Dow siv 'thawj kauj ruam tseem ceeb' mus rau lub khw muag nyuj tshiab

Tsis txhob cuam tshuam Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab tsuas yog vim nws tau tsim los ntawm 30 cov khoom lag luam nkaus xwb, vim tias yog tias lub khw lag luam rov qab los ntawm kev muag khoom xyoo tas los, nws yuav yog Dow uas coj nws.

Nrog Dow
DJIA,
+ 2.13%

nce 700.53 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 2.1%, rau 33,630.61 rau hnub Friday, tom qab ntawm upbeat cov ntaub ntawv ua haujlwm, nws nce rov qab siab dua 50-hnub txav nruab nrab (DMA), uas txuas ntxiv mus rau 33,346.77, raws li FactSet cov ntaub ntawv. Lub 50-DMA yog qhov dav saib lub sijhawm luv luv tracker, ua saum toj no nws txhais tau tias muaj kev cia siab rau lub sijhawm ze.

Thiab rov qab rau Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 14, Dow's 50-DMA hla saum 200-DMA (32,420.79) los tsim ib tug bullish technical qauv hu ua "golden cross." Txij li thaum 200-DMA raug saib los ntawm ntau yam raws li kev faib kab ntawm kev nce mus sij hawm ntev thiab kev poob qis, tus ntoo khaub lig kub tau pom tias yog qhov cim qhov chaw luv luv bounce flips mus rau lub sij hawm ntev uptrend.


FactSet, MarketWatch

Tsis tas li ntawd, Dow's daim duab qhia tau qhia "me me breakout" saum toj no tus dais-kev lag luam downtrend kab uas pib thaum ntxov 2022, raws li tau taw qhia los ntawm Dan Wantrobski, technical strategist ntawm Janney Montgomery Scott.


FactSet, MarketWatch

Yeej, Dow ua yeeb yam zoo li nws twb tau pib qhov kev nce siab tshiab.

"Txawm hais tias qhov no tsis muaj txoj hauv kev lees paub lub khw muag nyuj tshiab yog nyob ntawm tes, nws yog thawj kauj ruam tseem ceeb hauv kev nce siab ntawm kev kho / lub voj voog uas cov khoom lag luam tau kaw rau ob peb lub hlis dhau los," Wantrobski tau sau hauv tsab ntawv tsis ntev los no rau cov neeg siv khoom.

Dow tau nce 17.1% txij li thaum kaw ntawm kwv yees li ob xyoos qis ntawm 28,725.51 thaum Lub Cuaj Hli 30, 2022, uas tso nws rau hauv thaj chaw kho qhov chaw tawm ntawm 2022 dais lag luam. Nws yuav siv qhov kev sib tw ntawm 20% lossis ntau dua los ntawm qhov qis, mus rau yam tsawg kawg 34,470.61, rau Phab ntsa Street los ntaus lub khw muag nyuj tshiab ntawm Dow.

Dow txoj kev bullish stance yog nyob rau hauv stark sib piv rau cov technical outlooks rau S&P 500
SPX,
+ 2.28%

index, the technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 Index
NDX,
+ 2.78%

thiab Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP,
+ 2.56%
,
uas tag nrho cov nyob twj ywm xauv nyob rau hauv bearish chart qauv.

S&P 500, uas tau nce 2.3% rau 3,895.08 rau hnub Friday. Nws tau ze rau kev nce siab dua nws 50-DMA, uas tau los ntawm 3,904.37, raws li FactSet, tab sis qhov 50-DMA tseem qis dua 200-DMA ntawm 3,996.04. Qhov ntawd kuj yog hais txog qib uas txoj kab nqes nqes pib ntawm lub Peb Hlis 2020 rov qab siab kawg txuas ntxiv mus.


FactSet, MarketWatch

Cov kab kos yog qhov poob qis dua rau Nasdaq-100:


FactSet, MarketWatch

Thiab rau Nasdaq Composite:


FactSet, MarketWatch

"Qhov tseeb, ntau yam tuaj yeem hloov pauv thaum peb ua peb txoj hauv kev mus txog Q1 ntawm 2023, tab sis pib lub Xyoo Tshiab, DJIA tau meej meej nyob rau hauv txoj haujlwm ntawm kev siv zog cuam tshuam rau S&P 500 thiab Nasdaq-100 indices," Janney's Wantrobski tau sau. "Peb ntseeg tias qhov no tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv raws li tus qauv hauv 2023, txawm tias nws zoo li yuav cuam tshuam qee lub sijhawm."

Rau cov tub ua lag luam xav ua lag luam Dow, Wantrobski tau hais kom siv SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab pauv- pauv nyiaj
DIA,
+ 2.14%

ua proxy.

"Peb tseem nyiam DJIA ntawm no hauv lub luag haujlwm ua thawj coj, thiab ntseeg tias cov tub lag luam tuaj yeem siv DIA rau qee qhov kev ua lag luam ua lag luam nyob rau ob peb lub lis piam thiab hli tom ntej," nws sau.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dows-chart-looks-pretty-bullish-even-though-sp-500-and-nasdaq-are-still-bearish-11673037296?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo