Kev yuav koj thawj lub tsev yuav tsum muaj qee yam ntawm cov tswv yim. Sim ua lub sijhawm koj yuav khoom raws li kev lag luam nce thiab nqis tuaj yeem qee zaum xav tias zoo li kev ua si.
Tab sis ob peb lub hlis dhau los, qhov kev ua si tau ua tsis tshua muaj kev lom zem rau cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev, leej twg yuav xav tias lawv yog cov uas tau ua si nrog. Thiab ib qho kev xyiv fab uas nyob hauv nws yuav raug squashed sai sai, nrog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Bank of Dallas tsis ntev los no kwv yees qhov peev xwm 20% plunge rau kev lag luam vaj tsev nyob rau xyoo tom ntej.
Cov neeg Amelikas xav kom nkag mus rau hauv qhov kev txiav txim tam sim no muaj kev txiav txim siab ntawm lawv txhais tes. Puas yog nws zoo dua los tos kom txog thaum muaj kev lag luam hauv qab? Los yog cov no tsuas yog "kev kwv yees" uas yuav tsis muaj tseeb, thiab nws zoo dua kom tau txais tam sim no ua ntej muaj peev xwm nce ntxiv?
Muaj qhov zoo thiab qhov tsis zoo rau ob qho kev xaiv, tab sis ntawm no yog cov kws tshaj lij hais.
Tsis nco
Tos nws tawm
Thaum Dallas Fed tau hais tias vaj tse tuaj yeem poob los ntawm 20%, cov kws tshaj lij tau lees tias qhov no yog qhov tsis zoo. Qhov tseeb, Dallas Fed tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag Enrique Martinez-Garcia hais tias qhov zoo tshaj plaws, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav "ua tib zoo xov lub koob ntawm kev nce nyiaj nce ntxiv yam tsis tau teeb tsa tus nqi qis hauv tsev."
Qhov no yeej yuav pab tau cov neeg Amelikas tab tom nrhiav rau hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev, tab sis leej twg ntshai lwm vaj tsev sib tsoo zoo ib yam li lub Great Recession. Tom qab tag nrho, qhov qiv nyiaj thaum hmo ntuj tuaj yeem ncav cuag 4.5% thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis thaum Fed ntsib dua. Txawm hais tias nws cia siab tias yuav tsawg dua li yav dhau los hikes.
Tab sis nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb uas yuav tsum nco ntsoov tias muaj kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb txij li xyoo 2008, thaum cov qiv nyiaj hauv tuam txhab yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev sib tsoo vaj tse. Cov tsev txhab nyiaj tau muab cov nyiaj qiv pheej hmoo, tab sis Dodd-Frank Act, uas tau tsim tawm hauv xyoo 2010, tau tsim los tiv thaiv kev sib tsoo zoo li ntawd tsis txhob tshwm sim dua.
Txawm li cas los xij, cov paj laum ntau dua tuaj yeem ua rau poob rau hauv vaj tse. Cov nqi siab dua ua rau muaj kev noj tsawg dua thiab xav tau kom txuag nyiaj ntsuab, uas tom qab ntawd ua rau muaj kev nce vaj tse nyob hauv kev lag luam. Ntau cov lus nug txhais tau tias tus nqi tsev qis dua, tsim kom muaj "kev tawm tswv yim tsis zoo," Martinez-Garcia hais.
Txawm li cas los xij, tsis muaj dab tsi lav. Thiab ib zaug ntxiv, txij li cov kev hloov pauv tau ua tom qab Kev Txom Nyem Loj, nws tuaj yeem ua tau zoo yog tias peb tsis pom cov nqi vaj tsev loj heev uas cov kws tshawb fawb kwv yees kwv yees. Qhov tseeb, nws zoo li tus nqi vaj tsev yuav tsis poob ze li ntau npaum li xyoo 2008.
Yog li nws puas yuav zoo dua mus rau hauv tam sim no?
Yuav tam sim no
Tus neeg txhawb nqa loj tshaj plaws rau kev yuav khoom tam sim no tuaj yeem xav txog COVID-19. Tus kab mob sib kis tuaj yeem ua rau tuag taus rau cov tswv tsev yog tias cov qiv nyiaj qiv nyiaj tsis tau muab kev pab. Tsis tas li ntawd, muaj cov paj laum tsawg kawg nkaus rau cov neeg Asmeskas kaw.
Thiab txawm hais tias peb tab tom pom kev poob qis hauv cov nqi tsev, kev sib kis tau ua rau qee tus nqi tsev siab tshaj plaws hauv xyoo. Thiab cov nqi tseem nyob siab niaj hnub no. Cov nqi tsev hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau nce 12.2% xyoo dhau ib xyoo nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli 2022. Qhov ntawd yog astronomical piv rau qhov nruab nrab kev loj hlob ntawm 5.3% hauv 30 xyoo dhau los, raws li CEIC.
Nyeem ntxiv: 10 qhov zoo tshaj plaws kev nqis peev apps rau 'ib zaug-hauv-ib- tiam' txoj hauv kev (txawm tias koj yog tus pib)
Cov ntaub ntawv tus nqi vaj tsev tau mus txog qhov siab tshaj plaws nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli 2021 ntawm 18.7% - tsis muaj qhov twg nyob ze cov ntaub ntawv qis ntawm -11.9% hauv lub Peb Hlis 2009. Yog li txawm tias peb pom ntau qhov kev kho vaj tsev, nws tsis zoo li yuav poob tag nrho 30% rau match 2009 qib.
Tsis tas li ntawd, tseem muaj ntau cov khoom vaj khoom tsev. Thaum qhov no yuav tsum txo qis tus nqi vaj tsev, cov kws lag luam ntseeg tias nws yuav xaus rau kev kho ntau dua tom qab xyoo kev loj hlob thaum muaj kev sib kis. Ib yam uas yuav tsum tshwm sim rov qab mus rau qhov qub, qib ua ntej kis thoob qhov txhia chaw.
Ntawm kab hauv qab
Yog li cov lus teb ntawm no yog dab tsi? Nws tag nrho los ntawm koj tus kheej qhov xwm txheej thiab koj cov phiaj xwm rau yav tom ntej, zoo li txhua yam nyiaj txiag feem ntau ua.
Yog lawm, tus nqi tsev yuav plam ntau dua. Tab sis yog tias koj tab tom nrhiav kev yuav tsev es tsis yog kev nqis peev - thiab koj muaj nyiaj ntsuab los ua nws - tsuas yog xyuas kom tseeb tias koj npaj siab tuav koj cov khoom rau xyoo. Qhov ntawd yuav yog koj txoj hauv kev zoo tshaj plaws los ua kom koj lub tsev yuav rov qab tau feem ntau ntawm nws cov nqi yog tias qhov kev poob loj tshwm sim tiag tiag.
Yog hais tias koj Tsis tau them ib lub tsev, thiab txhawj tias muaj peev xwm thim rov qab tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj rau koj cov kab hauv qab, ces tam sim no tsis yog lub sijhawm los yuav tsev - tsis hais tus nqi tsev nce lossis nqis. Txawm hais tias cov khoom lag luam siab, cov nqi poob qis, thiab koj tuaj yeem nrhiav tau tus nqi paj tsim nyog, nws yuav tsis pab yog tias koj tsis tuaj yeem them nqi tsev qiv nyiaj. qhov ua tsis zoo.
Koj qhov thawj koom ruam zoo tshaj plaws los txheeb xyuas qhov ua rau koj paub yog ntsib nrog cov kws tshaj lij. Ua ntej, muaj a tham nrog koj tus kws pab tswv yim txog nyiaj txiag. Lawv yuav pab koj txheeb xyuas qhov koj muaj peev xwm them taus, yog tias muaj dab tsi, thiab seb koj yuav tsum tos nws los yog tsis.
Tom qab ntawd, thaum koj muaj qee cov duab hauv siab, nrhiav tus neeg saib xyuas vaj tsev los pab koj nrhiav kev lag luam niaj hnub no.
Thaum koj muaj cov lej teev tseg, koj yuav xav tias muaj kev ntseeg siab dua ua si qhov kev ua si vaj tsev no. Thiab hav, tej zaum nws yuav xaus ua kev lom zem dua. Kev lom zem uas yeej tsis muaj ob peb lub hlis dhau los no.
Yuav nyeem dab tsi tom ntej
Kab lus no muab cov ntaub ntawv nkaus xwb thiab yuav tsum tsis txhob muab txhais ua cov lus qhia. Nws tau muab yam tsis muaj kev lees paub ntawm txhua yam.
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dallas-fed-just-said-us-140000067.html