Cov neeg ua yeeb yam hauv tebchaws Askiv hnyav rau Andrea Riseborough Txoj Haujlwm Zoo Tshaj Plaws

Tam sim no uas Pegasus Ntiaj Teb Khob tau ua tiav thiab plua plav, qhov ntxim nyiam ntxim nyiam-nosed British bookmakers, ntev ib qho kev nyiam ntawm qhov yuav tshwm sim hauv nplooj ntawv no, muaj li niaj zaus ua ntej Middle East lub caij sib tw pib, tig lawv lub siab mus rau qhov tsis zoo ntawm qhov zoo tshaj plaws. Hollywood nees sib tw, Oscars. Thov txim, yog dab tsi? Leej twg yog tus actress hauv qhov me me indie zaj duab xis? Blokes tab tom muab qee cov nyiaj hnyav rau qhov kev xaiv tsa. Teeb meem hauv Hollywood? Nws tsuas yog Yanks xwb, lawv tau txais txhua yam hauv caj npab txog lawv cov khoom plig ua "reflective." Muaj tshwm sim txhua xyoo, ua mus ntxiv.

Nyob rau hauv ib lo lus, tsis muaj kev sib cav nyob rau hauv Hollywood, ntau npaum li cas tsawg dua ib yam ntawm ib tug perceived slant nyob rau hauv los yog blight raws li twb-beleaguered Oscars, yuav tau txais nyob rau hauv txoj kev ntawm cov British los yog lawv bookmakers siv lawv cov Vajtswv-muab txoj cai bet rau txhua txhua. bet-tau kev sib tw lossis kev xav hauv qab lub hnub, ntau heev nrog rau Academy qhov khoom plig zoo tshaj plaws.

Ntawm cue, thaum Lub Ib Hlis 17, hnub uas cov kev xaiv tsa Oscar poob, cov neeg sau ntawv Askiv tau ua qhov tseeb txuas ntxiv thiab ua haujlwm tau zoo qhib kev lag luam betting ntawm Cate Blanchett (TAR), Michelle Yau (Txhua Qhov Txhua Qhov Txhua Lub Ib Hlis), Michelle Williams (Cov Fab Kis), Frances McDormand (Poj niam tham), Ana de Armas (pojniam plaub hau daj) thiab…oh, txoj cai, muaj lwm tus poj niam no, British, tsis yog nws?... thiab Andrea Riseborough (Rau Leslie).

Qhov tseeb, nyob rau hnub txij li lub Ib Hlis 17 kev xaiv tsa poob, raws li kev sib cav txog qhov tsis sib xws ntawm "kev sib tw" rau Ms. Riseborough qhov kev xaiv tsa tau pib ua kom sov txog qhov kub thiab txias tam sim no, qhov kwv yees Ms. Riseborough tau ua nws li cas. Lub npe zoo txhais tau hais tias thiab tau nce nrawm mus rau qhov thib peb nyiam ntawm qhov peb yuav hu ua British megatote, tom qab Cate Blanchett (nrog rau ntawm 4/6 thiab 4/7) hauv cov hlau lead thiab Michelle Yeoh (5/4 thiab 11/10). ) ob. Ms. Riseborough qhov txawv ntawm 12/1 txog 13/1, tab sis nws yog pab pawg ua ntej (hauv qhov yuav tshwm sim lossis qhov yuav ua tiav) ntawm Michelle Williams, Frances McDormand thiab Ana de Armas.

Tsis yog qhov phem qhia hauv British betting hivemind rau Ms. Riseborough rau nws thawj qhov kev xaiv tsa. Tab sis qee qhov keeb kwm yog nyob rau hauv kev txiav txim. British qhov sib txawv yog feem ntau thiab yog li pom tseeb tsis qhia meej meej qhov tshwm sim ntawm qhov tshwm sim. Hloov chaw, lawv nthuav tawm qhov txawv txav tawm tsam qhov tshwm sim ntawm qhov tshwm sim, uas txhais tau hais tias qhov qis dua qhov sib txawv, qhov siab dua qhov yuav tshwm sim ntawm qhov tshwm sim tau txais.

Muab lwm txoj hauv kev, tam sim no, British bookmakers nyiam tam sim no Cate Blanchett qhov txawv ntawm 4/6 hauv London tsawg dua 1/1, lossis qhov hu ua "txawm" qhov txawv. Txawm tias qhov txawv txav muaj qhov ua tau tshwm sim ntawm 50%, uas yog hais tias, Ms. Blanchett's 4/6 odds yields implied probabillity ntawm 60%. Nyob rau hauv lub qhov muag ntawm British players uas tau tso nyiaj rau Cate Blanchett.

Nyob rau hauv ib tug cwj pwm quaint, schoolmarmish txoj kev, cov British bookmakers yog kiag li tsis ntshai ntawm slicing lawv cov feem mus rau microscopic theem (los tiv thaiv lawv cov nyiaj them raws li tsuas yog kev lom zem thiab yog li ntxias ntau nthuav-taw qhia kom paub players), yog li nws tsis yog uncomming nyob rau hauv ze kev sib tw nyob rau hauv kev sib tw, ntaus pob thiab ncaws pob kom pom qee qhov kev lom zem tiag tiag feem ntau muaj qhov sib txawv.

Ib yam yog qhov tseeb ntawm Oscars odds, uas, los ntawm txhais tau tias, ua tam sim ntawd muaj kev cuam tshuam cov British saib ntawm kev sib cav sib ceg tam sim no nyob ib ncig ntawm Ms. Riseborough qhov kev xaiv tsa.

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