam xyuas ib hlis ua ntej.

Georgia: Republican tus neeg sib tw thiab so haujlwm NFL tus neeg ncaws pob Herschel Walker tsis tu ncua ntws ntawm scandals tsis zoo li tau xaus nws qhov kev sib tw rau unseat Sen. Raphael Warnock (D), uas tuav tsuas yog ib tug slim 1.2-point coj dhau Walker hauv kev xaiv tsa, raws li FiveThirtyEight. Ob tug poj niam liam thaum Lub Kaum Hli tias Walker them rau lawv qhov kev rho menyuam, txawm tias nws txhawb nqa txoj kev txwv; nws kuj tau raug liam tias ua dag ntxias pej xeem los ntawm inaccuately hais tias nws ua haujlwm hauv tub ceev xwm. (Cook Political Report kuj ntsuas qhov kev sib tw no ib tug tos-up.)

Dej tsaws tsag: Republican Adam Laxalt muaj ua inroads ntawm qhov kev xaiv tsa slim coj Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) khaws cia thoob plaws lub caij ntuj sov thiab tam sim no ua tus thawj coj los ntawm tsawg dua ib qho taw qhia, raws li FiveThirtyEight nruab nrab, vim tias lub xeev tus nqi nce nqi yog qhov siab tshaj plaws hauv lub tebchaws, thiab kev ncig tebchaws. -kev lag luam vam meej tseem rov zoo los ntawm kev sib kis.

Ohio: Cov Republican-leaning haiv neeg (raws li Cook) tau txav me ntsis hauv kev pom zoo Hillbilly Elegy Tus kws sau ntawv thiab Trump nyiam JD Vance, uas tam sim no coj Rep. Tim Ryan (R) los ntawm 2.3 cov ntsiab lus hauv kev xaiv tsa, txawm hais tias Ryan tau tsa nws tus kheej ua tus neeg nruab nrab thiab nyob deb ntawm nws tus kheej los ntawm Biden thiab cov thawj coj ywj pheej thoob plaws hauv kev sib tw - thiab hnub Tuesday, nws los ua tus Democrat thib ob Lub voj voog kev xaiv tsa no kom tau txais kev pom zoo los ntawm Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.).

Pennsylvania: Kev xaiv tsa Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) thiab Republican Mehmet Oz tau raug kaw rau lub rooj qhib qhib los ntawm kev so haujlwm ntawm Republican Sen. Pat Toomey, nrog kev xaiv tsa pom tias Fetterman muaj 1.1-point ua tus thawj coj. Fetterman tau sau nqi Oz ua ib tus neeg tsis ntseeg siab thiab cov neeg tawm tsam uas tau tshaj tawm cov lus qhia kho mob tsis zoo thaum nws ua haujlwm ua tus kws kho mob hauv TV, thaum Oz tau tsa Fetterman txoj kev noj qab haus huv raws li qhov teeb meem tom qab lub Tsib Hlis tau ua rau nws muaj teeb meem kev hnov ​​​​lus uas tau cuam tshuam rau nws lub peev xwm los sib txuas lus kom meej.

Wisconsin: Cov Democrats cia siab tias yuav tsis muaj Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, tab sis qhov txawv txav tau nce ntxiv hauv GOP qhov kev pom zoo, nrog Johnson, tus thawj tswj hwm ob lub sijhawm, tuav plaub lub ntsiab lus ntawm Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, raws li FiveThirtyEight's polling tracker; tus Cook Political Report ntsuas nws toss-up.

Tsis meej

Yav tas los Thawj Tswj Hwm Barack Obama tau tawm suab lossis tau teem sijhawm los tawm suab rau txhua tus neeg sib tw tseem ceeb hauv Senate tshwj tsis yog Ryan. Biden tau pom zoo Fetterman thiab Warnock, thiab Trump tau pom zoo tag nrho cov neeg sib tw GOP tshwj tsis yog Johnson.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

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Pennsylvania Senate haiv neeg: Ze-Tie Raws li Republicans Rally ncig Oz, Narrowing Fetterman's Lead (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2022/11/02/midterm-elections-2022-the-must-watch-races-that-will-decide-the-senate/