Kev ua lag luam yog yaj thiab tib neeg xav tias nws. 'Kuv lub plab zom mov txhua hnub.'

Yawg Jones, 43 xyoos tau hais tias "Cov neeg no tsis nyob hauv qhov chaw zoo," "Lawv muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau txog cov hom phiaj thiab kev npau suav thiab muaj peev xwm ua neej nyob."

Cov khoom lag luam, cov ntawv cog lus thiab lwm yam khoom muaj nqis tau txais hammered xyoo no raws li cov tub ua lag luam sib tw tshiab nrog qhov muaj peev xwm hais tias Asmeskas tau mus rau kev lag luam poob qis. Hnub Friday, Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab tau sau nws lub lim tiam thib yim ntawm kev poob qis, nws qhov ntev tshaj plaws xws li streak txij li xyoo 1932. S&P 500 flirted nrog dais-kev lag luam thaj chaw.

Cov tsev neeg tab tom saib cov kev nqis peev uas lawv xav tau rau cov nyiaj them poob qis lossis cov nqi kawm ntawv qib siab lossis nyiaj laus poob qis, ib hnub dhau ib hnub. Lawv tau pom cov khw muag khoom loj xws li

Walmart

thiab Lub Hom Phiaj sau lawv cov khoom lag luam poob qis tshaj plaws hauv kaum xyoo lub lim tiam no, tom qab cov nyiaj tau los uas tau qhia txog qhov kawg ntawm kev siv nyiaj thoob ntiaj teb.

Kev ua lag luam ntxhov siab muaj ntshai cov tuam txhab lag luam kom deb ntawm kev noj lawv cov tuam txhab pej xeem. Hauv Silicon Valley, kev npau suav ntawm kev nqis peev ntau txhiab daus las tau ua tiav hloov los ntawm kev muaj tiag ntawm layoffs thiab recoiling investor.

Cov nqi khoom lag luam tau raug mob los ntawm cov rog uas tshwm sim nyob rau hauv yuav luag txhua lub voj voog, xws li nce cov paj laum thiab kev loj hlob qeeb. Tseem muaj cov idiosyncratic, suav nrog kev rov qab los sai sai ntawm kev nce nqi tom qab kaum xyoo ntawm qhov qis qis, kev lag luam suav nrog kev lag luam thiab kev ua tsov rog hauv Ukraine uas tau ua rau cov khoom lag luam poob siab.

Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau nce cov paj paj ob zaug rau xyoo no thiab npaj yuav ua li ntawd txhawm rau tiv thaiv kev nce nqi, tab sis qhov ntawd ua rau cov tub ua lag luam txhawj xeeb nws yuav ua rau kev lag luam qeeb qeeb lossis ntau dhau.

S&P 500 dais kev lag luam thiab kev poob qis tam sim no, kev poob qis thiab lub sijhawm

Kev poob qis tam sim no

96 hnub trading

Kev poob qis tam sim no

96 hnub trading

Kev poob qis tam sim no

96 hnub trading

Kev poob qis tam sim no

96 hnub trading

Kev poob qis tam sim no

96 hnub trading

Rau cov tub ua lag luam nws tuaj yeem xav tias tsis muaj qhov chaw nyab xeeb. Txawm hais tias feem coob ntawm cov neeg ua lag luam tau tuav ruaj khov, qhov ntawd yog ib feem vim tias kev hloov pauv tsis muaj kev pab ntau. Bonds, feem ntau yog ib qho chaw nyab xeeb thaum cov khoom lag luam poob, kuj tau raug pummeled. Kev lag luam cryptocurrency, pitched raws li qhov hnyav rau cov khoom lag luam ib txwm, yog dab dej.

rau

Michael Hwang,

tus kws tshuaj xyuas hnub nyoog 23 xyoos hauv San Francisco, kev lag luam poob qis txhais tau tias nws tuaj yeem ua rau kev qiv nyiaj kom tau txais MBA Nws tau cia siab tias yuav them nws cov nqi kawm ntawv tawm ntawm hnab ris thaum nws rov qab mus kawm ntawv.

rau

Arthur McCaffrey, thiab

ib tug 80-xyoo-laus so haujlwm tshawb fawb kws tshawb fawb los ntawm Boston, nws txhais tau tias xav tsis thoob yog tias nws yuav nyob kom pom nws cov peev txheej rov qab los.

Rick Rieder,

lub taub hau ntawm cov nyiaj tau los tas li ntawm tus thawj saib xyuas khoom vaj khoom tsev loj heev

BlackRock Inc.,

piv lub xeev ntawm kev lag luam nyiaj txiag rau Qib 5 nag xob nag cua. Tus tub luam daim ntawv cog lus qub qub tau nyob hauv kev lag luam rau peb xyoo lawm thiab hais tias tus nqi nrawm nrawm tsis zoo li txhua yam nws tau pom.

Nws hais tias, "Kuv lub plab yog churning txhua hnub," nws hais. "Muaj ntau qhov sib txawv ntawm qhov tsis paub tseeb, thiab peb yuav tsis raug kaw ntawm ib qho ntawm lawv rau lub lis piam, yog tias tsis yog hli."

Cov neeg ua lag luam tau siv los ntawm Fed mus rau hauv kev lag luam ntsiag to, tab sis ntau qhov kev lag luam rattling stocks, bonds, currencies thiab cov khoom lag luam tawm ntawm lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab tswj hwm, Mr. Rieder tau hais tias: "Fed tsis tuaj yeem daws cov khoom tsis txaus ntawm pob kws. los yog chiv, los yog tsis muaj peev xwm kom tau natural gas rau cov teb chaws Europe. Lawv tsis tuaj yeem tsim cov khoom muag txaus ntawm tsev. "

Lub plunge yog U-tig los ntawm cov khoom lag luam 'runup hauv 2020 thiab 2021. Tom qab ntawd, cov paj laum qis qis thiab cov nyiaj tau nce ntxiv - cov khoom lag luam los ntawm tsoomfwv cov kev siv zog los tiv thaiv kev poob qis - thawb cov khoom lag luam rov qab mus rau qhov siab tshiab. Qee cov tub ua lag luam hais tias qhov kev poob qis tau dhau mus ntev thiab, tam sim no nws tau los txog, tuaj yeem nyuaj kho.

Melissa Firestone: XNUMX Lab tus kiv cua tos koj rau Webtalk!

tus kws lag luam muaj hnub nyoog 44 xyoo tshwj xeeb hauv kev lag luam hluav taws xob, muag ntau ntawm nws tus kheej cov khoom lag luam thiab yuav ib qho nyiaj uas luv luv S&P 500, betting rau poob. Nws tau hais tias "Fed mus deb dhau, kev nce nqi yog npau suav phem thiab kev lag luam vaj tsev yuav poob," nws hais.

Keith Yog,

tus sau ntawv tshiab thiab so haujlwm tshaj tawm cov thawj coj uas muaj hnub nyoog 70 xyoo, tau tsiv ib feem peb ntawm nws cov nyiaj khaws cia rau hauv cov nyiaj lag luam nyiaj xyoo tas los. Yawg Yocum tsis nyiam khaws nyiaj ntau ntau hauv cov nyiaj ntsuab, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nrog kev nce nqi nce nqi, tab sis pom ob peb txoj kev xaiv zoo dua.

Thaum Lub Kaum Hli, thaum cov nqi khoom lag luam tseem tab tom tsoo cov ntaub ntawv,

Craig Bartels

tau tsiv mus rau feem ntau ntawm nws 401 (k) thiab tus kheej cov nyiaj laus cov nyiaj khaws cia rau hauv cov nyiaj lag luam nyiaj txiag. Tsis ntev, nws tau muag nws cov peev nyiaj cryptocurrency thiab pib luv luv cov khoom lag luam hauv tsev thiab

Tesla Inc.

los ntawm tus account brokerage.

Ib tug 46-xyoo-laus tus neeg muag khoom vaj tsev nyob hauv Zionsville, Ind., Mr. Bartels tau saib yav dhau los deb rau kev qhia, nyeem ntawv

Ray Dalio cov

Phau ntawv tsis ntev los no ntawm keeb kwm kev lag luam thiab Adrian Goldsworthy's "Yuav ua li cas Rome poob: Tuag ntawm ib tug Superpower."

"Qhov no zoo li peb tam sim no," nws xav.

Nws tus tub muaj 20 xyoo, ib tug tub kawm ntawv qib siab, tau hais rau nws tias nws tau ua lag luam ob peb txhiab nyiaj los ntawm a

Robinhood

tus account. Rau Mr. Bartels, nws zoo li lwm lub cim ntawm kev rov qab los.

Ib tiam dhau los, nws yog ib hnub ua lag luam kawm ntawv qib siab nws tus kheej. Nws ua tau zoo, nws hais tias, tab sis paub ntau tus neeg uas "muab nyiaj pov tseg hauv internet thiab tsis paub tias lawv ua dab tsi." Lub dot-com npuas ntawm lig 1990s sai sai tau tshwm sim. Niaj hnub no, Mr. Bartels zoo siab nws tau hloov txoj kev kawm thaum nws ua. Nws tau hais tias "Kuv tsis xav tias peb nyob qhov twg ze rau hauv qab," nws hais.

Don McLeod,

tus thawj coj tshawb fawb yav dhau los ntawm Manhattan txoj cai lij choj, so haujlwm plaub xyoos dhau los thaum kev lag luam muaj zog. Nws tshawb xyuas nws tus lej 401 (k) yuav luag txhua hnub nrog kev zoo siab.

Thaum cov khoom lag luam pib tig thaum Lub Ib Hlis, nws txuas ntxiv tshuaj xyuas txhua hnub ntawm kev ntshai, kom txog thaum cov kev poob qis dhau los. Txog thaum lub Tsib Hlis, nws cov nyiaj laus tau poob 25% hauv tsib lub hlis.

Mr. McLeod vam tias Teb Chaws Asmeskas yuav tsis mus rau qhov rov qab "stagflation" ntawm xyoo 1970. Nws tau hais tias "Thaum koj tso nyiaj rau cov nyiaj uas tau khaws tseg rau koj lub neej kom nqa koj mus thiab nws pib ploj mus, koj xav tias tsis muaj kev pab," nws hais. "Kuv tsis xav rov qab mus ua haujlwm ntawm 66."

Susan Wagner,

Cov neeg so haujlwm tsis ntev los no uas tau tsiv los ntawm Chicago mus rau New Mexico's Rio Rancho nrog nws tus poj niam hauv 2020, tau coj lawv cov nyiaj laus tawm ntawm kev lag luam rau lub hlis no.

Ms. Wagner tau hais tias "Qhov kev ntxhov siab no txhais tau tias kuv tsaug zog, tos thiab tig thaum hmo ntuj xav tsis thoob tias peb yuav poob ntau npaum li cas," Ms. Wagner tau hais. Nws tus poj niam, yav dhau los tus kws kho mob hluav taws xob, tsis txaus siab tab sis thaum kawg pom zoo. Ms. Wagner tau hais tias "Nws ua rau muaj kev ntxhov siab heev, thiab kuv zoo siab heev txog nws," Ms. Wagner tau hais. "Kuv chim heev rau qhov tau tshwm sim."

Jim Cahn,

Tus thawj coj ntawm kev nqis peev ntawm Wealth Enhancement Group hauv Minneapolis, tau hais tias nws cov neeg siv khoom txaus siab tam sim no ntau dua li xyoo 2008, xyoo ntawm kev kub ntxhov nyiaj txiag. Lo lus nug nws tau txais: "Kuv tuaj yeem mus qhov twg kom tsis txhob muaj kev txom nyem?"

Lub tuam txhab tuav lub vev xaib rau cov neeg siv khoom hauv khw hnub frothiest xyoo tas los, ceeb toom tiv thaiv kev thauj khoom ntawm cov khoom siv thev naus laus zis thiab cov npe kis thoob qhov txhia chaw xws li Peloton, Mr. Cahn tau hais. Tsis ntev los no cov webinars muaj lub ntsiab lus sib txawv: Tsis txhob ntshai.

Lub tuam txhab tab tom saib cov khoom lag luam, uas nyiam tiv thaiv kev nce nqi thiab tau txais kev txhawb nqa los ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog hauv Ukraine, thiab cov ntawv cog lus hauv nroog, uas Mr. Cahn tau hais tias tab tom pib zoo nkauj.

Technology sib koom uas tau nce siab hauv xyoo tas los no, zoo li

Facebook

niam txiv

Meta Platforms Inc.

thiab

Netflix Inc.,

tau raug ntaus hnyav heev. Cov txiaj ntsig tsis txaus siab lossis kev pom kev tsaus ntuj tau ua rau cov khoom siv thev naus laus zis thiab, thaum lub sijhawm mob siab, pab rub lub lag luam dav dav.

Ua ke poob

$ 3.76 trillion

Kev lag luam tus nqi

poob txij lub Ib Hlis 3

$ 2.23 trillion

kev ua lag luam

raws li hnub Friday

Tau qhov twg los: Dow Jones Kev Lag Luam Cov Ntaub Ntawv

Peter Santilli / THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Ua ke poob

$ 3.76 trillion

Kev lag luam tus nqi

poob txij lub Ib Hlis 3

$ 2.23 trillion

kev ua lag luam

raws li hnub Friday

Tau qhov twg los: Dow Jones Kev Lag Luam Cov Ntaub Ntawv

Peter Santilli / THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Ua ke poob

$ 3.76 trillion

Kev lag luam tus nqi

poob txij lub Ib Hlis 3

$ 2.23 trillion

kev ua lag luam

raws li hnub Friday

Tau qhov twg los: Dow Jones Kev Lag Luam Cov Ntaub Ntawv

Peter Santilli / THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Kev lag luam tus nqi poob txij li Lub Ib Hlis 3

Ua ke poob

$ 3.76 trillion

$ 2.23 trillion

kev ua lag luam

raws li hnub Friday

Tau qhov twg los: Dow Jones Kev Lag Luam Cov Ntaub Ntawv

Peter Santilli / THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Kev lag luam tus nqi poob txij li Lub Ib Hlis 3

Ua ke poob

$ 3.76 trillion

$ 2.23 trillion

kev ua lag luam

raws li hnub Friday

Tau qhov twg los: Dow Jones Kev Lag Luam Cov Ntaub Ntawv

Peter Santilli / THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Muaj ntau hnub phem heev lawv tau pib plooj ua ke, hais

Sonu Kalra,

Tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm Fidelity Investments's Blue Chip Growth Fund.

Yawg Kalra tau zaum hauv nws lub nroog Boston lub chaw haujlwm hauv nroog thaum ntxov Lub Ob Hlis thaum Meta ua rau Wall Street poob siab nrog cov nyiaj tau los poob siab. Thaum nws saib nws cov khoom swb hauv kev ua lag luam tom qab teev, nws npau taws rau nws tus kheej vim tsis ua raws li cov lus ceeb toom ua ntej.

"Koj hnov ​​mob heev thiab pib nug: 'Kuv yuav ua li cas txawv?' ”nws hais. “Tab sis koj tsis tuaj yeem quaj vim cov kua mis nchuav. Koj yuav tsum mus tom ntej. "

Thaum lub sij hawm, nws xav tias Meta cov teeb meem yog idiosyncratic thiab tsis yog ib tug kos npe rau ntawm ib tug dav tshem tawm ntawm kev loj hlob stocks. Qhov ntawd tuaj tom qab, thaum Russia qhov ntxeem tau ntawm Ukraine xa cov nqi hluav taws xob ntau dua. "Cov roj permeates txhua yam," nws hais.

Hnub Wednesday,

Cole Smead,

tus thawj coj saib xyuas ntawm Smead Capital Management Inc., sawv ntxov hauv Phoenix. Lub Hom Phiaj, uas nws cov khoom lag luam nce txog li 5% ntawm Smead Value Fund, tau teeb tsa los tshaj tawm cov nyiaj tau los. Lub hom phiaj Tshuag tau nqis ob tus lej hauv kev ua lag luam ua ntej. Mr.

Tag kis ntawd, Lub Hom Phiaj hovered ntawm 25% hauv qab hnub Tuesday kaw. Mr. Smead txiav txim siab tias nws tsis tsim nyog los ntsia ntawm lub vijtsam thiab saib nws txoj haujlwm thib tsib loj tshaj plaws hauv kev poob qis. Nws khaws ib phau ntawv, phau ntawv keeb kwm ntawm George Hearst, tus txiv nyiaj miner ntawm William Randolph Hearst.

"Kuv xav tias tej zaum nws yuav qhia kuv ntau dua li cov khw yuav qhia kuv hnub ntawd," nws hais.

Cov lus qhia kev nqis peev nyiaj txiag hais tias dhau sijhawm, cov khw lag luam nce mus. Cov neeg ua lag luam suav tsis txheeb tau saib lawv cov nyiaj khaws cia loj hlob los ntawm kev nyob hauv kev lag luam uas tau nce siab hauv kaum xyoo tom qab muaj teeb meem nyiaj txiag. Cov neeg uas tuav nruj thaum lub lag luam poob thaum ntxov 2020 tau txais txiaj ntsig thaum cov khoom lag luam rov pib lawv qhov nce siab hauv lub lis piam.

Rau qee tus neeg ua lag luam, kev poob xyoo no xav tias txawv. Tsoomfwv cov kev ntsuas tshwj xeeb tshaj tawm uas tau thawb kev lag luam mus rau V-zoo li rov qab los hauv 2020 tau dhau mus, hloov los ntawm cov cai tswj hwm kev nce nqi. Thaum qhov kev sib cav txog seb qhov kev lag luam poob qis nyob rau hauv txoj kev deb ntawm kev daws teeb meem, muaj kev pom zoo dav dav US tau nkag mus rau lub sijhawm ntawm kev loj hlob qeeb.

Mr. McCaffrey, 80-xyoo-laus tus kws tshawb fawb so haujlwm, tau yuav

Kua

shares nyob rau hauv lub lis piam tsis ntev los no, automating cov kev yuav khoom rau thaum tus nqi qis dua ib theem. Tab sis zuag qhia tag nrho, saib cov khoom ntawm nws cov tuam txhab tech nyiam erode tau dhau los ua qhov tsis zoo. Apple poob 23% txog rau tam sim no xyoo no.

Mr. McCaffrey tau hais tias, "Nws hnyav zuj zus rau cov neeg hauv kuv pawg hnub nyoog," tsuas yog vim peb tsis muaj sijhawm tos kom nws rov qab los."

Nws yuav siv sij hawm ntau heev los co

Kevin Landis,

tus thawj tswj hwm nyiaj txiag uas nws cov nyiaj tsom mus rau tech tau raug ntaus los ntawm kev puas tsuaj ntawm lub xyoo 2000s. Tab sis thaum twg Netflix tshaj tawm kev poob siab rau peb lub hlis twg cov txiaj ntsig Thaum lub Plaub Hlis, Mr. Landis, zaum hauv nws lub chaw ua haujlwm hauv tsev saib nws thaj chaw nyob hauv San Jose lub tiaj nraum qaum tsev, zoo li nws tau raug av qeeg.

Mr. Landis muaj laj thawj yuav txhawj xeeb:

xyoo,

lwm lub tuam txhab streaming, tau nce 14% ntawm nws cov peev txheej thev naus laus zis thaum kawg lub Peb Hlis. Nws hais tias nws tsis tau muag ib qho shares, txawm tias Roku cov Tshuag tau poob ze li 60% xyoo no.

Nws tau hais tias "Tej zaum qhov sib txawv ntawm lub sijhawm no yog zaum kawg kuv tuaj yeem tawm tsam tawm ntawm qhov chaw ua haujlwm thiab mus tsev," nws hais. “Lub sijhawm no, kuv ua haujlwm hauv tsev. Yog li ntawd tsis muaj kev khiav tawm. "

-Angel Au-Yeung, Hardika Singh, Julia-Ambra Verlaine, Corrie Driebusch, Orla McCaffrey, Matt Grossman, Heather Gillers, Liz Hoffman, Charley Grant, Akane Otani thiab Veronica Dagher tau pab txhawb rau tsab xov xwm no.

Sau rau Justin Baer ntawm [email tiv thaiv]